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Joe Biden should have stepped aside in January, not July, and then given whoever emerged as the nominee permission to talk about him however they wanted.
Anyone know a soft game in the country where they'd offer to give @Mike_Postle the same bet that @DougPolkVids gave him? He's claiming he turned down the bet because the Lodge is too nitty. I would love to get some of that action. @Angry_Polak
Glance at your phone playing Blackjack and the casino goes nuts…meanwhile these guys are running a full laptop on therail.
if this is what’s being done publicly at the WSOP Main Event FT, imagine what’s being done online out of view?
Interesting outlook on potential matchups. I assume the Clinton one is skewed because they know she won't be the nominee and can get some free temporary capital lol. Other matchup lines look well thought out. Michelle should see this and reconsider if she wants Dems to win!
Please beware there is a Skype scammer using the name "lmawhale26" (lower case L, not capital i) impersonating Shane Sigsbee. Shane will NEVER directly contact you on Skype asking for crypto/funds.
Paul Vallas has an implied 63% chance of winning the mayoral election in Chicago acc to sportsbetting.ag (-200 to Johnson's 150). Curiously, Vallas' odds were exactly the same before initial vote, and the line didn't shift at all after last night's debate. @NateSilver538
I was just telling a friend last night that my favorite Halloween as an adult was in Itaewon in 2013. What a terrible tragedy. Thoughts to the Korean people and if anyone knows a good relief org to contribute to please let me know.
I continue to find probability distributions with infinite means fascinating. Particularly how their averages *don't converge* as you sample more values.
You can even replicate the behavior deterministically with "tan at integers" as a pseudo-RNG.
Meanwhile, the increases in implied vol for traditional stocks have been somewhat less extreme, with some exceptions including $DIS due in part to dissolving of special Florida district. $BA$XOM$T$WMT$MCD$KO
Amidst S&P downturn, most tech stocks have largely seen large increases in implied volatility, even in spite of their high implied vol numbers to begin with. It's been a rough start for 2022 but especially turbulent for tech. $NVDA$TSLA$NFLX$CRM$META$AMZN$GOOGL$AAPL$MSFT
How is Georgia still 86 cents for biden on predictit? Nate silver tweeted that trump still leads by 3k with over 99 percent reporting. Seems like a crazy price. All my bets have been on biden so far...really thinking of betting trump there if it doesn't change