PGA DFS Picks, Advice, and Strategy: The PGA Daily Plug
HomePGA DFS Picks, Advice, and Strategy: The PGA Daily Plug
📷PGA DFS Picks: The PGA Daily Plug for the 2026 Memorial Tournament
The PGA Daily Plug highlights the top PGA DFS picks for the 2026 Memorial Tournament contests on FanDuel & DraftKings, then provides strategies on how to build lineups for all contest types.The PGA DFS picks and advice below is provided by Niromada, a staple in the Occupy PGA Discord channel and perennial top 75 PGA DFS player according to RotoGrinders rankings. Join our Discord channel by becoming a YouTube subscriber.Note: Niromada will provide picks from his personal player pool -- and they may differ from the rankings in our Occupy Model -- but Niromada is tuned into the golf scene and can provide context that isn't taken into account by the Model. We must also remember that the Model is built exclusively for high-risk contests, so Niromada can also help us decipher the best plays for low-risk contests the Model may overlook.Also be sure to check out:DON'T MISS! Listen to our interview with Niromada here where he discusses integral DFS strategies.
For full high-risk rankings on FanDuel, DraftKings, and Yahoo! -- for both Classic and Showdown contests -- dive into the PGA Occupy Model.
UPDATES:Updates will be made here in blue after the Plug is posted Wednesday morning.
The Wednesday Update
Pinnacle Steam MovesHere is the summary of the line moves at Pinnacle Sports so far. The percentage next to the name means the percent that the odds have gotten smaller since the time that Pinnacle opened their market on Monday evening US time until now. Where now is roughly midday in the US on Wednesday.
It should be noted that to streamline the data and make more sense of these moves, I am no longer including someone in this list if their odds to win were higher than 200-1 before the line move.
Harry Hall 25%
Pierceson Coody 24%
Sahith Theegala 22%
Alex Noren 20%
Jacob Bridgeman 10%
Alex Fitzpatrick 10%
Jason Day 10%
Harris English 7%
Tony Finau 3%
Maverick McNealy 3%
Nicolai Hojgaard 3%
Kristoffer Reitan 3%
Nick Taylor 2%
Alex Smalley 2%
Eric Cole 2%
Sungjae Im 1%
Hideki Matsuyama 1%
Justin Rose 1%
Chris Gotterup 1%
Pinnacle Misprice ListWhat if we let the Pinnacle Odds to Win market price the field on DK this week instead of the DK Pricing Algorithm? The below chart reflects the biggest values according to Pinnacle's current odds. For example, in the DK price rankings, J.J. Spaun is the 21st most expensive golfer in the field, but he has the 14th lowest odds at Pinnacle, so there is a 33% value on Spaun according to Pinnacle.
J.J. Spaun 33%
Justin Thomas 29%
Ludvig Aberg 25%
Russell Henley 25%
Alex Smalley 24%
Sepp Straka 22%
Bud Cauley 22%
Nick Taylor 20%
Jordan Spieth 17%
Nicolas Echavarria 16%
Keegan Bradley 15%
Gary Woodland 14%
Aaron Rai 13%
Justin Rose 12%
Ryan Gerard 12%
Alex Noren 11%
Weather forecast: the forecast is basically unchanged. It should be calm on Thursday and increasingly get windier on Friday and into the weekend. Anyone who is out in the first 6-8 tee times on Friday might have a slight weather edge over the field. I don’t think I’ll be going out of my way to play it.
We currently have Scheffler predicted for 26% ownership in large field, but I think he will end closer to 30% or above. Aberg might be the only other person who gets above 20%. My current plan is to meet the field on Scottie and make my stands elsewhere.
Currently, there is one trifecta play: Alex Smalley.
Good luck to everyone this week!
Notable Betting Odds:Biggest Favorites:
Scottie Scheffler ( 300)
Rory McIlroy ( 1000)
Ludvig Aberg ( 1200)
Cameron Young ( 1400)
Xander Schauffele ( 1400)
Matt Fitzpatrick ( 2000)
Russell Henley ( 2000)
Patrick Cantlay ( 2200)
Si Woo Kim ( 2200)Weather:
Wind ForecastA calm Thursday gives way to increased wind as the day progresses on Friday and more wind on the weekend. Perhaps a slight edge to Thursday afternoon tee times, so keep an eye on the forecast.Course Info:
Course: Muirfield Village GC (Dublin, OH)
Length: 7,500
Par: Par 72
Grass Type: Fairways: Bentgrass | Rough: Bluegrass | Greens: Bentgrass
Likely winning score: -9 to -14Course attributes: Course redesign 5 years ago made total driving more important than it used to be | It is still predominantly a second shot golf course | Deep rough off the fairways and around the greens is the norm | Good positional approach play is rewarded here | Although the four par 5’s were lengthened on the redesign, scoring well on them is still a big key to winning.Player attributes we want: Strokes gained approach and accuracy with approaches over 150 yards will be my number one look this week | Second on my list is total driving, the penalty for big misses off the tee has increased over the past few years and the fairway bunkers are more penal here than your average Tour venue | Positive course history gets a bump this week as there is enough nuance to the course that playing it well previously is a big advantage.Key Stats:
PGA has a lot of data available for you to consider. This week, the following stats are important. This changes week to week based on course characteristics in PGA DFS.
Ball Striking
Birdies Gained
Bogeys Avoided
Approach, especially from 150 Yards
Driving Accuracy
Around the Green
Scrambling
Putting Variance* - custom Occupy Fantasy analysis built into the Occupy ModelWeekly Transparency:
We'll use this section to track my top plays throughout the season. The performance of previous picks are below:The plus/minus number is the amount above or below the player scored when compared to their pre-tournament expected fantasy points based on their DK salary number. Note that these totals will always be wonky / overly negative when the course plays difficult due to the lack of fantasy scoring for birdies etc. – and when the course plays extremely easy, the /- scores will always be overly positive. This all evens itself out over a long timeframe.Jackson Suber ( 9)
Andrew Putnam ( 9)
Emiliano Grillo ( 8)
Alex Smalley ( 29)
Brian Harman ( 13)
Tony Finau (-32)Others I liked more than the field: Fowler (-45), Cole ( 49), Spaun ( 23), Thorbjornsen ( 12) and Hall (-43).