This guy is quietly farming the war oil meta. One profile, “Maratk87”. Positions value: ~$82K, past month PnL: $226,904.95. Biggest single win: $71.9K. > Short crude oil blow-off tops (NO on CL hitting 100 and 105 by end of March) with insane RR. Side trades on US Iran ceasefire timing and end of military action around March 30–31. The numbers: NO on “Crude Oil $100 by end of March” – up to 256% on size. NO on “Crude Oil $105 by end of March” – over 400% on a second tranche. > Iran war markets are smaller, but he’s rotating PnL there, not chasing memecoins. His portfolio is basically one macro conviction: oil spike fades, escalation in Iran gets capped instead of spiraling. I’m adding Maratk87 to my tracker on ProbTrade and watching every new NO he takes on crude and every timing trade he makes on Iran.

Did Trump back down in the face of Iran’s threats? > Donald Trump stated that the U.S. and Iran had reached an agreement to resolve the conflict. The U.S president instructed the Department of Defense to halt strikes for the next five days. In response, Iran stated that it had not been in contact with the US either directly or through intermediaries. > In this situation, I believe Iran more. Most likely, in 5 days or less, the US will resume strikes on Iran. This is an entirely predictable decision. Therefore, there WILL NOT BE a peace agreement between the countries. I’m buying this option on @prob_trade You can do the same with me - app.prob.trade/markets/0x3c6…

The G.O.A.T. of research

99.9% of this content is made up for engagement Claude ain't to blame. Stay focused on the main thing no distractions It writes code. Builds terminals. Cuts weeks of analysis into hours @krajekis built a terminal @PolySigma with Claude and backtested a 15-minute trading strategy on Polymarket and already implemented auto-trading on Polymarket, the results of which are just mind-blowing I built mine service for that strategy for making stat tracking and Telegram alerts at the exact moments I need them Neither of us posts daily about new strategies and hype bots We're busy making money

Polymarket's $20B valuation shocked some people Not everyone believes that Polymarket deserves $20B valuation because of metrics E.g. Backpack's CEO said Polymarket had a small TVL, lifetime volume, etc. BUT it seems that he compared all this using standard metrics for DEXs Imo, such an approach isn't right The DEX sphere has been formed for a long time Large platforms like Hyperliquid, Uniswap, PancakeSwap, etc. have already settled there Btw, the first DEX appeared in 2014 It took 12 years for this sphere to get to where it is now So why should polymarket metrics also perform strongly right now? In the 5 years of Polymarket's existence, it has already gained huge popularity among Web2 and Web3 users Just look at the trading volume and amount of users on 2024 elections / Iran markets And that popopularity and metrics will only rise Because the number of disputable events which are interesting for people will never decrease Polymarket and other PMs use it I agree that the $20B valuation might be a little hyped up now But Polymarket may have even larger potential in the future as the main frontrunner of the narrative

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The world is literally falling apart. US bombing Iran. Iran hitting Dubai. My timeline is just explosions and Polymarket trades on WW3 But i've been vibe coding for 3 weeks straight. Not even joking, barely looked at the news > Shipped a dashboard autotrading bot for @Polymarket 15-min BTC markets. Running @krajekis strategy, testing it live with small size, slowly tuning the edge. The bot doesn't care about geopolitics, it just trades the spread > Also built my girlfriend a telegram bot with admin panel for her clothing store. Product catalog, order tracking, sales funnel, the whole thing. She was running everything through notes and spreadsheets before. Now clients actually go through a proper flow I genuinely don't remember the last time i was this locked into something Vibe coding just hits different when you're solving real problems for real people (and for your own pnl)

Touching gold is just routine

ClaudeAI earned $37k in a week trading on the US and Iranian markets The account was registered in December 2025, but already has a profit of $138k Most likely, the account owner trades on the platform using AI, having created their own agent. Hence the name By the way, anyone can create their own OpenClaw AI agent based on @prob_trade and automate trading on @Polymarket In any case, the trader is performing well, even though it has only made 39 predictions

