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$SPCX ā The biggest IPO youāre NOT ready for
SpaceX is going public at $135/share, raising $75B and targeting a $1.75T valuation ā on just $18.67B in 2025 revenue and a $4.94B loss.
reuters
Ł¢
Thatās ~94x sales for a hardwareāheavy, capexāhungry business.
So the real question isnāt ābullish or bearish?ā
Itās: what exactly are you paying for at this price?
š§µ Hereās what I break down in my new dataādriven guide to the
#SpaceXIPO 2026:
1ļøā£ How
$SPCX makes money today
Launch contracts vs. recurring
#Starlink revenue
Why the business looks like a hybrid of
#Aerospace #Telecom #Cloud
2ļøā£ What a $1.75T valuation really implies
$18.67B revenue in 2025, 33% YoY, but still deep in the red
reuters
Ł”
Why youāre paying ventureāstyle multiples for publicāmarket risk
3ļøā£ The macro backdrop you canāt ignore
Global
#space economy hit $613B in 2024, 78% driven by commercial activity
globenewswire
Ł”
#LaunchServices market around $18.2B in 2025, growing ~10ā11% annually
imarcgroup
4ļøā£ Who
$SPCX is really competing with
$RKLB at $602M revenue and 38% YoY growth, with a $1.85B backlog
finance.yahoo
Ł”
#BlueOrigin and legacy launch players trying to catch up on cadence and reuse
5ļøā£ How serious investors can size the position
Treat
$SPCX as a highābeta spaceāeconomy proxy, not a āsafe coreā
Build a dedicated sleeve for
#Space and
#FrontierTech risk instead of going allāin
If you care about:
institutionalāgrade numbers
realistic risk scenarios
and a clear framework to place
$SPCX inside your portfolio
ā¦youāll want to read the full breakdown.
Iāve put everything into one longāform guide on
#SpaceX,
#Starlink, the global
#SpaceEconomy, and the IPO math behind
$SPCX.
š Link to the full article is in the first reply.