In the District of Columbia. Product management. Fantasy football stuff at @fantasyforecstr. Read effectivealtruism.org.

Joined June 2009
118 Photos and videos
David Glidden retweeted
I don't want to read 6 articles to figure out if something's likely to happen. I want a number. So I made one. News, backed by @kalshi probabilities
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David Glidden retweeted
We are not building decentralised AI because it sounds better. We are building it because the off switch cannot belong to one hand. If AI is going to run the economy, you cannot have it gated behind one API, one vendor, one jurisdiction, or one policy mood. Viva la bittensor:native
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees. The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance. Access to all other Claude models is not affected. We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible. Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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David Glidden retweeted
Excited to announce another Philly Forecasting & Prediction Markets Meetup Wed Jan 28, 6-9pm @ Black Sheep Pub (near Rittenhouse) Featuring my former colleague Ric Best (Head of Prediction Markets at SIG) speaking on "How Structure Shapes the Market Ecosystem" RSVP below, walk-ins also welcome partiful.com/e/ckhol9mpbP3sq…
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31 Oct 2025
Our 2yo loves the bus so what better way to celebrate Halloween than as a @wmata bus driver and bus ride! The drivers both ways were super welcoming. ❤️🚍
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26 Sep 2025
Any EAs/effective altruists going to EAG NYC in early Oct and interested in prediction markets? Join us at our NYC Forecasting & Prediction Markets Meetup the Thu night prior 2 blocks from the EAG venue. Food / drink provided. Full details and RSVP here: partiful.com/e/wNnDNTjlnk7iu…
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26 Sep 2025
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26 Sep 2025
Love prediction markets/forecasting and in NYC in early October? Join @pjchougule and other prediction market OGs at our NYC Forecasting & Prediction Markets Meetup. Free food and drink compliments of our sponsor @Kalshi 🙇‍♂️ Full details and RSVP here: partiful.com/e/wNnDNTjlnk7iu…
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24 Sep 2025
Any other @SSGamblers listeners coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @EffectvAltruism folks coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @NateSilver538 readers coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @slatestarcodex readers coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @ManifoldMarkets traders coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @GJ_Open forecasters coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @metaculus forecasters coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @Kalshi fans/traders coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Any other @Polymarket fans/traders coming into town for the #ManifestxDC prediction markets/forecasting conference here in Washington, DC on Sat, Nov 8th? I just got my ticket and would love to meet some of you in person: manifestxdc.github.io/

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24 Sep 2025
Forecasters and prediction markets traders: we’re excited to announce Manifest x DC, a one-day forecasting and prediction market event happening Saturday, November 8th in downtown DC. More info and early bird-priced tickets at manifestxdc.github.io/. (1/x)

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24 Sep 2025
Manifest x DC is organized by local volunteers (a la TEDx events) from the DC forecasting & prediction market community, but with the support and sponsorship of the @ManifoldMarkets team. 3/x
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24 Sep 2025
With talks, breakout sessions, and community building activities, it's the closest thing yet to an "east coast Manifest" conference. Hope to see you there! Here’s the signup link again: manifestxdc.github.io/

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