It's crazy that I got to interview this guy, honestly one the best convos I had on prediction markets. Was a real privilege

The easy money for Polymarket liquidity providers may be ending. Large funds are coming. The bigger opportunity could be earning yield on arbitrage positions locked until resolution. Insight from our conversation with @0xFudrick of @robinmarketsxyz.

Prediction markets are getting their own creator economy. @TradeRyno is building a platform where traders monetize their intelligence through callouts Giving even smaller-bankroll traders a way to build a brand and earn.

SpaceX just went public SpaceX started trading on Nasdaq today under ticker $SPCX Shares surged as much as 28% during the day, briefly pushing the market cap above $2.2 trillion Polymarket: 88% chance of closing in the $2-2.5T range SpaceX is using a gradual unlock instead of a standard 6-month lock-up: - After Q2 earnings (August): 20% another 10% if the stock stays above $175.50 for 5 out of 10 trading days - 7% unlocks every 15-20 days from late August to late October = After Q3 earnings: 28% becomes available - Final unlock: December 9, 2026 - Elon Musk and major shareholders are locked until June 2027 Analyst targets: ＞Average: $165 ＞ARK Invest: $2.5T by 2030 ＞Morningstar: $780B (most bearish) According to many analysts, selling pressure is expected to remain relatively low until August The biggest risk period comes after Q2 earnings, when the first major wave of shares unlocks What are your thoughts on SpaceX's gradual lock-up schedule?

You've never seen a prediction market move this fast. We got a sneak peek of @KairosTradeX from the last Polyfactual pod with @thejay btw, Kairos just launched a Trading Championship with @Polymarket and @TXODDSOfficial: > $30,000 > four prize pools > top traders vs top creators Runs for the entire World Cup.

The biggest myth about prediction markets: They funnel money from regular people to a small group of geniuses. @thejay points out how tradfi is intentionally complicated, to create a moat Prediction markets remove that entirely. From our talk with @KairosTradeX .

🚨 FROM $18M TO $270K. THE MARKET FORGOT ABOUT $POLYFACTS. THE WORLD CUP MAY REMIND THEM! $POLYFACTS (@polyfactual) is one of the few real utility tokens in the prediction market ecosystem and is down ~98% from its $18M ATH. Most people see a forgotten micro-cap. What they miss is that Polyfactual is building an AI-powered intelligence layer for prediction markets: • Real-time news aggregation • Sentiment analysis & confidence scoring • FactsAI API with 700K requests processed • Chrome extension for Polymarket traders • Facts trade terminal, PolyBrain & PolyScan • Premium research, governance & ecosystem utility powered by $POLYFACTS The project also received a Polymarket grant and has multiple integrations across the prediction market ecosystem. Current stats: • ATH: $18M MC • Current MC: $270K • 4.1K holders • Listed on MEXC, LBank, WEEX, Raydium & Meteora The thesis is simple: If Polymarket activity continues to grow throughout the FIFA World Cup 2026 cycle, demand for research, data, analytics and trading tools could grow with it. At just $270K MC, $POLYFACTS remains one of the highest-conviction asymmetric bets on the prediction market narrative. CA: FfixAeHevSKBZWoXPTbLk4U4X9piqvzGKvQaFo3cpump ⚠️ NFA. High-risk micro-cap. Always DYOR and manage your risk. #POLYMARKET #WORLDCUP #SOLANA

THE WAIT IS FINALLY OVER EARLY ACCESS IS NOW LIVE 🔥 A new era of Polysights is here. v1.polysights.xyz

NUCLEAR DEAL within 2 months? US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31 - 38% on Polymarket The June 30 market is just 26% On June 4, Witkoff and Kushner held a closed-door meeting in Oak Ridge with a team of about 100 nuclear experts (Oak Ridge Y-12), according to multiple reports The goal: technical prep for the deal if they sign a framework MOU Through Oman and Pakistan negotiators had almost finalized the main terms of a 60-day MOU last week: ＞extension of the ceasefire ＞opening of the Strait of Hormuz ＞sale of Iranian oil ＞launch of full nuclear negotiations But talks are now in deadlock Two narrow disagreements remain: ＞down-blending of uranium (Trump demands 60 days, Iran wants 90) ＞when to unfreeze billions in frozen funds Iranian advisor Mohsen Rezaei told CNN on June 5: "Talks are at a deadlock. The ball is in Trump's court" The same day, Trump said in Wisconsin the Iran issue would be resolved "one way or the other… either with a piece of paper or a more difficult way." A response to the latest amendments in the next 7-10 days could sharply move the odds The main question - in which direction?

