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High-Impact USD Events This Week (June 15-19, 2026) All four high-impact USD events land on one day — Wednesday, June 17: WEDNESDAY, JUNE 17 - 2:00 PM ET — Federal Funds Rate | Forecast: 3.75% | Previous: 3.75% - 2:00 PM ET — FOMC Economic Projections | (no forecast/previous) - 2:00 PM ET — FOMC Statement | (no forecast/previous) - 2:30 PM ET — FOMC Press Conference | (no forecast/previous) No high-impact USD events on Mon, Tue, Thu, or Fri. Note on the rest of the week: Wednesday also carries medium-impact Core Retail Sales (fcst 0.5% vs prev 0.7%) and Retail Sales (0.5% vs 0.5%) at 8:30 AM, plus a Trump speech at 9:30 AM — all ahead of the FOMC. Thursday brings Unemployment Claims (fcst 225K vs prev 229K). Friday is a US bank holiday. BIGGEST MOVER TO WATCH: The FOMC Rate Decision Economic Projections Powell Press Conference on Wednesday, June 17. Markets are pricing no change (3.75%), so the dot plot (rate projections) and the press conference tone will drive the real move. --------------------------------- OPTIONS EXPIRATION THIS FRIDAY — June 19, 2026 — Triple Witching June is a quarterly month (Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec), so this Friday is a Triple Witching expiration: stock options, stock index options, and stock index futures all expire simultaneously. Expect elevated volume and volatility into the close, especially with the FOMC decision two days prior.
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Миколаїв 🇺🇦✈︎Quick Path-Finder its been Enhanced cloud layers meteoBlue with Ukraine surface clouds groups analitics 12xxZ UTC 15th,June 2026 Bottom of them 0900hpa @ 03200ft alt Bottom of them 0800hpa @ 06400ft alt ----- Upper of them 0600hpa @ 14000ft alt Upper of them 0400hpa @ 24000ft alt WAFC LONDON PGDE14 06Z-15th Over! 🇺🇦✈︎👁‍🗨 North of Barents sea/South of Barents sea and the Mid europe ridges makes softly surrounded for the Finland/Baltic Sea twin of troughs Its seems move getting slowly than before bulletins FCST to the Komi Republic Now slowly moving of Mid Europes ridge makes UA airspaces Sealing alt is FCSTed 10000/13500ft alt and the strong westerlise makes waving for upper surface of 24000/32000ft alt Also spot/Zebra SKC with Lower meteoBlue Clouds alt analitics shows spot/Band hole of SKC over the Миколаїв/Кривий Ріг But 3500/5500ft alt there are Cu/Cs/Sc clouds can be confirmed TVL Trzcianka webcam Baltic sea troughs will be move slowly and Front will be also moving now to the NE Cause Black sea and the FCST mid europes ridges Push up to them Analitics👁‍🗨 Kiev and the Western UA faces each Low Mid and the upper clouds volumes getting reduce Still Mid and the Eastern Air spaces has a 10000/13500 sealing and the spot zebra zone 3500/4500-5500ft each
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Highly dynamic WX situation this morning. Westerly winds at FL180 are FCST 40 kts. Lower clouds are pushed rapidly along. Possible clear WX is around 2-3 hrs away -> aiming to be on station at 0700 Z.
