Small account degenerate. Wins, brutal losses, meltdowns, and occasional miracles. Not financial advice, just gambling with rent money. Oh, a pilot, too!
Joined October 2024
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$ETH has been trailing $BTC like it’s stuck in crypto quicksand. The recent “bounce” looked more like a half-hearted hop, barely making it to the 23.6% Fib retracement mark. With a bunch of downside targets huddled between the recent lows & Fib extensions in the $1504–$1298 range, it’s basically waving a “For Sale” sign.
Target 1 (recent lows) - $1504
Target 2 (127.2% Fib extension) - $1548
Target 3 (2025 lows) - $1387
Target 4 (161.8% Fib extension) - $1298
Target 5 (127.2% extension of major swing & holy eff'ing sh!t level) - $416
#ETH #BTC #Etherum #Bitcoin #crypto #CryptoMarket #ShortSetup #Bearish #Fibonacci
ALT $ETH daily with 5 & 13 EMAs, 20/50/100/200d SMAs, technicals - MACD, AO, RSI, Stochastics, & multiple Fibonacci retracement levels and extensions. The yellow shaded zone should act as both downside targets and major support.
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$SOL has been in the dumps along with the rest of the #cryptomarkets. I'm watching a few key #Fibonacci levels. The first is the major swing Apr-Sept 2025, which provides a 127.2% target of $52.40. Then there's the Feb-May 2026 swing, with a 127.2% target of $59.12 & 161.8% target at $48.47. Coupled with round-number psych support at $50, the $48-52.5 level seems the most logical area to watch. The most recent swing the May highs to recent lows is what it's trying to overcome now but has stalled before even getting to the 23.6% retracement level at $69.05. Should it get above, the next stop would be the 38.2% & 50% at $74.64 & $79.16, respectively. However, given the broader #crypto weakness, I think the downside targets are much more realistic. If it really hits the fan, the 161.8% extension of the major move is all the way down at -$2.31, & since that's impossible, suffice it to say there's a lot of room to fall if selling really accelerates!
#SOL $BTC #BTC $ETH #ETH #Solana #Bitcoin #Etherum #ShortSelling #Bearish
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Don’t let today’s tiny uptick fool you— $QQQ may be grinning, but it’s still slumped under the 20-day SMA. as well as the 5/13 EMAs, which have already quit the band with a #bearish cross. The 8/34 EMAs are packing their bags. Support is kicking back at the 50d SMA at $679, coinciding with the 38.2% Fib retracement at $675, our probable next stop. For those who love theatrics, a swan dive to the 200d SMA & 61.8% retracement at $625-630 could be the big finale.
#QQQ $SPY #SPY $IWM #IWM #Nasdaq #ShortSelling #OptionsTrading $DXY $USD #DXY #usdojdroppedadanicase
ALT $QQQ 6-month daily with MAs & technicals - MACD, RSI, AO, stochastics
ALT $QQQ 6-month daily with 5/13 EMAs & Fibonacci retracement levels
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Now that #gold is declining again, taking out the Feb. lows, I put some projections on $PAXG to see where it could head next. The initial downside target is the 127.2% Fib extension at 3943, followed by the 161.8% extension at 3691. That's nearly 10% below current levels.
$GLD #GLD $SLV #SLV #silver #Crypto #Cryptomarket #PAXG
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$BNB was strutting around like a champ, only to trip over its own feet & join the rest of the #cryptomarket in an ungraceful pile on the floor. After lazily swinging in the $580–605 support hammock, it plummeted straight through like an overstuffed piñata. Now it’s loitering at the 23.6% Fib retracement from the latest swing—otherwise known as the “former friend now blocking you at the club entrance” level. If it dares to climb back up, it’ll have to squeeze past $650’s round-number swagger, $652’s 50% retracement hall monitor, and $663’s big-shot 23.6% Fib from the Jan highs to Feb lows. That’s one packed resistance party waiting to shut things down.
#BNB $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin $ETH #ETH $SOL #SOL #Crypto #Bearish #ShortSetup #Fibonacci
ALT $BNB daily chart with Fibonacci levels, MAs, & technicals - MACD, AO, RSI, Stochastics
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$ETH has been limping behind $BTC like a tired marathon runner chasing a rocket. On the daily chart, it just belly-flopped onto the 127.2% Fib extension of the Feb–Apr swing at 1548. If that floor gives way, next stop is the April 2024 low of 1387, conveniently hanging out near the 161.8% extension at 1298. And if that cracks? Well, the “oh sh!t” trapdoor opens to the 127.2% extension of the Apr ’24–Aug ’25 swing at 416. Not betting on that horror show, but hey, triple digits wouldn’t exactly be shocking if #ETH keeps hitting every branch on the way down. That all said, the daily RSI is <14, so some form of a bounce or consolidation seems likely to shake off oversold technicals.
#BTC #CryptoMarkets #Crypto #Bearish $ETHA $ETHU $ETHE $ETHB
ALT $ETH daily w/ Fibonacci extensions, MAs, & technicals - MACD, AO, RSI, Stochastics
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Just saw a massive 110,033 contract call spread in $GLD — sold the Sep 500 calls, bought the Sep 550 calls for net credit. That's basically a full day's average volume in one trade. Meanwhile #gold's down over 4% and #silver's getting crushed 8%, both seeing heavy call selling. Smart money clearly hedging the breakdown.
$SLV #SLV #OptionsFlow #bearish #optionstrading #commodities
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$HYPE has been one of the best performing #altcoins lately. It broke out above $59.49 & pushed up to the 1.414% Fib extension at $75.63. It's pulled back, tested & held the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent advance, & has recovered to the breakout level. Additional support is at $52.52, the 61.8% Fib retracement. Upside targets are @ ~$70 round number/psych level & 127.2% extension, then the 161.8% extension at $83.58. It has a solid ecosystem and growth, making it a good medium-long term play, plus the volatility makes it great for short-term tactical trading.
