Political Scientist | Director of the Institute of the Middle and Far East @JagiellonskiUni |
Joined July 2013
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86 Photos and videos
Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
Jun 15
Trump and Vance both electronically signed the MOU with Iran. @mb_ghalibaf signed from the Iranian side, U.S. official said
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
Jun 10
Explosions reported in multiple Iranian Persian Gulf cities as the US begins a new round of strikes on Iran.
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
Jun 1
"The Iranian negotiation style is generally known in the world as the ‘bazaar style,’ which means continuous and tireless bargaining,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi wrote in his 2025 diplomatic memoir. “This method is a process of interaction that requires great patience and time,” and thus, “he who gets tired and bored quickly will lose.” theatlantic.com/internationa…
Jun 1
I spoke to President Trump on the phone last hour about the end of negotiations with the Iranians. He told me: “I don’t care if they’re over, honestly. I really don’t care. I couldn’t care less. If they’re over, they’re over. If they’re not, you know, I think they took too much time. Frankly, I thought they started to get very boring.”
cnbc.com/2026/06/01/trump-ir…
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
May 28
New reporting from Reuters indicates that Israel has issued evacuation orders covering 20% of Lebanon, far beyond the "buffer zone" it previously announced to the Litani River.
More than half of the evacuation orders were *north* of Litani.
Gaza tactics in Lebanon.
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
May 26
The oil barrels keep trickling out the Strait of Hormuz. Today, two super oil tankers (VLCC) crossed in dark mode, carrying Saudi and Emirates crude.
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
May 15
BREAKING: UAE discloses it’s building an additional second pipeline bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.
The new pipeline will be finished in 2027 and will double the country’s export capacity in Fujairah (the current pipeline has a capacity of 1.5-1.8m b/d)
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
#JUmedia | 1 maja 🇦🇪 opuściły OPEC, czyli Organizację Krajów Eksportujących Ropę Naftową. Wydarzenie to komentuje w rozmowie z red. @DariuszRosiak prof. @fyderek z Instytutu Bliskiego i Dalekiego Wschodu @WSMiPUJ.
raportostanieswiata.pl/odcin…
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
🇮🇷 Iran ograł Trumpa? Blokada Cieśniny Ormuz. 🇭🇺 Węgry? Pospolite ruszenie
Posłuchaj:
youtu.be/w8eVEZVCXOs?si=z-NU…
➡️ Iran, mimo braku potężnych sojuszników i funkcjonowania w stanie „strategicznej samotności”, skutecznie wykorzystuje asymetryczne środki nacisku, takie jak manipulowanie percepcją zagrożenia w Cieśninie Ormuz
➡️Węgry stoją obecnie u progu fundamentalnych zmian politycznych, które mogą zakończyć erę dominacji Viktora Orbána i wprowadzić kraj na zupełnie nowe tory relacji z Europą.
🎙️ Zapraszam na wydanie specjalne "Rzecz o geopolityce" w @rzeczpospolita - prof. @fyderek @JagiellonskiUni oraz @TomaszSynowiec @JagiellonskiUni
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
Apr 12
More than 37,000 housing units destroyed in Lebanon since the start of the war.
Apr 12
~40,000 housing units destroyed or heavily damaged in just 35 days — ≈16% of total war damage since Oct 2023.
Most affected: Southern Beirut Suburbs, Nabatieh, Bint Jbeil, Sour.
CNRS-L/NCNE continues evidence-based monitoring.
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Łukasz Fyderek retweeted
Apr 7
NEWS: Trump says he has agreed to a hold off on expanded strikes in Iran for two weeks on the condition it reopen the Strait of Hormuz immediately, after a conversation with Pakistan’s PM
“We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate.”
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Apr 7
🧵 When nations threaten each other, the margin between deterrence and disaster is razor thin. Understanding the logic of threat — credibility, miscalculation, and the stress it produces — has never been more urgent. J. David Singer mapped it all out in 1963. Thread.
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Apr 7
Threatening a wide range of actions either exhausts the threatening state or corners the threatened state with no exit.
If the threatened state's leadership is internally weak, threat makes things WORSE. Threat designed to force compliance instead forces resistance-to keep power
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Apr 7
To sum up: threat isn't going away. In an anarchic international system with no real authority above nations, coercion is often the only lever available. But used carelessly, it doesn't just fail — it makes the situation actively worse for everyone.
/end 🧵
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