PhD #Economist #Author. Chief Economist, Tressis. #Professor @IEbusiness #Advisor @frdelpino. YouTube: youtube.com/c/DanielLacalleI…
Joined November 2016
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20,259 Photos and videos
Pinned Tweet
Apr 17
Thank you for your support.
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Daniel Lacalle retweeted
We are closer to a peace deal than ever before. With finalisation likely expected in the next 24 hours, Pakistan is preparing for the electronic signing of the peace deal immediately after, followed by technical level talks next week.
We would like to thank United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran for their ongoing commitment during the negotiations, and we extend our sincere appreciation to our brothers in the region for their support. We are confident that this historic peace deal will form a strong foundation for lasting peace.
@realDonaldTrump
@JDVance
@SecRubio
@SteveWitkoff
@SEPeaceMissions
@drpezeshkian
@araghchi
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Important fact
🇨🇳China’s total non-financial sector debt has surged to ❗❗287% of GDP — far higher than the US (249%), EU (243%), or India (176%). Since 2008, Beijing has added more debt than any other major economy, fueling an investment-led growth model that now faces diminishing returns, property sector stress, and rising servicing costs. While Western economies stabilized their debt ratios post-GFC, China’s trajectory signals increasing financial vulnerability and limits on future stimulus firepower. The world’s second-largest economy is carrying unprecedented leverage. #ChinaEconomy #DebtSustainability
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Banning Iran from having a nuclear bomb or fund terrorists is not "damaging" Iran. It means oil funds go to Iranian citizens instead of terror proxies, threats to the world and corruption. So it is strengthening Iranian civil society, not the opposite.
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"The plan"
Jun 12
Every single person who still cringes at the memory of trying to bullshit their way through an interview or exam question: today, the slate is wiped clean. Set down your burden of shame. Nothing - nothing, I say - could touch this.
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Jun 12
U.S. crude oil falls below $85 as U.S. and Iran near a deal to reopen Hormuz cnb.cx/4uxrXjZ
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Jun 12
Spain. New probe into former Spanish Socialist PM.
Jun 12
Discovery of €1.2m jewellery prompts fresh probe into former Spanish PM bbc.in/4xvVUns
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Jun 12
Oil prices enter bear territory as WTI fails to hold the recent support level.
Pakistan says ‘final, agreed upon’ text of Iran war ceasefire deal reached.
cbsnews.com/live-updates/ira…
via Bloomberg, CBS
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Jun 12
Iran's foreign minister said a deal has "never been closer" and that the details of a memorandum of understanding with the U.S. will be shared publicly "in due course."
The oil futures curve points to faster disinflation in the front and back parts compared to the same curve a month ago.
Geopolitical risk events create smaller highs and easing generates deeper lows.
via Bloomberg
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Daniel Lacalle retweeted
Jun 12
Oil slides on Araghchi comments
The Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding has never been closer. Pending its finalization, the media should refrain from entering speculation about its content.
In line with our responsible and transparent approach, all details will be shared with the public in due course.
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Jun 12
Gas prices continue to fall
Jun 12
Gas Prices Fall For 3rd Straight Week zerohedge.com/personal-finan…
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Jun 12
What next for oil, gold and silver: Trapped in liquidity.
Watch my chat at Soarfinancially
@JrMiningGuy
youtu.be/awNjvgF-6ho?is=UOnj…
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Jun 12
US gasoline prices have not reached the levels seen in 2021-2022 and are already declining.
US record domestic production is a geopolitical shock absorber, while a stronger dollar reduces imported inflationary pressures.
via Bloomberg
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Jun 12
Oil prices enter bear market territory.
The futures curve points to faster disinflation in the front and back parts.
Geopolitical risk events create smaller highs and easing generates deeper lows.
Things may change, but the trend is evident.
via Bloomberg
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Jun 12
The ECB is a machine of policy mistakes. They hiked just as commodities decline, hurting families and businesses and drying up credit. Hikes will do nothing to oil and everything to SMEs
The ECB is prepared to raise rates for a second straight meeting, Joachim Nagel says bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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Jun 12
Stock futures tick higher as Wall Street gears up for SpaceX’s historic IPO: Live updates cnb.cx/4vE9l2B
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Jun 11
Oil prices (WTI) around $86/barrel, while futures in deep backwardation point to further disinflation.
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Jun 11
US Seeing Disinflation in Sectors Other Than Energy: Economist ntd.com/ntdplus/us-seeing-di… via @NTDNews
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Jun 11
US federal budget deficit in May:
293 billion USD, an improvement vs. the 316 billion deficit in May last year.
By this point last fiscal year, the government had accumulated a 1,366 billion USD deficit. This year, it stands at 1,247 billion.
So the cushion vs. last fiscal year has widened to about 120 billion USD, up from roughly 100 billion in April.
Revenues up around 5% year‑on‑year while spending has only increased about 1% in the period
Despite the one‑off drag from tariff repayments, the deficit still improved by 20 billion USD vs. May 2025 and the year‑to‑date gap vs. FY 2025 widened in the government’s favor.
The US must reduce the deficit faster by cutting spending.
Graph via USA Facts
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