Ok, so, three artists have already dropped out and I’m going to explain WHY this continues to happen and how this all works. When these people try to hire you for an event, they go through an LLC or a promoter. That promoter isn’t told what the whole event is or the LLC is an innocuous shell 🧵

Meanwhile Epic Fury continues with Americans at the gas pump.

Trump has encountered a profound problem in his attempts to negotiate with Iran: The Iranians understand it makes no sense to negotiate with Trump: He lies all the time & if he makes an agreement he does not remember or does not stick to it. = Trump is not for negotiations.

BREAKING: People on X are sharing this Photo of Joe Biden with the hashtag #WeMissJoe

TWEEPS: trump is forcing GOP to block bipartisan TSA funding, leaving them overworked and unpaid, all for his SAVE Act. That’s politics over public safety. I need 1,000 fast RTs and replies using #StopTrumpsTSAShutdown Please and thank you! 🙏💪

Look folks, reality can sometimes be hard to accept. We all want freedom for Iran. The regime was a horrible, nasty pack of religious zealots for whom terrorism & murder was always the first option. Their revolution started by killing 400 people in a theater with arson & chained exit doors. They sent thousand of kids to their deaths with toy keys around their necks promising entry to heaven if they just walk in to Iraqi minefields. I’ve tracked IRGC terrorism across Iraq, Lebanon, Syria & Yemen and even fought them in the PG, They almost killed me in 1988. The Islamic regime needed/still needs to be destroyed … that said: People are getting upset with why I assess this war will likely fail to topple the regime. Because it is a fantasy based in Trump’s head using lethal tools we prepared for 47 years for the right moment. That moment likely has passed. Trump has no idea what he’s doing. Because he has contempt for the people who know what they’re doing & the history of what came before him. If Afghanistan is the graveyard of empires then Iran is the funeral home of empires. It dresses you up and lays you into the coffin neatly. Then closes the lid. Trump cannot understand why Iran hasn’t surrendered … “Lookit all them bombs,” he shouts “They should all love Trump!” That’s it. That’s the Iran-War strategy. He does not care about the people of Iran. It a score settling grudge match egged on by Netanyahu’s 40 years of promises that war will change the regime if we just drop enough bombs & assassinate its leaders. So If you want to live in a fantasy world where we are suddenly being greeted as liberators by the 93 million Iranians … feel free. You are now set up for earth shattering disappointment. You have to account for the fact that Trump could have attacked in support of the protesters in January. He didn’t & he let them be killed. He was completely indifferent. The 30k dead were a one-day talking point. Right now, none of these attacks will liberate Iran without a populist uprising or invading ground forces. Worse case is a sectarian Civil war. If that happens the only outcome is that it will kill a lot of people, splinter the country & take down the global economy. Trump will sleep soundly & demand he be made Ayatollah. This is literally his mental illness masked as foreign policy This war may give some Iranians hope but it’s a false one. Gird for a horrible chain of dramatic events but rest assured Trump doesn’t care about the people of Iran. He only want its oil. He said so. I’m sorry folks, but my job is to deliver reality based assessments, not promise you sunshine in a swirling hurricane of flying bullets, bombs, excrement & razor wire. That is all.

🚨BREAKING: A clip of Donald Trump from 2024 is going mega viral: “I can tell you you’re not going to have a war with Iran with me as president.” Truly curious if any MAGA voters are willing to admit they were played.

It would be a SHAME if you all shared this link to an interview Colbert did with a Senate candidate that CBS would not let him air because Trump sycophant @BrendanCarrFCC threated the network over a rule THAT DOES NOT YET EXIST but CBS (again) caved to political pressure.