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x.com/RJt5observatory/status… 🇺🇦✈︎Quick Path-Finder its been Enhanced cloud layers meteoBlue with Ukraine surface clouds groups analitics 21xxZ UTC 14th,June 2026 Bottom of them 0900hpa @ 03200ft alt Bottom of them 0800hpa @ 06400ft alt ----- Upper of them 0600hpa @ 14000ft alt Upper of them 0400hpa @ 24000ft alt WAFC LONDON PGDE14 18Z-14th Over! 🇺🇦👁‍🗨✈︎Already Night zone spreads ove the Ukraine IR image sensors gets bit reduce of potentials full spec mid and east UA airspace indicates no clouds zones It seems but Meanwhile Dnipro and the Vinnytsia Chernivtsi gets rainy or the mist its means Lower clouds over there These are the waving form results from the last FCST of few spots excepts 10000/13500ft sealings
Replying to @RJt5observatory
x.com/RJt5observatory/status… 🇺🇦✈︎Quick Path-Finder its been Enhanced cloud layers meteoBlue with Ukraine surface clouds groups analitics 12xxZ UTC 14th,June 2026 Bottom of them 0900hpa @ 03200ft alt Bottom of them 0800hpa @ 06400ft alt ----- Upper of them 0600hpa @ 14000ft alt Upper of them 0400hpa @ 24000ft alt WAFC LONDON PGDE14 06Z-14th Over! 🇺🇦✈︎👁‍🗨Wave of pressures line makes Sky clear over the East Ukraine Few days ago there are torughs and now we have approching WWN-EES axis super long ridges it should be bring ukraine west wind and the cold and dry Sealing layer spreads arond the 10000/13500ft alt while few days and then few spots will be observates such a fast wind of westerlise/[Polar volteces southern belt]like a eastern Ukraine TVL Trz webcam shows you skc and the Dnipro sky has 3500/5500ft alt FEW Cu2/8 Tendency will kept untill few days long
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Macro Week Ahead 🗓️ Wednesday 06/17 • Core Retail Sales m/m · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 0.5% • Retail Sales m/m · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 0.5% • President Trump Speaks · 9:30 AM ET · fcst N/A • Federal Funds Rate · 2:00 PM ET · fcst 3.75% • FOMC Economic Projections · 2:00 PM ET · fcst N/A • FOMC Statement · 2:00 PM ET · fcst N/A • FOMC Press Conference · 2:30 PM ET · fcst N/A Thursday 06/18 • Philly Fed Manufacturing Index · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 11.4 • Unemployment Claims · 8:30 AM ET · fcst 225K $SPY #StockMarket #Trading Trade Alerts · Daily Market Analysis · 14 Live Screeners · TradingView Indicators patreon.com/TradingApologist
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SIGMET - Tempestes incrustades a la zona de pluja Validesa 2026-06-14 15:30 UTC - 2026-06-14 19:30 UTC Altitud per sota de 9754 m Regió TEHERAN Emès per OIII Text brut WSIR31 OIII 141313 OIIX SIGMET 05 VÀLID 141330/141730 OIII- OIIX TEHERAN FIR EMBD TS OBS/FCST WI N2558
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x.com/RJt5observatory/status… 🇺🇦UHMI 6days FCST introduces⛅️📉📈☔️⛅️ 🇺🇦✈✈︎ Finland and the Baltic sea there are twin occluded Low [its transform and the merge for the one low thenever move to the Komi Republic] Other French ridges move to East Frank regions also atlantic sea has a 992.3hpa low Ukraine airspaces has a WWN to EES that outside of Polar volteces belts it wil stable blowing over the Ukraine Now we have 24000ft alts AS/AC but its blowing while even day afterwards still #AS[#Altitudesーstrutus] blownthrough the high speeds as of westelise At a results UA airspaces 13500ft sealings and the other spot will be observates lower clouds these height will be 3500/6500/7500ft CS/CU/AC/AS 16th Tuesday special events coming Mid Europe airspaces gots W-S axis of ridges and then West UA/Romania[Exp':Carpathian]gets cold vorteces or small low at aresults it makes unstable conditions for the UA West UA/and the southern axis of khersons front gets influence from them[#Phenomenan] #UHMI6daysFCST #Kiev #Бахмут #Запорiжжя #Херсон #Українськийーгідрометеорологічнийーцентр #SouthernAxis #EasternFront #UHMI6dysFCST #ウクライナ水文気象局6日間予
Replying to @RJt5observatory
x.com/RJt5observatory/status… 🇺🇦UHMI 6days FCST introduces☁️☔️📉🗓 ⚠️each resources from the UHMI weather portal RJt5 put with comments for these figures 👁‍🗨Carpathian/Southern Crimea ridges has been moved and till the day after tomorrow seeing will be fine but the West Front already reached at the west positions excepts ridges zone at the UA air spaces while now #UHMI6daysFCST #Kiev #Бахмут #Запорiжжя #Херсон #Українськийーгідрометеорологічнийーцентр #SouthernAxis #EasternFront #UHMI6dysFCST #ウクライナ水文気象局6日間予
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Antoni Mañé i Rovira retweeted
EMBD TS OBS/FCST WI N3759 E05450 - N3812 E05645 - N3727 E05926 - N3621 E06016 - N3612 E05631 - N3658 E05428 - N3759 E05450 TOP ABV FL320 MOV ENE NC=
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Salim Fauzu Noor retweeted
GOOAALLL! Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland Breel Embolo scores the penalty! #DStvWorldCup2026 #EverythingCanWait
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Replying to @brivael
Admire your unabashed enthusiasm. I’d fcst a pullback. Humans are humans. Btw, livestream is an interesting concept … latency seems intractable for the foreseeable future. Now, how are we doing on delta v?
