A lawyer in London
Joined July 2009
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Apr 26
Yes. Though in this case, the probability of a blue win affects whether you should vote blue. If someone intending to vote blue was informed that only 10% of others intended to vote blue, of course he'd change to red.
And the framing greatly affects the probabilities.
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Apr 26
We also tend to include in these decisions some consideration of other possible, unstated outcomes. In the "red party will kill all blue voters" framing, the live/die outcome is the same but we don't want pitiless, depraved murderers in charge. It would have other consequences.
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Art Markham retweeted
21 Aug 2025
New abomination just dropped
14 Feb 2023
god is dead and the most efficient way to pack 17 squares into a square killed him
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2 Oct 2023
Over 3.5 years on, this prescient thread is the best read on VAR and why it is so problematic in football.
1 Feb 2020
I’m at the Olympic Stadium and there is a break for a VAR check. It’s going on for a while, so I thought I’d take the opportunity to jot down a few thoughts about VAR.
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15 Mar 2017
LEGO is always an adjective. So LEGO bricks, LEGO elements, LEGO sets, etc. Never, ever "legos."
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Hi Mick, although there are exemptions for work purposes, you must not have a work Christmas lunch or party, where that is a primarily social activity and is not otherwise permitted by the rules in your tier. You can find more information here: gov.uk/guidance/guidance-for… Thanks
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8 Dec 2021
"The first duty of Government is to uphold the law. If it tries to bob and weave and duck around that duty when its inconvenient, if government does that, then so will the governed, and then nothing is safe—not home, not liberty, not life itself." Thatcher in 1975...
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17 Oct 2021
Does seem odd that the focus in so much of the papers around David Amess's murder is around political discourse. I'm all in favour of less shouty/angry hyperbole in politics but it wasn't why he was killed.
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10 Sep 2021
I wish they had also created a diverse dataset of rugs so that it didn’t confuse black stripes with cliffs and I could finally get my entire house cleaned 😂
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9 Apr 2021
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9 Apr 2021
(General point: As a nation the U.K. really needs to stop asking the BBC complaints department to rule on all our deepest cultural issues and just go to therapy.)
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9 Mar 2021
(more broadly, the whole row is as @davies_will also pointed out yesterday a nice example of a point we make in Brexitland - namely that in a society where racism is universally seen as wrong, the most intense arguments are over what counts (or doesn't count) as racism)
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6 Mar 2021
If you haven't ever read 'Everything is Obvious' by @duncanjwatts, now seems like an apt time – among many useful examples, it introduced me to this classic illustration of hindsight (extract from: newscientist.com/article/mg2…)
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20 Jan 2021
And that's because of insight #3: people don't share content because it's good. They share it because IT MAKES THEM LOOK GOOD! Nobody cares where it came from, what matters is that it helps grow people's interest in them when they share it.
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Art Markham retweeted
15 Jan 2021
We need to stop calling QAnon a conspiracy theory. At this point it's more like a social cult. It's not about one event like 9/11 or the Kennedy Assassination - it's a decoder ring for every event that happens in society. It's a filter through which its adherents view the world.
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Art Markham retweeted
6 Jan 2021
Well that escalated steadily for four years.
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