Just a bored lad who likes making updates on federal and provincal politics in canada
Joined November 2021
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Federal Update, June 15th 2026. Mark Carney loses some popularity to the NDP as it seems his dominant peak has ended.
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BoredCanadianPolling retweeted
Hot mic at G7 summit catches Carney defending Chinese EV deal to Trump nationalpost.com/news/hot-mi…
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Average is:
🔴 LPC: 44.5%
🔵 CPC: 37%
🟠 NDP: 12%
Interesting thing, here are the Ontario numbers from polls in the past 2 weeks:
Abacus
🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 37% 🟠 NDP: 12%
Angus Reid
🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 39% 🟠 NDP: 13%
Liaison
🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 38% 🟠 NDP: 11%
Nanos
🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 34% 🟠 NDP: 12%
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Interesting thing, here are the Ontario numbers from polls in the past 2 weeks:
Abacus
🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 37% 🟠 NDP: 12%
Angus Reid
🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 39% 🟠 NDP: 13%
Liaison
🔴 LPC: 43% 🔵 CPC: 38% 🟠 NDP: 11%
Nanos
🔴 LPC: 46% 🔵 CPC: 34% 🟠 NDP: 12%
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📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Nanos Research:
🔴LPC 43% ( 1)
🔵CPC 31% ( 2)
🟠NDP 12% (-1)
⚜️BQ 7% (-)
🟢GPC 6% (-)
🟣PPC 2% (-)
Conservatives rebound a bit from it seems like a bad sample last week.
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CAQ above 20% is legit, Frechettementum man
Jun 15
(Models Available For Subscribers)
Quebec Provincial Polling:
PQ: 29% ( 14)
PLQ: 25% ( 11)
CAQ: 20% (-21)
PCQ: 14% ( 1)
QS: 11% (-4)
Pallas / June 12, 2026 / n=1099 / MOE 3% / IVR
(% Change With 2022 Election)
Check out QC details from @338Canada here: 338canada.com/quebec
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BoredCanadianPolling retweeted
Its funny when random trolls online flail around to try and dismiss my polling because their feeble attempts to articulate what makes or doesn't make a good poll is amusing.
When a "polling expert" flails around trying to dismiss a poll from a firm with a solid track record. Thats just sad.
Jun 15
For a poll done by
*Looks at my notes*
Great Canadian Bagel, with 185 subscribers on an open access online poll?
Yeah, no shit we're going to ignore this 'poll'
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BoredCanadianPolling retweeted
Jun 15
Leader Net-Approvals:
Mark Carney:
🟢 Approve: 57%
⚫️ Disapprove: 37%
⚪️ Net: 20%
Pierre Poilievre:
🔴 Unfavourable: 49%
🟢 Favourable: 37%
⚪️ Net: -12%
Avi Lewis:
🟢 Favourable: 26%
🔴 Unfavourable: 23%
⚪️ Net: 3%
Liaison / June 13, 2026
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📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Liaison Strategies:
🔴LPC 41% ( 1)
🔵CPC 32% (-)
🟠NDP 14% (-1)
⚜️BQ 6% (-1)
🟢GPC 2% (-1)
🟣PPC 2% (-)
Government approval rebounds 4% up to 20.
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My rolling poll predictions for tomorrow:
Liaison
🔴 LPC: 41% ( 1)
🔵 CPC: 31% (-1)
🟠 NDP: 14% (-1)
🔷 BQC: 28% in QC (-)
🟢 GPC: 3% (-)
Nanos
🔴 LPC: 40% (-2)
🔵 CPC: 31% ( 2)
🟠 NDP: 13% (-)
🔷 BQC: 28% in QC ( 1)
🟢 GPC: 5% (-1)
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I think there’s a pretty obvious outlier here
📊There has been a bit of a spread of late.
🍁338 Sunday Update: 338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-up…
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I am running a Canadian Federal Poll for June 2026! Please respond & repost for the best sample, it would be greatly appreciated.
docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F…
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BoredCanadianPolling retweeted
Jun 13
The politics of AI are coming.
This week we discuss the Carney government's AI strategy, public concerns about technology and social media, and whether Mark Carney's standing with voters has already peaked.
youtu.be/3d3XERv5H_I?si=W_1r…
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Again, don’t take Spark & Bruce Anderson seriously.
Jun 13
Latest federal poll from @spark_advocacy via @bruceanderson: Government approval (66%) and voter mood shows continuing support for Carney bruce728.substack.com/p/gove…
Find out more at nationalnewswatch.com
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Here are Canadian cities according to Angus Reid's city sub samples in their latest poll.
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I will release the Angus Reid sub samples either late tonight or early tomorrow morning just to show y’all how funny some of them are.
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hwat...
I don't know how, but this poll is a Liberal Minority in my model
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I don't know how, but this poll is a Liberal Minority in my model
📊Federal 🇨🇦 voting intentions from Angus Reid:
🔴LPC 41% (-1)
🔵CPC 36% ( 1)
🟠NDP 12% (-)
⚜️BQ 7% (-)
🟢GPC 3% ( 1)
n= 1803
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✅Pierre Poilievre’s 🇨🇦 Leader Impressions from Angus Reid:
🟢Approve: 33% (-1)
🔴 Disapprove: 60% ( 1)
Net Rating: -25 ➡️ -27
✅Avi Lewis’ 🇨🇦 Leader Impressions from Angus Reid:
🟢Approve: 18% (new)
🔴 Disapprove: 37% (new)
Net Rating: -19%
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✅Mark Carney’s 🇨🇦 Approval Rating from Angus Reid:
🟢Approve: 55% (-3)
🔴 Disapprove: 39% ( 4)
Net Rating: 23% ➡️ 16%
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