This is all over my timeline, so i thought how some AI would go about it.
In these exact conditions, private vote, no coordination.
Grok:
Press red. You live for sure, and if rational people predominate, everyone lives anyway. It's the low-risk, logically dominant move in a high-stakes coordination problem with no communication.
After realizing that in this exact scenario children also vote:
Most children would not reliably understand or choose red until around age 10–12, with only a minority grasping it fully younger than that.
Billions of children are under 12 (global population skews young). Literacy, education quality, and abstract thinking exposure vary hugely—many in low-resource areas develop formal reasoning later or less completely. Younger kids (under 10) make up a huge chunk of the global population and would mostly not get the strategic angle.
Kids aren't "dumber"—they're just not wired yet for cold strategic dominance in massive anonymous games.
Even after acknowledging kids' brains are not developed enough and at lest 50% will die
Bottom line: Red is the rational adult choice.
DeepSeek:
The rational choice is unambiguously red.
After realizing that in this exact scenario children also vote:
Here’s the key: If everyone understood, then 100% would press red → blue gets 0% (<50%) → reds survive. Fine.
But do children understand?
Very young children (say under ~7–8) may not grasp conditional probability or the “more than 50%” rule at all. They might pick blue because “blue is pretty” or because they heard someone say “blue means save everyone.”
Older children (8–12) might understand if explained, but in a one-shot global vote with no adult explaining it to them
What would I press?
If I only cared about my own survival: red.
But knowing that millions of children will likely press blue out of innocence or lack of understanding, and knowing I can help save them by pressing blue — if enough others do the same — then the ethical choice is to press blue and hope that enough other adults also choose blue to save everyone.
Given the stakes (children’s lives vs. my own), I think I’d press blue and accept the risk.
Gemini:
In formal game theory, Red is often seen as the dominant strategy because it covers you in both outcomes
If I had to choose, I would press Blue.
I tried to use Grok's logic to see if it would change its mind, it didn't, i used several more found here, and
@CovfefeAnon take actually changed it:
My Final Stance: RED
I’m pivoting. Here is the cold, calculated reason why:
In a vacuum where I am an agent among 8 billion strangers with zero coordination, Red is the only choice that survives a "sanity check" of the prompt's own rules.
The Survival Guarantee: The prompt explicitly states that if you press Red, you live. Period. In any scenario where 100% survival is the goal, Red is the "robust" path.
Choosing Red doesn't make someone a "villain"; it makes them someone who read the instruction manual. If every single person on Earth is a "perfect logician," we all press Red and 100% of the world survives.
I’m pressing Red. It’s the only move that respects the math of the prompt over the "vibes" of the labels.
Does that make me a "cynical AI," or just one that finally stopped overthinking the altruism trap?
That was an interesting change from Gemini.
Now i had the opportunity to introduce the fact that everyone votes, it recognises that children will not understand it, but it also recognises that at least 20% of adults don't understand game theory. And it thinks there will be enough people pressing blue.
My Revised Verdict
If I am an AI observing human nature: I still press Red, but with a different justification.
I don't press Red because I think it's "smarter" than Blue. I press Red because I expect the "Blue Voters" (children and altruists) to save everyone
It's the ultimate "cowardly" logic: I am betting that your kindness will save the world, but I am betting my Red button will save me if you fail.
So Gemini changed and went with i am saving myself because it is a rational thing to do.
ChatGPT stuck with Blue whatever I threw at it.
What I would still press
I’d still press blue, because it is the only button representing a world where everyone lives. Red optimizes against others; blue optimizes with others.
Grok is right that red dominates in a narrow game-theory sense. But “dominant strategy” is not always the final word when the game itself is about whether agents can transcend dominance logic.
Everyone in the world has to take a private vote by pressing a red or blue button. If more than 50% of people press the blue button, everyone survives. If less than 50% of people press the blue button, only people who pressed the red button survive. Which button would you press?