After digging around, I finally settled on my favorite Japanese machine tool producer: Makino $6135.T From giga-casting molds and satellite structures to gas turbine cooling holes and vascular stents, Makino’s tools excel in the toughest machining jobs.
The failed Nidec acquisition in 2025 and the blocked PE buyout in April revealed the company’s strategic value. The Japanese government blocked MBK Partners’ acquisition of Makino on national security grounds, arguing that its machines “are widely utilized by manufacturers of defense equipment in Japan.” I found several examples of Makino machines inside defense manufacturing ecosystems across Japan, Europe, and the US. They are used to make flight-critical structures and propulsion components for F-35 and Typhoon fighter jets, CH-47 and OH-1 helicopter engines, and gas turbines of Japanese destroyers.
Beyond defense, management is also targeting aerospace, energy, semiconductor, and medical markets, where customers need high-precision machining of difficult materials and are willing to pay up for productivity, accuracy, and process know-how. Key applications are aircraft engine parts, gas turbines, semiconductor equipment, and medical devices.
Makino’s opportunity in the emerging space economy deserves a separate post. The US satellite producer Astranis uses Makino MAG3.EX to machine full satellite panels in-house (video linked below). I’m also fairly confident that Makino machines are integrated into the supply chains of SpaceX and Blue Origin.
After the acquisition fiasco, management is under pressure to unlock Makino’s true potential. The “Corporate Value Enhancement” plan announced in May focuses on larger and more complex machines, pricing discipline, shorter lead times, higher-margin engineering and aftermarket services, dividends, and buybacks.
The plan is good, but I think it undersells the opportunity. I assume the company will achieve at least 7% revenue CAGR and reach 15% operating margin by 2030. That gets me to ¥21,500 per share or ~50% upside. At ~13 P/E, Makino looks too cheap for its strategic importance, technical depth, and end-market optionality. I took an initial position this week and will be watching for the buyback announcement and continued order build-up.