NBA strategy and team building. Hawks.
Joined July 2019
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Jun 15
It’s interesting that Jaylen Brown had less estimated wins than Dyson or NAW. He played a handful fewer games, but still not what you’d expect given the MVP shouts. My read is there’s a price where the Hawks would take him, but they won’t pay a lot (i.e., they won’t give #8).
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AKelly retweeted
Jun 5
fun chat with @andlankell
Two-part podcast!
@andlankell joins the show to discuss the draft, free agency, trades, overall Hawks team building, and much more
#TrueToAtlanta
🎧 Apple: apple.co/3xGpUhr
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AKelly retweeted
Jun 4
barring any breaking news today, i'll have a (two-part) @LockedOnHawks with @andlankell coming tonight
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May 30
Starting to move towards DP over Boozer at 1 late in the game. The whole weirdness with the injury muddies the waters a bit but this is a staggering, rarely seen scoring bag and will be exceptionally difficult to contain in a playoff setting.
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May 18
Building on this, I think it’s a point in favor of Brayden Burries, who weighed at 215 lbs. Jack of all trades, master of none guards have burned me before but the physical baseline you get with him is appealing in the playoffs. Especially for a team like ATL trying to win now.
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May 17
Like Veesaar as a target at 23. Hawks pretty clearly value shooting 5s highly. They tried a shooting big rotation of KP and Okongwu, it didn’t work out, then acquired another shooting 5 in Jock. Having that shooter helps with their 4 ball handler attack and the Dyson/JJ spacing.
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May 12
My main takeaway from Kingston’s underwhelming measurements is it solidifies him as a one position defender. I’m still confident projecting him as a on D. His top goal will be adding mass over his rookie deal. The anthro concerns could work in ATL’s favor by sliding him to 8.
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May 11
Looking at the trove of picks the Griz possess, it puts into perspective how important it is to sell early. The Hawks by contrast waited too long to sell their key guys and didn’t get value. Once consensus forms that you should move a player it’s usually too late.
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May 10
If that back checks out, I’m likely driving the Mikel Brown Jr bus.
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AKelly retweeted
May 8
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Apr 22
The first 2 playoff games have predictably exposed some holes in ATL’s half court offense, particularly stemming from Jalen who is still mainly a transition guy. This is pretty clearly their biggest team building need. They shouldn’t force it but this draft has options for that.
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AKelly retweeted
Apr 13
Wrote about how the Hawks' versatile guard trio of CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels and Nickeil Alexander-Walker fit so well together and helped propel Atlanta into a top-six seed: jacksonjfrank.substack.com/p…
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Apr 4
Wagler brings back Hali memories from the ‘20 cycle. Both highly productive, lanky 3* guards w/ real quirks. Outlier bad FT rate and funky shot form w/ Hali. No dunks and bad STL% w/ Wagler. Both have advanced cadence and poise. Possible the stat flaws speak more to uniqueness.
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Mar 26
I don’t know if I would pick up Kuminga’s $24 million TO this offseason. There’s also an option to use it for a trade. Definitely had some highs in his short Hawks tenure but there’s a lot of bad process. They might be better off playing Asa and saving the dough.
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Mar 25
Boozer is my top overall prospect but I really love Darryn’s fit in Atlanta. Adding an easy half court scorer to the Dyson/Jalen core in a Snyder offense is very appealing. I think it’s an ideal landing spot for him too.
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Mar 19
This might be a hedge on lotto outcomes. If you land a top 4 pick, you’re potentially in position for an elite F prospect, and probably less incentive to make a long term gamble on JK. But if you don’t, you could take a moderate risk on him and hope either him or Zac work out.
Mar 19
There mutual interest between the Hawks and Jonathan Kuminga on declining his 2026-27 team option valued at $24.3 million and agreeing to a long-term contract, per @JakeLFischer
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Mar 17
I think small guard skepticism is clearly warranted but possibly becoming too consensus. Trae and Ja are cautionary tales, but there’s also Mitchell and Brunson who continue to power top teams. The market might let one of these slip thru by being too cautious IMO.
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Mar 17
Think a key component of this is Dyson’s size and defense allows them to play a three guard lineup, unlocking a little more ball handling and creation.
Mar 17
With the talk about Charlotte's starters, I haven't seen as much on Atlanta's starters. They are currently the best lineup in the league, outscoring opponents by ~30 pts/100 poss. Last night, it was 22 on 43 poss.
- Every starter is better on both sides when with the starters.
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Mar 12
Dejounte coming back to revive a dead Pelicans team and subsequently make that Pels pick worse for the Hawks is pretty tilting.
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AKelly retweeted
Hi friends. No easy way to say this: my girlfriend has lymphoma, a cancer that may kill her. It’s a recurrence of the cancer she battled in 2024.
I’ve started a gofundme to help cover her extensive medical bills, likely to last a few years. I’ll put the link and more info below
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