BREAKING: BRAVO! Stephen Colbert defies his corporate bosses and reveals that CBS REFUSED to air his interview with Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico due to bullying by Trump’s FCC! It would appear that Trump and his team are very, very, very worried about losing the critical Senate race in *Texas* of all places, and they’re trying to put the clamps on the candidate they think can win — Rep. James Talarico. Hot off the heels of a viral appearance on The View where he showcased his eloquence and his leadership, Talarico was set to do The Late Show with Colbert…but Trump’s FCC stepped in to block it, telling the Colbert team that they could only release the interview on YouTube. “You know, you know who is not one of my guests tonight? That's Texas State Representative James Talarico. He was supposed to be here, but we were told in no uncertain terms by our network's lawyers, who called us directly, that we could not have him on the broadcast. Then, then I was told in some uncertain terms that not only could I not have him on, I could not mention me not having him on,” explains Colbert. “And because my network clearly doesn't want us to talk about this, let's talk about this. So, you might have heard of this thing called the Equal Time Rule, okay? It's an old FCC rule that applies only to radio and broadcast television, not cable or streaming, that says if a show has a candidate on during an election, they have to have all that candidate's opponents on as well.” “It's the FCC's most time-honored rule, right after no nipples at the Super Bowl. There's long been an exception for this rule, an exception for news interviews and talk show interviews with politicians. Now, that's crucial.” “How else were voters supposed to know back in 92 that Bill Clinton sucked at saxophone? But, on January 21st of this year, a letter was released by FCC Chairman and smug bowling pin Brendan Carr. In this letter, Carr said he was thinking about dropping the exception for talk shows because he said some of them were motivated by partisan purposes. Well, sir, you're chairman of the FCC, so FCC you.” Then Colbert REALLY laid into Trump and his authoritarian efforts to police speech: “Let's just call this what it is. Donald Trump's administration wants to silence anyone who says anything bad about Trump on TV because all Trump does is watch TV. Okay? He's like a toddler with too much screen time.” “He gets cranky and then drops a load in his diapers. So, it's no surprise, it's no surprise that two of the people most affected by this threat are me and my friend Jimmy Kimmel. When this letter dropped, we both talked about the letter on air, and then later, Carr defended it like this.” “If Kimmel or Colbert want to continue to do their programming, and they don't want to have to comply with this requirement, then they can go to a cable channel or podcast or a streaming service and that's fine. Great idea, man whose job is to regulate broadcast TV. Suggest everyone just leave broadcast TV.” “I can't interview James Talarico. I can't show any pictures of James Talarico. I'm not even sure I can say the words James Talarico.” “But what I can show you is what we always show when we have to pull material at the last minute. This tasteful nude of Brendan Carr!” Alarm bells should be ringing in the office of every elected Democrat, television executive, civil rights activist, and concerned citizen in America. This is a blatant effort by the Trump administration to censor speech, install a state-sanctioned media regime and meddle in our elections by keeping Democrats from being able to engage with mass audiences. Well, it’s not going to work. Let’s make sure Colbert’s interview goes mega-viral, win the Texas Senate seat, and take kick every last Trumper out of office!

Sing it, y'all. 😂🤣👇

there are thousands of candidates running for office from statewide to legislatures, to county supervisors to city council to sheriffs to dogcatcher enough with this Trump is going to cancel the midterms shit

