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#EchoDerZeit on Swiss radio on Monday. Remember: companies get private credit when they can't get a loan from the bank. Extractive finance capitalism is destructive and needs to be stopped.
Wall Street just got exposed for FAKING the ratings on a $3 TRILLION market.
Columbia Business School researchers found that the ratings underpinning the private credit market are systematically understating how risky the investments actually are.
The ratings say these loans are safe. But the researchers say they're lying. And US life insurance companies have $807 BILLION of their money parked in this exact market.
Private credit is a $3 trillion shadow lending market where investment funds lend money directly to companies instead of banks. It exploded after 2008 because new regulations stopped banks from making risky loans, so Wall Street just moved the same risky loans to a different address where regulators couldn't see them.
The market grew from $10 billion twenty years ago to over $3 trillion today, and the people rating these loans have been telling everyone they're safe the entire time.
But they're NOT safe.
Fitch Ratings reported in May that the US private credit default rate hit a RECORD 6.0% in April 2026. Companies with less than $25 million in earnings are defaulting at 15.8%.
More than one in ten loans in private credit funds have been marked down by at least 50%, meaning they've already lost HALF their value on paper.
And Moody's found that 65% of defaults in 2025 weren't even counted as real defaults because lenders restructured them through extensions and payment-in-kind deals where borrowers pay interest by taking on MORE debt instead of cash.
The defaults are being hidden and the ratings are being inflated, and the people most exposed are the insurance companies managing the policies.
But here's where it gets genuinely scary:
The top 10 US life insurers now hold $352 billion in private illiquid bonds. Apollo runs an insurance company called Athene and KKR runs one called Global Atlantic.
These private equity firms are taking insurance premiums, lending that money to risky companies through their own private credit funds, rating those loans as safe through friendly rating agencies, and collecting fees at every step of the chain. The money goes in a circle and gets counted as safe at every stop.
Blue Owl, one of the biggest private credit managers, literally froze withdrawals from one of its retail funds in February 2026. An Apollo-managed fund cut its dividend and wrote down the value of its loans around the same time. Blackstone had to raise its repurchase limit to handle nearly $2 billion in withdrawal requests in a single day.
And a London-based lender called Market Financial Solutions collapsed entirely with a collateral shortfall exceeding $1 billion after a company called First Brands was caught pledging the same assets as collateral to multiple lenders simultaneously.
Jamie Dimon even saw it coming. On JPMorgan's earnings call he said "when you see one cockroach, there are probably more."
And remember, there's a $162 billion wall of debt that has to be refinanced THIS YEAR at significantly higher interest rates. The companies that borrowed this money can't afford to pay it back, and the lenders are running out of ways to pretend they can.
This is 2008 all over again. Bad loans, fake ratings, insurance companies loaded with toxic assets, and everyone looking the other way because the fees are too good to stop.
The only difference is last time it was mortgages. This time it's corporate loans. And instead of your house being at risk, it's the life insurance and pension.