AI may be building one of the biggest capex bubbles we’ve ever seen. The risk is circular growth:
Nvidia invests in AI companies → AI companies commit to massive cloud spend → cloud providers buy more Nvidia hardware.
Works only while liquidity is abundant and valuations keep rising. Once expected revenue doesn’t show up fast enough, the liquidity unwinds and hits the entire equity market.
My bet: AI/compute is already pulling liquidity away from Bitcoin. BTC is "old news" while capital chases Nvidia, cloud, private AI, Anthropic, SpaceX, and compute infra.
This is why Bitcoin is already be decoupling from equities, and when the AI/compute trade starts unwinding- equities take the hit. The printers turn on.
Capital beings to hunt for an asset with no capex cycle, no dilution, no board, no vendor financing loop, and no circular revenue game.
That’s where Bitcoin gets interesting again.