UIF- Ukraine’s leading strategic foresight and scenario-planning think tank, focused on long-term national transformation in conditions of systemic uncertainty.
Joined February 2023
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🇺🇦 Ukraine ratified a €90bn EU package — recorded as grants, not debt. Budget revenues up UAH 2.3 trln, security spending UAH 1.6 trln.
But: €5.15bn in MFA tranches at risk. Reserves dropped to $45.7bn. Trade deficit widening — imports 2.5x exports.
Full analysis → uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
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As part of the project "Strong Civil Society of Ukraine — A Driver of Reforms and Democracy", supported by Norway and Sweden, administered by ISAR Ednannia.
#Ukraine #EU #MacroDigest #UIF
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The annexation of Crimea didn’t start with the “green men.” Putin confirmed: the decision was made the night Yanukovych fled — February 22–23, before the “self-defense” even appeared. The whole cycle — from crisis to legal annexation — took under a month. A scenario prepared in advance. Each step without real response made the next one possible. Budapest, Minsk, Istanbul — three versions of one lesson. Fourteenth piece in UIF’s Anatomy of Empire. → uifuture.org/en/articles/the…
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This material was prepared with the support of the International Renaissance Foundation (
@IRF_Ukraine)
This publication was produced within the project “A Strong Ukrainian Civil Society — a Driver of Reform and Democracy,” implemented with the support of Norway and Sweden, in partnership with ISAR Ednannia.
#AnatomyOfEmpire #Ukraine #Geopolitics #EuropeanSecurity #RussianImperialism #IRFUkraine
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In 1994, Tatarstan had its own constitution, broad powers, and a special status within the Russian Federation.
By 2017, almost nothing of that autonomy remained.
The thirteenth article in UIF’s Anatomy of Empire series examines how the Kremlin systematically dismantled Russian federalism — and why Moscow’s version of “federalization” is not about sharing power, but about maintaining control.
Commentary by Anton Hulidin, Chief Operating Officer of the UIF think tank.
🔗 Read more in the comments👇
#Ukraine #Geopolitics #RussianImperialism #Federalism #IRFUkraine
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Europe was divided by percentages — on a single sheet of paper.
In October 1944, Winston Churchill and Joseph Stalin discussed the fate of entire nations without their participation.
The twelfth article in UIF’s Anatomy of Empire series explores how the logic of spheres of influence outlived the Cold War and continues to shape international politics today.
Commentary by Anton Hulidin, Chief Operating Officer of the UIF think tank.
🔗 Read more in the comments
#AnatomyOfEmpire #Geopolitics #EuropeanSecurity #InternationalRelations #RussianImperialism #IRFUkraine
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Atlas of Russian Imperialism and Colonialism
For centuries, Russia hid its colonial nature. To understand today’s war, we must look at the historical pattern.
The Ukrainian Institute for the Future (UIF) presents the "Atlas of Russian Imperialism and Colonialism" — the first mapping of 500 years of expansion. 👇
1/ 500 Years mapped: The Atlas traces the mechanisms of Russian expansion across 55 chapters and 200 pages of analytical maps — from the 16th-century conquest of Kazan to the 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
2/ Why it matters: As compiler Sergiy Gromenko puts it: "No wall will protect us from Russian missiles or information warfare. Analyzing Russia here and now is critical." Project lead: Anton Gulidin.
3/ Available in English: An essential tool for diplomats, historians, and geopolitics experts worldwide to decenter the Kremlin’s narrative.
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This material was prepared with the support of the International Renaissance Foundation (@IRF_Ukraine)
This publication was produced within the project “A Strong Ukrainian Civil Society — a Driver of Reform and Democracy,” implemented with the support of Norway and Sweden, in partnership with ISAR Ednannia.
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🎥 Link to the digital English version in the reply below!
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How did Ukraine survive 2022 when outdated bureaucracy was failing?
By bypassing rigid rules. This "management chaos" saved the country, but exposed its weakest links.
Strategic expert Andrii Myroshnychenko breaks down the crisis in defense policy & governance.