#HYPE #HyperLiquid $BTC #BTC $SOL #SOL $ETH #ETH #Crypto #CryptoMarkets #LongSetup #bullish
ALT $HYPE daily with Fib levels & extensions, MAs, & technicals - MACD, stochastics, Ao, RSI
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$BTC is flat out broken. Even during the "risk on" in equities, #crypto stayed weak. The weekly chart seems to indicate further downside. Immediate support is at the Feb. lows @ 59,928, then the 127.2% Fib extension at 53,708. If that fails, round number/psych support at 50,000, which coincides with the 2024 lows @ 49,003. Should that give way, the next downside target is the 161.8% extension @ 45,795. If all that breaks, we're looking at the 127.2% extension of the 2024 lows to 2025 highs at 28,011! I doubt we go that low, but those are the key levels to watch.
#BTC #Bitcoin #BitcoinRecovery (or lack thereof) $ETH #ETH $IBIT #IBIT $BITX #BITX
ALT $BTC weekly with Fibonacci levels & extensions, MAs, B. Bands, tehcnicals - MACD, stochastics, AO, RSI.
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$BKR’s sliding while oil just sits there. Lower highs, lower lows, EMAs turned bearish. It broke the 50d & is getting rejected... again. Grabbed July $60 puts at $1.70. It’s clearly not following crude & honestly feels like a calmer move than wrestling with $USO.
#Oil #Trading #EnergyStocks #BKR #USO #WTI #Iran $QQQ $SPY $IWM $XLE #QQQ #SPY #IWM #XLE
ALT $BKR 6-month daily w/ MAs, technicals - MACD, RSI, AO, stochastics
ALT $BKR 6-month daily with 5 & 13 EMAs, trend lines and support/resistance
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I've also been keeping an eye on $TON, which is showing a favorable technical setup. After pulling back to the 50d SMA, which also coincides with the 61.8% Fib retracement of the Apr-May swing. It's been creating higher highs and lows, the MACD is turning up, AO showing shift of momentum to #bullish, RSI at ~55, & stochastics are turning up. This $2 level is key support. Looking for push towards $2.45-2.50, the 61.8% retracement of the recent pullback. I'm long from under $2.00.
#TON #TonCoin $BTC #BTC $SOL #SOL #AltCoins #LongSetup
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Looking at $BTC longer-term weekly chart shows it testing support at the 78.6% Fib retracement around 65,500. With this pullback, I would expect a moderate bounce, since this level has held multiple times from Jan-Apr. Plus, daily RSI is at <20, also suggesting oversold conditions ripe for a bounce. However, momentum is clearly building on the sell side, so any longs should have tight stops!
#BTC #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency $ETH #ETH $SOL #SOL #CryptoFutures #cryptonewsdaily
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$HYPE breaking out to new ATHs.
Daily: Strong impulse through resistance, holding the $60 (100% Fib) confluence as support. Volume surging, above all major MAs.
Hourly: Bullish structure with higher highs & lows. FOMO in full effect.
Targeting the 1.272% Fib at ~$70, then the 161.8 extension at ~$83.5.
#HYPE $BTC #BTC $SOL #SOL $ETH #ETH #Crypto #Altcoins #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis
ALT $HYPE daily chart with MAs, technicals, Fib levels & extensions
ALT $HYPE hourly chart with MAs, technicals, FIb levels & extensions
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$QCOM up nearly 12% today but failing to take out the previous swing high. Bought May 29 $220 puts as a quick scalp. Daily chart shows a glaring #bearish RSI divergence - May 11 highs near $248 was ~88, today's is ~72. Also, this level is the 138.2% #Fibonacci extension of the Oct highs to Apr lows.
#QCOM $QQQ #QQQ $SOXX $SOXL #SOXX #SOXL #Semiconductors #OptionsTrading #stockmarket
ALT QCOM 6-month daily with MAs & technicals - MACD, RSI, AO, stochastics
ALT QCOM 6-month daily chart with 5/13 EMAs & Fibonacci levels
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Started a small, long position in $TSLA via some June $15 calls in $TSLL (a solid 0.51 delta). The stock has pulled back from the recent rally, briefly dipping below the 100 & 200d SMAs, but holding on to the 20d. The 5/13 & 8/34 EMAs remain bullish, even with some technical indicators showing some weakness. I've also noticed pretty bullish options flow. However, a sustained break back below those key MAs would invalidate the #bullish setup.
Support - $415-418 (50% FIb retracement of Dec - Apr swing & 5/13 & 8d EMAs), $395-410 (confluence of Fib retracements, MAs, & round number psych level), $381 (61.8% Fib retracement of Apr lows to recent swing high)
Resistance - $437 (61.8% Fib retracement of Dec - Apr swing), $450-454 (round number psych level, upper Bollinger Band, & recent swing high), $465 (78.6% Fib retracement)
#TSLA #TSLL $QQQ #QQQ $RIVN #RIVN #OptionsTrading #LongSetup #stockmarket #Fibonacci
ALT TSLA 6-month daily chart with MAs & technicals - MACD, RSI, AO, Stochastics
ALT TSLA 6 month daily chart with 5/13 EMAs, Fibonacci levels, & trend line support
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$RIVN broke down below its multi-month range a couple days ago, now retesting the bottom of that February–April base as resistance. Technicals look weak with bearish MACD, negative AO, & the 50d crossing below the 200d. Just grabbed some June $13.5 puts at $0.86. Stop at $15.
#RIVN #Rivian #ShortSetup #Breakdown #OptionsTrading #stockmaket
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