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仕事ができれば学歴(新卒除く)、年齢、gender等一切関係ない。(性格がいいのはプラスにはなる) トーマスさんの4700万円はかなりインセンティブが跳ねてるので外れ値かもしれませんが、AEでがんばれば3000万円は普通に狙える職種。ただ、FCSTのプレッシャーに耐えられる人でないと厳しいのは事実。
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FCST: JUN WK 3 / YTD WK 24
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📊 $ES Yesterday's responsive buying from 7232 built a neutral profile into 7420, closing 7398. Overnight carried long to 7451, now 7404—above value but below the highs. Michigan Sentiment at 09:00 CT tests conviction. MACRO • 09:00 CT Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel (fcst 46 vs 44.8 prior) — High-impact consumer confidence read; beats support risk-on continuation, misses could stall the overnight extension • Mag 7 premarket strength (Alphabet 1.3%, Meta 1%, NVDA 0.6%) per @ZeroHedge — tech leadership supports ES upside bias into the open • UBS cuts gold targets on delayed Fed cuts per @DeItaone — risk-on rotation backdrop favors equities over safe havens Market carried long overnight, trading 7404 into the open—well above yesterday's 7232-7361 value area but shy of the 7451 overnight high. The 7587 NPOC above acts as the next major magnet if buyers sustain through Michigan Sentiment at 09:00 CT. Overnight inventory is long, so responsive sellers should test the 7374 overnight low and yesterday's 7361 VA high on any early weakness. If the open auctions higher and holds 7400 , initiative buyers target the 7450 overnight high and 7491 weekly high. Failure to hold overnight lows brings 7361 and the 7315 5-day composite POC into play as downside objectives. The 09:00 CT data is the first real test—strong print extends, weak print flushes the overnight longs. SETUPS • RESP SHORT @ 7448-7455 — if overnight high tested into 09:00 data — REQUIRE: rejection wick, sellers step in within 2 TPOs — ABORT if prints above 7460 or holds above 7450 for 3 periods • FAIL LONG @ 7375-7380 — if early pullback tests overnight low — REQUIRE: buyers defend, reclaim 7390 within 30min — ABORT if breaks 7370 or can't reclaim 7385 by 10:00 CT • NPOC LONG @ 7585-7590 — if initiative buying extends above 7491 weekly high — REQUIRE: clean breakout structure, no excess at 7491 — ABORT if forms excess above 7580 or reverses 15 pts • SKIP ES if double-distribution chop develops by 10:30 CT with no clear directional conviction post-data
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🛢 $CL CL sold hard overnight, gapping down 2.50pts from settle into 83.20-86.40 range. Yesterday's neutral profile at 85.74-93.64 now overhead resistance. Key question: does 83.20 low hold or do we test deeper NPOCs at 56-60 zone? MACRO • 09:00 CT Michigan Consumer Sentiment (fcst 46 vs 44.8 prior) — weak consumer data typically bearish for demand outlook, but CL already in freefall mode; watch for extreme miss • @ZeroHedge noting traders shorting oil "as if Hormuz crisis is over" — suggests positioning may be stretched short-term, but @JavierBlas ECB hike timing comment implies macro headwinds building • No direct petroleum data today; tape-driven session with sentiment as wildcard Overnight gap down is pure initiative selling, breaking below weekly bracket low (85.74) and trading into air. The 83.20 low is critical—hold there and we get a bounce attempt toward overnight POC 86.08 or prior day low 85.74. Fail 83.20 and the next NPOCs are ancient history at 59.64, 57.05, 56.29, which would imply capitulation. The 5-day composite is already bearish and we're outside