I'm looking for a way to see how much Simplify interest rate hedges PFIX and RFIX will add convexity to my holdings. Will it graph that for me?

Meine Menschen hapen mich entpführt hapen tun Auto pfahren fremde Stadt laufen ohne Ende.bin pfix und pfertig.aber bett war bequem und die pfepflegung auch ganz okay.

Ja kommt pfix, ihr beiden! 🫶

여름까지만 뻐겨도 이란이 유리한 협상 우위 점할수 잇는데 절대 이란이 굴복 안하죠 ㅋㅋ 석유가스주식 & pfix 사야할듯요

Simplify Interest Rate Hedge ETF (PFIX) 라는 장기채 풋옵션 역할해주는 고배당 etf 덕에 요즘 약간 헷지햇네요 조만간 베센트가 장기채 매수해주거나 희망 발언 & 트럼프 타코 가능성 높아기길 기대중입니다.

En fait les Nancy et les dijonnais voir les auxerrois sont pas si horribles que ça Force aux mecs du Red Star qui doivent dialoguer avec les qatarix et les pfix

Congrats on the new gig Eric. Thanks for all the help before on the PFiX.

Pfix has done well Only one i bought was tua

Pfreund:innen, könnt ihr bitte pfix den Pfragebogen auspfüllen? Daaaaanke! 🥰

Poah war das heute ansträngend ! Zuerst pviel spielen bei Oma und dann bei Herrchen am Pfussballplatz. Der Ball!!! Der ..,der wollte nicht ins Tor. Ich bin jetzt pfix & pfertig als Co Trainer! Hasi und ich sagen gute Nacht 💤 bis gleich aupf der Pflitzwiese😘🐾

As I told @Varneyco, the 30-year sure looks like it wants 5%. $PFIX is one way to hedge against higher rates— do your own due diligence! simplify.us/etfs/pfix-simpli…

Und nachher die 🍪 auch😉 Ich bin jetzt pfix und pfertig. Hast du schon Pfeierabend?

MOVE at 110 and you're layering into PFIX while it's down 32% from highs -- respect. most people wait for bonds to blow up then buy the top of the vol spike. you banking on inversion unwind or just straight term premium repricing?

🎯🎯🎯🤝 @SE300Factory turned me on to $PFIX a few years ago. Very cool fund, good rates hedge to balance equity longs.

$PFIX MOVE index 74, 10y/2y 0.52, 20y yield 4.85% #Inflation is rising. Oil is required in every industry & commodity. Higher gas will hit consumers #FED can't cut #InterestRates, but they can't raise either in a cost push oil shock #economy

Great information Brad, thank you for taking time to post it. I wonder if $RISR or $PFIX might also work in lieu or in addition to TIPS?

🟢 SCENARIO A: The “Disinflation Resumes” (High Conviction Bull) Core CPI falls short of estimates, while headline CPI aligns with estimates. Narrative: The “Energy Spike” was a temporary anomaly. Core inflation is gradually decreasing, providing the Federal Reserve with the green light for potential easing in late 2026. Market Move: A sharp “Short Squeeze” is expected in the tech and small-cap sectors. The Playbook: | Asset Class | Direction | Tickers | | :— | :— | :— | | Equities | 📈 Long | $QQQ, $IWM, $NVDA | | Crypto | 📈 Long | $BTC, $ETH | | USD/Rates | 📉 Short | $DXY, $US10Y | | Metals | 📈 Long | $GLD, $SLV | 🔴 SCENARIO B: The “Inflation Sticky-Tape” (Hard Bear) Core CPI surpasses estimates, while headline CPI also exceeds estimates. Narrative: Inflation is not merely a temporary phenomenon; it has become a structural issue. The Federal Reserve’s “Higher for Longer” strategy is expected to evolve into a “Higher Forever” approach. Market Move: A liquidation event is anticipated. Yields will spike, leading to a widespread “Risk Off” sentiment. The Playbook: | Asset Class | Direction | Tickers | | :— | :— | :— | | Equities | 📉 Short | $SPY, $DIA, $SMH | | Defensives | 📈 Long | $SHV, $PFIX (Rate Hedge) | | USD | 📈 Long | $UUP, $USD/JPY | | Energy | 📈 Long | $XLE, $XOP (Inflation Hedge) | 🟡 SCENARIO C: The “Head-Fake” (Mixed Bag) In this scenario, the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates are met, but the headline CPI exceeds them. This creates confusion, as the headline CPI appears alarming due to high gas prices, while the underlying data remains stable. The market response is likely to be a “V-bottom” or “Inverted V,” characterized by choppy price action that triggers stop-losses on both sides. The recommended strategy is to remain cash and wait for the 10-year Treasury yield ($TNX) to settle. If the yields don’t surpass the morning high, the potential dip in the market is likely to be bought.

Thanks as always for sharing DCP! This is such a great summary. I've seen you and others who are credible and experienced sharing similar views and concerns (@BlacklionCTA on Fed etc, @EconstratPB on macro implication and how to monetize, and @moreproteinbars monitoring the oil situation w facts only), and when you overlay that the recent PA in the respective retail ETFs, it really does seem overcrowded on the short rate side… For ex: take a look at $TUA, the ST Treasury Futures ETF, essentially a 2yr note proxy that benefits when front-end rates fall, and $PFIX t he interest rate hedge ETF that mimics a long-dated put on 20yr bonds. TUA just printed some of the highest selling volume on record, dipped to a new ATL, but closed back above on Friday bounce….reeks of capitulation to me. And PFIX seeing record volume on March 25 with over 1.2M shares traded is the other side of the same coin…so everyone who uses the retail vehicles (who is assumed to be relatively uninformed) have piled into the rising yield trade at exactly the wrong time. Whenever consensus is this one-sided in retail instruments, I pay attention because the unwind tends to be fast and violent in the other direction, even if just for a ST trade. I've been thinking about the cleanest leveraged vehicle for this thesis without using futures, and I think I've settled on buying TUA or perhaps XLU calls for leveraged play a few months out, slightly OTM. Logic being tilities are one the purest rate-sensitive equity proxy, defensive enough to survive a growth scare (or recession), and the options give me defined risk with leveraged upside when cuts get repriced. The overcrowded retail short just makes the timing feel closer than the macro data has fully confirmed yet, so it just bolsters your case. Cheers, posting for other retail tradoorrs to see/learn.

What working in this crappy tape today? $USO $DBE $DBC $DBA $UUP $USDU $XLE $SPHD $XLU $XLRE $CTA $TBT $PFIX