🧵How Low Can He Go? Republican Approval Sets Trump's Floor There’s a mistake people keep making when they look at Trump’s approval numbers. They keep treating national approval like it’s the whole story. It isn’t. It never has been. It can go no lower until, and unless, his approval among Republicans declines. Trump can be hated by a majority of America and still be just as dangerous. He can sit at 35 percent nationally and continue to do enormous damage forever. The number that matters—the only number that actually restrains him—is Republican approval. That’s the floor. And the whole system is balanced on it. Right now, Republican approval of Trump is still absurdly high—hovering around the high 80s, flirting with 90 percent. That’s down from the mid-90s where it sat for long stretches of his political life, and yes, it has been decaying slowly since January. Slowly at first, then with a bit more momentum. But let’s be clear about what that still means: the Republican Party remains overwhelmingly loyal to a man who attempted a coup, stole classified documents, openly promises retribution, and has no unleashed lawless armed goons on its own citizenry. People keep waiting for the moment when “Republicans finally break.” But history tells us that moment is rare—and when it happens, it happens only under very specific conditions. Republicans have broken with a president before. They did it with George W. Bush. After the financial crisis, Bush’s approval among Republicans collapsed into the 60s and 50s. Party elites abandoned him. He became toxic. That happened at the very beginning of the modern polarized era—before identity fusion hardened, before right-wing media became a sealed epistemic loop, before grievance replaced ideology entirely. We are now at the opposite end of that story. Today’s Republican Party is not just polarized; it’s fused. Identity, grievance, and power are bound together. That means the breaking point is higher. Much higher. In this environment, Republican approval doesn’t need to fall into the 30s to matter. It probably never will, even when he starts shooting people on 5th avenue. What matters is whether it can fall into the 60s again, like it did for W., because that’s the zone where political incentives of Republican members of the House and senate start to change. This is where David Mayhew’s thesis still rules everything. Politicians are single-minded seekers of reelection. Always have been. Always will be. And here’s the part that a lot of very engaged, very online analysts miss: the reason some Democrats sound fearless and strident is not because they are morally superior—it’s because they are electorally safe. Members in deep-blue seats don’t face general election risk. They face primary risk. Base positions, defiance, and purity are rewarded. But members in swing districts face an entirely different math. They need voters who are not ideologically aligned. They need people who are uneasy, conflicted, persuadable—or at least movable. That’s why people get furious at swing-district Democrats for votes they don’t like. They read it as betrayal. It isn’t. It’s rational behavior in a system where majorities matter more than unicorn-fart wish lists. You want Democrats to be rational in swing seats if you ever want Democrats in power at all. The same logic applies—much more starkly—on the Republican side. As long as Trump sits at 85–90 percent approval among Republicans, GOP officials have no reason to resist him. None. The primary threat outweighs everything else. But if that number slips toward the low 60s, suddenly the general election re-enters the picture. Silence replaces defense. Hedging replaces loyalty. Not courage—never courage—but self-preservation. That’s the theory. Now let’s talk about why Trump is suddenly in trouble. Part of the erosion we’re seeing is coming from Epstein. And let’s stop pretending we don’t know why Trump is blocking the release of the Epstein files. The media keeps asking “who is he protecting?” like it’s a mystery. He’s protecting himself. First and foremost. The sheer number of times Trump appears in those files makes that obvious. He’s also protecting donors, allies, cabinet-adjacent figures—yes. But this is self-interest, plain and simple. Still, Epstein alone doesn’t explain what’s happening. Immigration does. What we just watched in Minnesota mattered—not because Americans suddenly oppose border enforcement, but because they recoil from lawlessness. The average voter does not know what an administrative warrant is. They don’t understand the Fourth Amendment implications. They don’t know how often ICE is breaking into homes without judicial warrants. And yet, even with partial information, they’re saying: this feels wrong. Trump’s so-called “de-escalation” is a mirage. No one was fired. No one was held accountable. Agents were shuffled, not restrained. Tom Homan was elevated and rebranded as normalcy—despite the fact that Trump previously shut down an investigation into Homan allegedly taking a cash bribe from undercover FBI agents. On its own, that would have ended a presidency in any other era. There is no real pullback. The violence continues. The stories accumulate. Another catastrophe is inevitable. This is not speculation—it’s math. A lawless political police force operating with impunity will eventually produce another horror. And here’s the bind Trump can’t escape: he can’t stop. If he actually reined in ICE, the fascist base would revolt. Roughly 30 million voters—fully committed to Great Replacement ideology—believe he’s already capitulating. They don’t want fewer deportations. They want everyone out. Including naturalized citizens. Including children born here. For them, what happened in Minnesota wasn’t restraint—it was betrayal. So Trump is bleeding support from two directions at once. On one side, right-leaning independents—closet partisans who rarely vote Democratic—are recoiling from police-state aesthetics and visible brutality. On the other side, the fascist base is furious that he hasn’t gone far enough. That is a historically unstable position. Which brings us back to the question this piece can’t escape: How low can he go? I don’t know if Republican approval can fall into the 60s in the polarized era which really only got going after 2010. History gives us reasons to doubt it. January 6 showed us something terrifying—that a party can erase its own memory, rewrite reality, and sanctify violence retroactively. If they could do that once, they might be able to do it again. But I do know this: for the country to survive what’s happening, Republican approval has to break. There is no other internal brake left. Courts are slow. Institutions are compromised. Elections are months away. Waiting for Republicans to save democracy is not a plan. But it may be the only lever left. That’s the floor. And we’re all standing on it. PLZ RT this post! The Cycle- On Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. thecycle.substack.com/p/how-…

This is where Trump wants to build a 250 foot arch. It will block the view of the Lincoln Memorial and serve no purpose other than to divert money from needed programs to satisfy his frail ego. Block this before he causes more damage.

RT @DeciderDivider: Divider ICE Agitators want to enrage you into a Jan. 6 type “peaceful protest” Trump plans to bully you into fights!…

Meet the architect of Trump’s imperial warmongering

Time to re-up this. A reminder, I suppose.

