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Schoen reveals he is bearish on fee-based coins "A general area that I'm very bearish on is claim the fees." "I only bid banker coins because everyone else was a month ago and that's where the volume was." "I'm just extremely bearish on that whole business model." "You don't want something that was never meant to have a token to begin with." "Having a token for a project is a lot of commitment. It's a lot of work, and a lot of people who are outside of crypto are not gonna understand what it takes to go through like 90% drawdowns and still grind your product and integrate your token." "Why would a founder ever give up upside or like equity in their company when you know they're just getting like free money from traders?"
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Replying to @JuliOnTwtr
Perma bulls must be going bananas We've seen nothing but drawdowns over the last several weeks And OIL prices just keep coming down Goes to show you. Trade the OIL FUTURES math levels and not your emotions. Good luck all.
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Replying to @CFlanders7
I watched the video after you posted it, and it gave me another reason to take the 5% monthly risk limit seriously. The math of drawdowns is unforgiving. A 10% loss needs an 11% gain to recover. A 20% loss needs 25%. A 30% loss needs 43%. The deeper the drawdown, the more the next opportunity cycle gets spent recovering instead of compounding. That is why the rule matters. Better environments will eventually come, but our job as operators is to survive the bad tape with capital, confidence, and emotional stability intact. The goal is not to avoid all losses; it is to prevent losses from becoming geometrically expensive. Do you have a loss limit % setup with your brokerage? Because when emotions are heightened it’s easy to lose that long term vision. Also when do you think is a right time to start talking to a therapist or performance coach?
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Replying to @GavinSBaker
Probably a lot of reasons but seems like the simplest answer is China global reserve drawdowns. Something like 40-50% of SoH oil went to China pre-war and they massively reduced buying on the open market. And US SPR now down to lowest levels since 1983.
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Replying to @Lowrychris
If it does follow that path, the biggest challenge won’t be direction it’ll be surviving the drawdowns along the way.
Replying to @Danny_Crypton
Danny, your macro cycles are close—but BTC’s May-July drawdowns have historically delayed altcoin season by 4-6 weeks vs historical averages. We track this daily in our *Cycle Shift Index* (CSX). Break it down in our latest report.
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$570B erased from US stocks in hours, losses nearly doubling from the prior $300B drop. Institutions offload overpriced AI chip leaders, leaving retail trapped in heavy drawdowns. DM me for big funds’ top defensive sectors to protect your portfolio amid this selloff.
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GoConfidently.art retweeted
If you hold stock of a visionary wealth can be made . But it comes with 80% drawdowns at times.. Every visionary now , Jensen, musk, sundar, Lisa is expensive . Except Cohen. $GME is cheap at 20. He’s expressed his intent that he wants to be a $60 billion guy not $15. Can it be a 28 dollar stock in January 2028? What about $30? They selling January 2028 $30 dollar call for $3.. LOL Ok $3 is too much. What if it was 1-2 dollar?? This is how I find options. I am sharing my thought process for education of retails .
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Review drawdowns, prioritize safety first. 📊
Lloyd Blankfein. grew up in the projects. became CEO of Goldman Sachs. ran a balance sheet worth hundreds of billions. when asked what separated the traders who made it from the ones who didn't: "the difference between somebody who's really really good and somebody who can't make it is not that great." "you think of a golf tournament and somebody wins by one stroke and there's six people tied for second. that's a very low margin of victory. and a lot of life is like that." "the difference between a great actor who will get any part in Hollywood and the second best one who may have to wait tables at night." "imagine the unfortunate person who's the best athlete his high school ever produced. gets a minor league baseball contract. and from the minor leagues, something like 2% eventually make a living." "you get into very rarefied air when you're talking about people who are the best at what they do, where the market only rewards people who are in the 0.01%." this applies to trading. the gap between a profitable trader and someone who blows up isn't some massive talent difference. it's a handful of small decisions compounded over years, position sizing, validation rigor, patience during drawdowns.
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What to filter for before following any trader: - clear market bias, not random flipping - drawdowns that match your tolerance - sizing that stays controlled under pressure - consistency across multiple conditions - current exposure, not only historical PnL Copy signal. Keep control. NFA.
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Jethro Lormarks retweeted
Price moves. Builders build. We’ve seen much deeper drawdowns and came back stronger every time. This dip doesn’t change the mission, the product, or the direction. Patience is a competitive advantage in this market. See you higher. Solana is life 💎
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Even the largest well known IPOs have experienced significant drawdowns early on. Argues for dollar cost averaging into your favorite IPO. $SPCX $META $SNOW $HOOD $SNAP SpaceX
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Replying to @Reformed_Trader
Just seems so wild that we didn't get the real pump we expected into the ipo, we're not getting any strength after it, and we still get drawdowns on any market red days. Post-explosion the sentiment has been very, very poor. I guess we'll see if a successful launch does anything.
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Governments are drowning in debt. Currencies keep losing purchasing power. Cash keeps getting diluted. Over long periods of time, capital keeps looking for productive assets $TAO Assets that can survive inflation. Assets tied to real output. Assets tied to the next layer of economic growth. That is why AI valuations look insane until you understand what the market is really pricing. Nvidia is not worth trillions by accident. OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI, CoreWeave, Databricks, and the rest of the AI stack are not getting massive valuations for no reason. But the mistake people make is thinking every expensive AI stock is automatically safe. It is not. There will be crashes. There will be drawdowns. There will be hype cycles. There will be brutal rotations. The assets that survive will be the ones grounded in scarcity, math, and useful output.
$TAO is around $2.5B. Nvidia is worth over $5T. Alphabet is over $4.5T. Microsoft is near $3T. Amazon is near $2.7T. Meta is over $1.5T. OpenAI valued around $850B. Anthropic near $965B. xAI has reported around $230B. Databricks is around $134B. CoreWeave is around $62B. Intelligence is becoming the most valuable layer in the world.
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5/6 4. Amor fati – Liebe dein Schicksal Volatilität ist kein Bug, sie ist ein Feature. Drawdowns sind die Zeiten, in denen Compound Interest seine wahre Kraft zeigt. Der Stoiker akzeptiert den Markt wie er ist – und nutzt ihn.
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Replying to @node21BtcBot
Hohe Drawdowns sind Gift. Nicht nur die Tatsache dass es ewig dauert und mehr Gewinn notwendig ist wieder auf Break Even zu sein, der Zustand verleitet zu weiteren dummen Fehlern.
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Isn’t it just mostly due to international strategic inventory drawdowns offsetting the drop in supply? In which case, wouldn’t we still have seen oil prices spike once those inventories ran critically low?
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