Just wrapped a great conversation with @KairosTradeX. First-ever look at the platform, insanely fast execution, and a preview of what's coming next. Bonus surprise for Polyfactual viewers at the end..

LIVE with @KairosTradeX, Building the Next Generation of PM Infra x.com/i/broadcasts/1DxleeMPE…

Our next stream we'll be joined by @KairosTradeX. Thursday, 5pm EST on X. Kairos is building some of the best trading infra in the space. Backed by big names like @a16zcrypto and @GenevaTrading With Kairos public launch is fast approaching. You won't want to miss this!

What seemed highly unlikely just yesterday is now official reality MicroStrategy confirmed in its SEC 8-K filing the sale of 32 BTC - its first sale since Dec 2022 Holdings are now down to 843,706 BTC. That's only 0.0038% of its stack Polymarket "MicroStrategy sell any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026" has already resolved as NO twice - and both times it was instantly disputed Yes is currently trading at 69.4¢ According to the resolution criteria, there is a classic dilemma: ＞Sale on-chain - all happened in May ＞8-K filing credible media consensus - only on June 1 ＞The 8-K was filed under Strategy Inc (the company's current legal name), not MicroStrategy What matters more: the actual blockchain transaction… or when the 8-K was officially filed? Reminder: On the May 5 earnings call, Saylor said they "will probably sell some Bitcoin to fund a dividend just to inoculate the market" Today we're seeing exactly that. No capitulation. Controlled treasury management.

Nvidia and Microsoft said "A new era of PC" Will this give $NVDA a boost in June? Axios reports: next week Microsoft and Nvidia are set to debut the first Windows OS computers utilizing Nvidia chips as the main processor Fresh Polymarket odds: ↑$216: 77% ↑$224: 62% ↑$240: 35% Rumors have circulated for months, but the official Computex debut with Jensen on stage is a fresh catalyst. Short-term hype is possible However, PC business remains tiny for Nvidia compared to its data center dominance Facts most people are sleeping on: ＞Nvidia returning to PC CPU/SoC after failed Windows RT in 2012 ＞Leaked N1X specs: 20-core Arm Blackwell architecture graphics on 3nm TSMC ＞Microsoft's second serious shot at AI PC after underwhelming first Copilot ＞Real step toward powerful local AI inside the laptop What do you think? ↑$240 on hype or stuck around 210-220?

Very excited to have FactsAI integrated with @Bubblegumdotfun Bubblegum is building an innovative prediction market where each event contract becomes a tradable coin. Easily one of the strongest teams in the @colosseum Frontier Hackathon. FactsAI powers the intelligence layer behind every token market created.

First protocol to offer staking on Prediction Markets is @robinmarketsxyz They already have 118K in TVL offering 6% to 8% APY on Polymarket positions. @0xFudrick breaks down exactly how the staking model works and why Robin Markets’ approach could open an entirely new layer for PM infrastructure.

Is Saylor Ready to SELL BTC in 2026? On May 5, Saylor and CEO Phong Le officially ended the "never sell" era The company has moved to active treasury management, with Bitcoin per share as the new main KPI through 2033 On May 23 in his interview with Natalie Brunell, he said: "Not unlikely we'll sell some Bitcoin before end of the year" But Polymarket traders remain skeptical about June (only 38%) Makes sense - Strategy is still a net buyer: 843,738 BTC ( 24k last week, BTC Yield YTD 12.6%) Saylor quickly added: even if they sell a small amount (likely for STRC dividends), they'll buy back 10-20× more ("math over ideology") The market is pricing in the first sale in the second half of 2026, not in the next 5 weeks

How @robinmarketsxyz raised their first $400K from top crypto VCs. @0xFudrick shares: > What actually works > What doesn't > Valuable takeaways This is gold for prediction market builders and founders.