BREAKING: Democrat Ro Khanna and Republican Thomas Massie are drafting articles of IMPEACHMENT against Pam Bondi for her role in the Epstein files coverup. Retweet if you agree that Pam Bondi needs to go!

BREAKING: Vatican sends Trump’s favorite Cardinal packing as Pope Leo cleans house. In a move that sent shockwaves through both the Catholic Church and MAGA world, Pope Leo has officially shown Cardinal Timothy Dolan the door—replacing Donald Trump’s favorite cleric with a far quieter, far less political bishop from Illinois. Yes, that Cardinal Dolan. The Fox News regular. The inauguration prayer guy. The culture-war crusader who once called slain MAGA commentator Charlie Kirk a “modern-day Saint Paul.” That Dolan is now out as head of New York’s powerful Catholic archdiocese, after Pope Leo accepted his resignation and tapped Bishop Ronald Hicks to take his place. And the message from Rome couldn’t be clearer: the Trump-aligned, red-meat brand of American Catholic politics is officially out of favor. Dolan, long seen as a reliable spiritual cheerleader for Trumpism, was so beloved by the former reality-TV president that Trump once floated Dolan as a potential pope—and even mused about nominating himself for the job. But Pope Leo, the first American pope in history, apparently had other ideas. Enter Bishop Ronald Hicks: 58, low-profile, media-averse, and blessedly uninterested in cable-news culture wars. Hicks, who grew up near Pope Leo in Chicago’s south suburbs and shares a background in missionary work, represents a sharp pivot away from Dolan’s performative politics. The shake-up comes as Pope Leo has increasingly clashed with Trump’s agenda, condemning his “inhuman” immigration policies and urging him to back away from reckless saber-rattling over Venezuela. In other words, the Vatican is done pretending Trumpism and Christian compassion are compatible. Experts say the move is no accident. Dolan didn’t just retire—he was replaced. “This is a sign of change,” said one church scholar, noting that Hicks is far less likely to justify or excuse Trump’s behavior. While not a liberal firebrand, Hicks has made clear he wants a church focused on unity, healing, and cooperation—concepts that don’t exactly poll well on Truth Social. Dolan’s resignation was technically routine—bishops submit them at 75—but popes don’t have to accept them. Pope Leo did. Immediately. Bishop Hicks will be installed as New York’s new archbishop on February 6, marking the end of an era where MAGA politics enjoyed a privileged seat in America’s largest pulpit. In short, Trump lost another ally, the Vatican reclaimed the moral high ground, and the culture-war cardinal just got benched by the pope. Please like and share to thank Pope Leo for the welcome change!

Trump removed Obama’s portrait from public viewing, but we can share it here for everyone to see!

BREAKING: Trump throws Truth Social tantrum over “Biden filth” as he plots gaudy national mall makeover. Donald Trump has a new obsession — and surprise, it’s not fixing the economy, helping working families, or addressing the chaos he created. No, the 79-year-old president spent Wednesday blasting the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool as “Biden filth and incompetence” while teasing a tacky National Mall makeover straight out of Mar-a-Lago’s gift shop. In a Truth Social post dripping with melodrama, Trump shared a black-and-white video — complete with a swamp-green filter and set to Andrea Bocelli’s Time to Say Goodbye — announcing a plan to “Make D.C. Beautiful Again.” Because nothing says “serious leadership” like a propaganda reel whining about a pool that predates Joe Biden by nearly a century. “This is the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool before Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum and I fix it,” Trump declared, as though he were unveiling a historic restoration instead of pitching a taxpayer-funded vanity project. “You won’t be seeing this Biden filth much longer!” Never mind that Biden didn’t build the pool. Or that it was completed in 1923. Or that Trump’s “beautification” record so far includes slapping gold trim on the Oval Office, paving over the Rose Garden for a Mar-a-Lago patio, and literally demolishing the East Wing to build himself a ballroom like he was renovating a casino. Trump’s message was loud and clear: If something is historic, modest, or not gilded like a Vegas buffet, he wants it gone. While Americans deal with real problems — high costs, housing shortages, and rising extremism — Trump is busy planning a National Mall makeover that nobody asked for, using language that sounds less like a president and more like a disgruntled Yelp reviewer. But hey, at least we finally know what he considers “infrastructure”: anything that lets him slap his name on it in gold. Please like and share!