value, so responsive buyers need to show immediately at the open or this becomes a flush. Watch for any strength into 86.08-87.71 (settle) as fade zones if we do bounce—sellers are in full control until proven otherwise. SETUPS • RESP LONG @ 83.20-83.50 — if overnight low holds on first test — REQUIRE: immediate two-sided trade, positive delta, failure to make new lows — ABORT if breaks 83.00 or no bounce within 30min • FAIL SHORT @ 86.00-86.40 — if bounce into overnight high/POC zone — REQUIRE: rejection wick, negative delta, lower high structure — ABORT if reclaims 87.00 • NPOC SHORT @ 88.05 — if improbable rally into prior day VA low — REQUIRE: stall, volume spike, reversal candle — ABORT if accepts above 88.50 • SKIP CL if chop inside 84.00-86.00 with no directional conviction by 10:30 CT
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🥇 $GC Gold failed auction above 4240 into 4284 NPOC, closed 4234 but overnight gapped 114 pts from settle to 4191-4250 range. Market carried long, now testing prior session highs. Does Michigan sentiment at 09:00 CT trigger responsive selling or do longs press into 4284? MACRO • 09:00 CT Michigan Consumer Sentiment (fcst 46 vs 44.8 prior) — modest improvement expected but still deeply recessionary; gold typically ignores unless major surprise shifts rate expectations • UBS cuts gold targets $300-900/oz citing delayed Fed easing and stronger US data — headwind narrative but price action overnight suggests market fading that view • Real rates and DXY remain the drivers; watch for any dollar weakness on sentiment miss supporting gold continuation Overnight session absorbed yesterday's failed auction and gapped higher, building value around 4236 with market carried long into the open. The 4284 NPOC sits directly overhead as the nearest magnet and natural target if buyers remain in control through Michigan data. Responsive sellers have the entire overnight range to fade if sentiment data triggers profit-taking from longs. The structural question is whether this gap holds or gets filled back into yesterday's 4191-4241 bracket. If buyers defend 4220 halfback and push through yesterday's 4241 high, 4284 becomes the obvious draw. If sellers reclaim initiative and drive back under 4220, the gap fill into 4190s and retest of yesterday's value becomes likely. SETUPS • RESP SHORT @ 4248-4255 — if overnight highs tested into open without conviction — REQUIRE: stalling volume, delta divergence, rejection wicks — ABORT if breaks 4260 with expanding volume • FAIL LONG @ 4262-4268 — if breaks above overnight range and holds — REQUIRE: sustained buying delta, acceptance above 4250 for 2 TPOs — ABORT if reverses back under 4245 within 30 mins • VA80 SHORT @ 4235-4240 — if rotates back to overnight POC area and stalls — REQUIRE: responsive selling delta, failure to reclaim 4245 — ABORT if Michigan data triggers breakout above 4250 • SKIP GC if opens inside 4220-4240 and rotates without directional conviction through 10:30 CT
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Bociek1905 retweeted
a walk b4 evg. as the wx fcst said, it is hot t'day. 28° i don't hav the energy to wlk to the shrine. i only looked at the pansys & azaleas, & quickly ran into the shade.
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今Qコミット案件slip確定して毎週のFCST地獄っす。 早くQ3来てほしいっす。
外資ITの営業は四半期ごとの数字目標を厳しく追求され、一度「今期に取れます」と宣言した案件が、例え数日であっても、期末を守らなければ「とんでも無いこと」になる。理不尽な世界線であり辟易しているが、もはやこの世界のゲームのルール、いわば"縛り"として受け入れるしかない悲しき境地
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