The Thinkers: The Rise of Partisan Think Tanks and the Polarization of American Politics, is officially published today! The book tells the story of how partisan think tanks have impacted modern policy debates. Here's why you should consider it 1/ 🧵 amazon.com/Thinkers-Partisan…

New to @APSA_Preprints - The pernicious impact of partisan think tanks on policy debates - cup.org/4haX7XM - @ejfagan #preprint

We just spent an entire election cycle arguing about inflation. And he wants to enact the largest tax cut in American history on top of it all.

What a beautiful thing for @marcorubio to have done and what a beautiful thing for @SenDuckworth to have shared it. Wow ❤️🇺🇸❤️

Each congress, the majority party begins with large policy ambitions. They tend to get nothing on half of their largest priorities, compromise away major components of initial aims on what they are able to pass, & steamroll opposition to achieve all they want on only 1 or 2 items

Open sourcing public datasets is one of the best, low-cost ways to advance the social sciences. Under the status quo, a few well-connected academics get privileged access to admin data to write blockbuster papers that are then hard to impossible to independently replicate.

“These economic conditions will be different in four years. The candidates will be different. I see no reason to believe that this is the start of a trend,” @uicpols @ejfagan tells @wttw news.wttw.com/2024/11/19/ill… @UICLAS

Hacks > groups.

CRYSTAL BALL: My look today at where Senate Dem candidates ran better, or worse than, Harris. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Reporters should interpret these comments as, "House Republican advocates for eliminating Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and a standing army." It's absurd and misleading that we let politicians get away with advocating for massive spending cuts in the abstract.

This is literally the opposite of what happened! Shift vs. 2020 among: ----------------------- Non-white non-college men: Trump 21 (!) White non-college men: Trump 9 Non-white college men: Trump 9 White college men: Harris 2 (!) theguardian.com/commentisfre…

I love a good @CenterOnBudget shoutout--the organization knows exactly what it wants to do and how to do it...and does a damn good job achieving it. nytimes.com/2024/11/16/opini…

JUST IN: NC Supreme Court candidate Allison Riggs has just netted 2,882 votes in Wake County. She currently trails by 2,753 votes. If this holds and is official, Riggs will overtake Griffin by 129 votes, with six counties still yet to report any provisionals. #ncpol

Fox @BretBaier asks Thune about recess appointments for Trump nominees: 'It's an option, but you have to have all Republicans vote to recess.' Says GOP senators who oppose Gaetz nomination would likely also object to recess. Plus, 'you have to have concurrence from the House.'

I once did a panel on "supply side liberalism" and afterward talked to the climate program officer of a major liberal foundation. She lamented how hard it was to fund good supply stuff because of pushback from EJ groups. I was like "But aren't you the one writing the checks??"

Alaska led with some ballot wins for laborers: -Voters approved minimum wage increases to $15 per hour in Alaska & Missouri -Alaska voters opted to ban anti-union captive audience meetings -Voters expanded workers’ ability to earn paid sick leave in Alaska Missouri & Nebraska

Some interesting model results. 📢 doubling SALT to $20k for joint filers would add $173 billion to TCJA extension cost 📢 a 1.5% VAT would raise more revenue than a 10% universal tariff without starting a trade war 📢 repealing the IRA credits would raise $921 billion

If Gaetz claims in his resignation letter that he's not just quitting the 118th Congress but will also not take his seat in the 119th, DeSantis can schedule a special election. Gaetz could still go "yoink," though, which would be funny—and DeSantis would have no recourse.

NEWS w/ @meredithllee: Hearing Main Street Caucus and House Freedom Caucus members brokered a deal ahead of the vote: No amendments to punish members in exchange for a 9 member motion to vacate threshold, two Republicans with knowledge of the matter tell us. This cleared the way for a voice vote to unanimously elect Johnson. *this tweet is corrected. it prev. said Johnson brokered deal. It was Main Street.