Meteorologist/Programmer, PhD. Creating a web platform for weather data visualization.

Joined July 2017
477 Photos and videos
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Added a new section to Weathernerds to host demo videos and limited case studies: weathernerds.org/videos/ The "Severe Storms" video discusses tomorrow's forecast: youtube.com/watch?v=c-JO90ob… I'll build out the video page over the coming weeks. Be safe tomorrow! #Severe #wxtwitter
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Another impressive forecast verification from the GDM team.
Pretty impressive short term spread in the ensembles for Sinlaku. Big implications for Guam. AI-based GDM-FNV3 much farther east… Not making a forecast; just making note so we can return to this afterwards.
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Pretty impressive short term spread in the ensembles for Sinlaku. Big implications for Guam. AI-based GDM-FNV3 much farther east… Not making a forecast; just making note so we can return to this afterwards.
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Brutal driving conditions on the Indiana turnpike near South Bend #INwx
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I-94 (or 80/90) around the bottom of Lake Michigan will be a poor choice Sunday night...
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My heart goes out to Jamaica. May God protect them and get them through this. 🙏
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The layer steering plots on Weathernerds show the evolution of the flow around Imelda nicely. If it hadn’t been for Humberto carving out a path through the upstream ridge, the flow likely would’ve stayed SSErly over Imelda and led to poorer outcomes for the US East Coast.
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Replying to @ECMWF
@ECMWF I'm getting "Access denied: 530" for wmo:essential requests at ftp://diss.ecmwf.int/ ( or in the browser at essential.ecmwf.int/ ) Has the login info changed?

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It’s fixed. Thanks!
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Compelling evidence of GDM’s utility continues to mount. Their ensembles recently added to Weathernerds: weathernerds.org/models/fnv3…

Former NHC Branch Chief James Franklin shared these verification plots tonight from all publicly available models for Hurricane Erin. @GoogleDeepMind (GDMI) crushed it, even besting the consensus aids. We'll see if this holds the rest of the season, but color me impressed.
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Alright, Google Deep Mind tracks are live. Ingest code is still pretty raw so bear with me if there are issues. Also, I switched to an "Ensembles" drop menu now. Thanks to the GDM team for their phenomenal work!!!
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Coming soon (probably tomorrow) to Weathernerds: Google Deep Mind AI track forecasts (FNV3 & GenCast). These are proving to be pretty useful for genesis, track, and even intensity forecasting.
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Hey, I know her!
As part of Hurricane Preparedness Week, NHC is encouraging you to build your knowledge kit. For day 7 of preparedness week, Lisa Bucci will be discussing the Tropical Weather Outlook. youtube.com/shorts/20jOQnagu…
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Fortunately it's March and it's headed for sub-20C waters. Even a guy originally from Michigan doesn't like swimming in 19C water... 😏
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Andy is a very good meteorologist and an even better person. Consider helping his family out!
Hey. It’s been a minute. But my friend @AndyHazelton could use your help. Please consider supporting him and his family during this period of uncertainty. Thanks! gofund.me/20b1e25d
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Interesting meso-low in Wisconsin. I doubt it could still be this coherent had it originally formed upstream on Lake Superior. So what’s allowing it to remain so well-defined? 🤔
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True weather nerds do their HRRR peeking on weathernerds.org ! 😁 PS: snow envy reaching extreme levels for this Florida-dwelling meteorologist

To all the weather nerds peeking the 00z HRRR run... 🫣👀 (Not much change, but watching some potential subtle shifting south of the heavy snow)
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Eye starting to clear out nicely...
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Here's my crappy Iphone-8 video. Cut me some slack... this was a last-second local chase. 🙂
Had a decent supercell passing just west of the house so I popped out to take a look. US-27 / I-75 Interchange 10:10AM EDT
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Had a decent supercell passing just west of the house so I popped out to take a look. US-27 / I-75 Interchange 10:10AM EDT
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Quick video to demo turning off lightning flashes on the satellite page. Milton just has too much darn eyewall lightning right now!
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The ECMWF Ensemble issue for Milton seems to have been corrected with today's 12z cycle. So I reactivated the plotting. weathernerds.org/tc_guidance…
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