We are now trading inside the liquidity void created by the Trump pump a year ago. Never would have guessed this for November 2025. Even a completely dead bounce gets us back to $94k at this point. I had a limit buy order at that midpoint but moved it down. Oops.

My timeline is absolutely on fire... in the apocalyptic way. Some people are bearish. Some people are saying the entire timeline is bearish (but they aren't lol). Everyone is exhausted from 8/10 red candles and no recovery. My long is currently irresponsible again. For now.

It may be time to try and catch that falling knife. >> 30% dip is less than 6 weeks >> bearish downtrend still at $102k >> massive multi-tiered support in the $72k-$85k range Gonna day trade this up to $99k then flip short. That's the plan anyway.

President Trump is planning $2,000 stimmy checks Japan is preparing for a $110 billion stimulus package China is giving a $1.4 trillion stimulus package The US is issuing $1.9T in treasuries every year The Fed is about to end QT Canada is starting QE Global M2 supply is sitting at record highs So much liquidity is about to flow into the market Do you think these are the signs of a bull market ending?

Alright so I had a partial stop loss at $98k and decided to capitulate the rest of the position around $95k. Pretty big loss for me... might be the biggest one yet honestly. It's fine though I was willing to bet big on November 2025. Huge support at $85k I might reenter there.

All the previous cycles have ended with a Death Cross. We just had one happen today. Do you think this time will be different?

Recovery almost gets us to the MA(25). Pretty standard stuff. Interestingly enough MA(25) has flatlined even though we've been trading under it for over a week straight. Averages are still tightly bound and extremely bullish. I'll feel a lot better when we're trading @ $110k

I have been talking about for months how the only thing we need to worry about is grinding on $100k. Four candles on $100k is starting to feel quite grindy. Soon it becomes a guessing game of do we have enough buying power to hold one last time Unit bias is on our side at least

Recovery stalled. We've been in this range too long. Even if we get a bounce the buying power in this range is looking pretty tapped out. Longer we trade here the greater chance for a breakdown. We're definitely getting back to MA(25) soon but resistance is harsh.

Imagine this scenario: ➺ $BTC drops towards $83K-$86K as OGs are offloading. ➺ 99.9% of bulls will think it's over. ➺ Bitcoin will slowly start to move up. ➺ Max shorting as people will think it's a dead-cat bounce. ➺ Price continues to go up as ETF inflows will increase. ➺ Bitcoin above $100,000 and 4-year cycle believers in shambles. ➺ BTC drops below $100K again, and bears screaming, "We were right". ➺ BTC consolidates and pumps to a new ATH. ➺ OGs who sold believing in the 4-year cycle are now in FOMO. ➺ Insane spot bidding and BTC explodes above $150,000. ➺ Alts running and all bottom sellers are buying high. ➺ BTC above $180K, ETH above $8K and alts going parabolic. ➺ Delusional bulls are rich again.

The recovery seems to have begun. Dip to $99k busted all the x100 longs at $100k. Typical degen stuff. Need to get out of the $100k-$103k range ASAP. This is the key support level and the longer we linger here the weaker it becomes. A bounce to MA(25) seems likely.