1/ Excited to partner with @SnapshotLabs to bring futarchy market signals directly into Snapshot. Tokenholders and delegates in participating DAOs can now see expected market impact before voting.

Imagine I post $X in support of my blog, & if anyone disagrees w/ any claim I make there & posts $Y, & if I don't concede, judge rules who gets $(X Y-J) where $J is judging fee. What should I call my post?

Technical problems prevented some traders from making positions for ~6 hours. But the market battle over GIP-150 continues. The "NO" side has now flipped to winning, and those in favor of the proposal can now buy GNO tokens conditional on proposal passing at a ~1% discount.

@gnosis_ is voting to put @_futarchy's prediction markets on every official governance proposal in a 9-month pilot - joining @Kleros_io and @VeloraDEX. GIP-145 proposes advisory markets on Snapshot showing expected $GNO price impact before voters decide. Proposed by @azsantosk, backed by co-founder @koeppelmann - "now it seems FINALLY the time is right." @_futarchy has a live market on this proposal to demonstrate the concept - pricing a 2.45% $GNO impact if the pilot passes. Already proven at @Kleros_io: 1. Voters cited market signals in their rationale to reject a proposal. 2. The DAO now requires $PNK minting proposals to show a positive futarchy signal to pass. 3. The Kleros Cooperative will "delegate a substantial amount of voting power that will vote strictly according to the Futarchy signal." Each market prices $GNO conditional on the proposal passing or failing - the percentage difference between YES and NO is the expected impact. Accuracy is measured by comparing 5-day TWAPs of each conditional token and GNO spot against the 24-hour TWAP of $GNO post-outcome. Proposal: snapshot.box/#/s:gnosis.eth/… Live market: app.futarchy.fi/market?propo…

Prediction market FUD according to brain size.