A year ago, I asked all LLMs back then (claude 3.7 grok 3 deepseek v3 gemini 2.5 deep research) to predict the next 5 years of progress and partially to assess the plausability of the AI 2027 report.
One thing the report got is that all the labs are focusing on recursive improvement e.g. with Codex 5.3 helping created Chat Gpt 5.4 and so on i.e. "closing the loop".
Anyway, this year, new prompt and new models. Getting more quantitative and then will ask chatgpt 5.4 to summarise all answers and compare. Getting a bit meta to ask multiple AI agents to predict future progress of AI and compare previous forecasts. Grok is supposed to be optimised on forecasting accuracy!
Summary from ChatGPT of below answers from 5.4, gemini, grok and claude 4.6 sonnet:
Right, starting now, for shits and giggles, I will ask the top ~5 models every year on April 6th to:
"predict the next 5 years of AI and AGI progress"
Then we can compare over the years:
1. How right/wrong this forecast report got it
/th