U.S. intelligence agencies report that China is preparing to send portable air defense missile systems (MANPADS) and a new long-range air defense system to Iran, using Pakistan as a logistics hub for the transit of weapons already deployed by Tehran against U.S. forces.
Beijing aims to take advantage of the current ceasefire to supply Iran’s arsenal with asymmetric technologies via third countries.
This tactic reflects a well-established modus operandi: declassified documents confirm that, in the past, Chinese intelligence assistance was instrumental in identifying and physically eliminating CIA personnel on Iranian soil.
This "behind-the-scenes" role highlights how Beijing secretly supplies weapons, technology, and money while signing diplomatic documents pledging neutrality, repeating the pattern already observed in the Ukrainian conflict, where assistance to Russia was concealed behind superficial peace plans.
China’s military support for Tehran is systemic and has spanned decades. The list of supplied equipment includes Shahed attack drones, HQ-9P surface-to-air missile batteries, advanced YLC-8B radar systems with anti-stealth capabilities, and substantial supplies of ammonium perchlorate, essential for the propulsion of solid-fuel ballistic missiles. Iran’s military effectiveness today depends on China’s “digital backbone”: the integration of the Beidou-3 satellite system for missile precision and real-time SIGINT support provided by the Liaowang-1 naval unit and Jilin-1 satellites.
Reiterating these facts is essential to counter the narrative of a peaceful and impartial China, promoted by a network of propagandists and "useful idiots" serving the CCP’s “three wars” strategy. The war of public opinion uses analysts and academics to portray Beijing as a neutral actor, when in reality Iran serves as a kinetic laboratory for testing Chinese military assets in an anti-Western capacity.
At the same time, Beijing ensures the regime’s stability by purchasing 90% of Iran’s oil, transforming it into a diplomatic asset that guarantees exclusive safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
Anyone who describes China today as a force for peace is not the victim of sloppy analysis or ignorance, but a willing accomplice to an imperial strategy that arms bloodthirsty regimes while proclaiming its neutrality to the world.
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Extrema Ratio
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Gabriele Iuvinale and Nicola Iuvinale, corporate lawyers with 25 years of experience, are OSINT analysts specializing in national security and China’s influence strategies. Through Extrema Ratio, they provide proactive strategic analysis. They publish regularly in specialized journals and on their own website, supporting governments and companies in mitigating the risks of liminal warfare.
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