Joined February 2012
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Hello new followers! You probably came for politics tweets, and you’ll get them. But you’re also gonna get a lot of Columbus sports tweets and pictures of my dog.
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Jon Green retweeted
One of my favorite anecdotes from the build-up to this World Cup, which reveals so much about the collision between FIFA and U.S. cities. The day a FIFA exec told Los Angeles that LA needed to be “put on the map.” @TheAthleticFC
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Jon Green retweeted
If the cover of the New York Post isn’t this photo with this headline “SACREBLEU IT” then what are we even doing anymore?
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worst nba finals/stanley cup ever for people who go to bed at ten
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Jon Green retweeted
1/ Our new paper in Political Communication asks: does YouTube's algorithm push users into echo chambers, rabbit holes, or radicalization pathways? 🧵
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it’s really fascinating to me how many people devote an extreme amount of their attention to politics — and in some cases get paid, professionally, to write about politics — without demonstrating much interest in how politics actually works
EDITORS' PICK | The statistical impossibility of L.A.'s mayor race trib.al/jNOxJg4
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"do we count ballots randomly, or do some people's votes get counted before others and are those groups likely to differ in who they support?" is the kind of question that an editor of a political publication should know the answer to!
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"I don't understand how Raman could make up that deficit with ballots that got counted later." I'm sorry but that's simply a skill issue. learn the rules.
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Jon Green retweeted
1) Prediction markets can be wrong and may not even be calibrated (osf.io/preprints/osf/6g5zq). If the market is wrong we usually blame the market, not the election. 2) The reason voters have birthdates like 1/1/1900 is because they have been registered so long they didn't need to provide a birthdate when they first registered, or have another reason for a placeholder birthdate. They are not 126 years old. 3) Me pointing out (1) and (2) does not mean I endorse California election administration policy. We can be (and I am) frustrated about how California administers elections without endorsing ridiculous fraud claims.

What's happening in LA is extremely abnormal. How did Spencer Pratt go from a 77% chance of advancing to now a 0.5% chance? California is now blocking the Feds from checking into the election. Prior to the election in May, Governor Newsom signed SB 73. This law, effective immediately before the June 2 primary, prohibits unauthorized access, disruption, modification, or seizure of voter rolls, voter lists, or certified voting technology by law enforcement (including federal agents) without a court order or specific state election law investigation. GIVE THE PEOPLE TRANSPARENCY
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I'm a little confused as to how reverse oppo would turn up some-but-not-all of his old Reddit posts when they're all from the same account
Graham Platner was recruited to run for Senate by a pair of socialist political operatives, Daniel Moraff and Leanne Fan, who determined that another prospective candidate had “a skeleton in the closet.” The Wall Street Journal published a rare interview with the duo on Sunday who revealed they paid “a whole chunk of money” to vet Platner but managed to turn up neither his Nazi ink nor many of his Reddit posts.
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you paid some consulting firm a bunch of money to dig up old reddit posts. they should come back with at least as many reddit posts as everyone else
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so we’ve all just given up on the “following” tab showing you posts from people you follow, yeah?
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I don't follow these accounts!
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Jon Green retweeted
New Paper: "Measuring Group Alignment in Public Opinion" The standard for issue polling is to report issue-by-issue agreement, yet democratic representation hinges whether coalitions can agree on *issue platforms*. My paper tells you exactly how to measure that.
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Jon Green retweeted
New preprint: Jack Lucas, Christian Breunig and I reanalyze 70,470 assessments made by 12,860 politicians about their constituents' positions and demographics, from every available published study of elite perceptual accuracy and our own original data. /1 osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/pa…
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Jon Green retweeted
Excited to announce my paper with @rachel__porter, Strategic Heterogeneity in Issue Positioning: Evidence from Congressional Campaigns, has been conditionally accepted at @AJPS_Editor! Quick thread and link to the paper below:
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Jon Green retweeted
Joe Rogan's audience is so large that he single-handedly shifts the listener-weighted distribution of podcast-adjacent audience ideology from centrist to center-right with his inclusion
new (w/ @decustecu): we infer show-level metadata for a large sample of popular politics and politics-adjacent podcasts, then merge it with survey data to characterize political information exposure for their audiences
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Jon Green retweeted
I love how the conspiracy pushed on here was that the DNC blocked the autopsy because of what it said about Gaza when in fact it doesn't mention that & they didn't put it out bc it seems to have been written by a 5th grader. Perfect encapsulation of the discourse around the DNC.
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if I commissioned a "why did we lose this presidential election" report and it didn't pass the "who was the president when this happened?" test I'd shelve it too
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but that does leave the question of whether it made sense to outsource the report vs. doing it in-house
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