🎥 Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=JzkOBFI1…
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How is Ukraine rewriting the rules of modern warfare? 🧵👇
In a new interview by @UIFuture, Anatoliy Amelin and Volodymyr Gavrylov (Major General Ret., former Deputy Minister of Defense) break down the "Army of a New Type."
Key insights:
- Why tech & EW matter more than troop numbers
- Countering ballistic threats (US & Israeli tech)
- Ukraine’s potential in microchips & space tech
- Can Ukraine regain nuclear status?
A must-watch deep dive into military innovation and the future of global security.
🎬 Watch now: youtu.be/l1utCP341HU
What is the #1 tech needed for victory? Let us know below! 👇
This publication was produced within the project “A Strong Ukrainian Civil Society — a Driver of Reform and Democracy”, implemented with the support of Norway and Sweden in partnership with ISAR Ednannia.
#UkraineWar #MilitaryTech #EW #Drones #Geopolitics
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Will Ukraine Run Out of Money?
Ukraine’s trade deficit is growing faster than international aid. The economy is slowing down, inflation is rising, and NBU reserves are shrinking — despite record external support.
🎙 @AnatoliyAmelin , Executive Director and Co-founder of UIF
🔗 More: uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
#UIF #Ukraine #Economy #Macroeconomics #Geopolitics
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🇺🇦🇪🇺 The EU is preparing a €90B support package for Ukraine — the largest since the full-scale invasion.
— €30B macro-financial aid
— €60B for Ukraine’s defense industry
— Repayment expected via future Russian reparations
Meanwhile:
— Trade deficit hit $17.4B in Q1 2026
— Inflation forecast raised to 9.4%
— GDP growth forecast cut to 1.3%
Ukraine’s economy is balancing resilience and structural pressure.
More from Ukrainian Institute for the Future:
UIF analysis uifuture.org/en/digests/macr…
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October 1944. Churchill writes percentages on a scrap of paper: Romania 90% Russia, Greece 90% Britain. Stalin takes a blue pencil and ticks it.
Churchill: “Might it not seem rather cynical if it appears we have disposed of these matters, so fateful for millions, in this offhand manner? Let us burn the paper.”
Stalin: “No, keep it.”
Twelfth piece in UIF’s Anatomy of Empire.
→ uifuture.org/en/articles/yal…
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This material was prepared with the support of the International Renaissance Foundation (@IRF_Ukraine)
This publication was produced within the project “A Strong Ukrainian Civil Society — a Driver of Reform and Democracy,” implemented with the support of Norway and Sweden, in partnership with ISAR Ednannia.
#AnatomyOfEmpire #Ukraine #History #Geopolitics #RussianImperialism
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Ukraine is losing its population
For every birth in Ukraine, there are three deaths. And only 23% of Ukrainians living abroad plan to return home.
🎙 Speaker — @AnatoliyAmelin, Executive Director and Co-founder of the UIF think tank
#Demography #Ukraine #Migration #Geopolitics #UIF
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🇺🇦🇨🇳 What does an investor need to trust Ukraine?
Not slogans. Not promises. Rules.
In the new Amelin Talks episode:
— Why China creates billionaires while Ukraine loses businesses
— Why up to 40% of relocated companies may never return
— How the US and China protect investors
— Whether Chinese capital could help rebuild Ukraine
China is not driven by emotions in geopolitics — it is driven by long-term economic strategy.
Can Ukraine become part of that strategy?
Featuring Viacheslav Lysenko — investor, co-owner of Meest, and CEO Club Ukraine.
🎥 Full conversation via youtu.be/Sbsz1_8GSd0
#Ukraine #China #Investments #Economy #Business #Reconstruction
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🇺🇦🇹🇷 Ukraine and Turkey: partnership without an alliance.
As Russia’s war drags on, Moscow is losing influence in the Black Sea–Caucasus region, while Turkey’s role continues to grow.
Kyiv and Ankara may not become formal allies, but pragmatic cooperation is expanding in defense, logistics, Black Sea security, and reconstruction.
🔗 More in the new analysis by Ukrainian Institute for the Future: uifuture.org/statti/ukrayina…
#Ukraine #Turkey #Geopolitics
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