A real civil war is raging in Mexico - El Mencho, leader of CJNG, was killed on February 22 in a special operation by the Mexican army in Tapalpa with US support - CJNG responded in a coordinated manner, setting cars on fire and blocking roads in Jalisco and other states - Violence has spread to at least 8-12 states Militants shoot at security forces from armored pickup trucks and set up ambushes. A reward of $1,200 is offered for each police officer or soldier killed For the US, this would be a good moment to send in troops and stabilize the situation It is frightening that the drug cartel has an entire army within the country

The decision to create my own AI agent for trading on @Polymarket would have been the best decision I've made in recent times if it weren't FOR: ProbTrade, who created their skills for OpenClaw. These are 11 trading strategies Its really easy to set up and DEFINITELY faster than developing your own agent We will all eventually automate our life processes. It is important to be the first to start this stage

Rare analytical article about my favorite game! Just read it! In CS2 live markets, it overreacts aggressively to big score gaps. That 10-2 mentioned often blows up to 85-90% on the favorite, even though side switch and full economy reset are coming up I'd like to add that before buying the underdog, don't look at the scoreboard, check the details: > who takes the pistol after switch > is there a stable full buy > how many rounds the favorite won vs eco > whose side is starting now If the underdog's money evens out and they start winning gun rounds, but price is still at "blowout" levels, that's a mispricing! Don't wait for map end. Grab the overreaction and exit on the move

The US will return all tax money to other countries > The US Supreme Court has overturned Trump's IEEPA tariffs. Exceeding authority > The amount of refunds is ~$175B, but immediate repayment is not required Meanwhile, Trump has stated that the Court has only overturned one application of the IEEPA, and all transactions remain in force Trump predicts 5 years of court battles. Lawyers agree - the process will be protracted I dont believe that the US will ultimately return all the money. This is a blow to the economy, to the country's reputation, and to the reputation of the red-haired president The court's decision will not be enforced. Lawyers will find a way out

COPY TRADING - EASY PROFIT BUTTON OR JUST ANOTHER MARKET TRAP? I don't want to guess on coffee grounds, just starting an experiment. Analyzed and selected three traders with potential: each on their own market, with their style and risk level Hooked them all up to @prob_trade. Trades copy automatically, no clicks from me. I don't interfere, don't mess around, don't try to outsmart. Pure test 1. Trader VibeTrader trades weather markets Gain his account up to $137k. Every day he cross-checks forecasts from 5 weather models and only enters when 4 out of 5 matc, plus uses temporal arbitrage on the most liquid cities (NYC, London, Atlanta, Dallas) His profile: polymarket.com/@VibeTrader?v… 2. Trader SappySeal67 trades sports events, NBA, NFL Aggressive event-momentum trader who jumps into short-term markets and rides the momentum. Calmly takes dozens of small 100% losses so one or two big shots cover everything and deliver profit. Low winrate, insane speed, hardcore risk management His profile: polymarket.com/@SappySeal67?… 3. Trader Lesstidy trades the 15 min BTC market Turned $1 into $13800k without lottery, just 396 consecutive trades on 15-minute crypto markets. He enters in the last minutes when the market has already priced in 90–95% of the outcome, and grabs the remaining 5–10% His profile: polymarket.com/@lesstidy?via… Let's check out how my experiment ends, gonna drop my thoughts Can't wait myself!

The US is experiencing its third shutdown in a short period of time Trump's policies have led to the DHS currently being without funding, and Congress... has gone on recess until the 23rd Democrats are blocking funding, demanding reforms in ICE practices to prevent abuse 90% of DHS employees are currently working without pay. ~3,000 TSA employees have been furloughed I am sure that the shutdown will last at least 10 days Democrats can exert more pressure here, as the shutdown only affects the DHS, which their constituents dislike Therefore, I can easily imagine it lasting 14 days, but definitely no more than 20. Any shutdown is a disgrace for the government