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Yarın yer yer orta-iyi seviyede shear desteği var.İç Ege ve İç Anadolu'da organize multicell hatta yer yer süper hücremsi oluşumlar görülebilir.Mikroburst potansiyeli de iyi.
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did anyone say it was the first cell, genius? or from single-cell to multicell?
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Batuhan Boydak retweeted
Perşembe günü #Afyon #Ankara #Konya ve birçok yer için yine riskli bir gün olabilir Multicell ve yer yer iyice organize olmuş kutleler görülebilir
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🎙️ Forecast Brief 🎯 THE SETUP A compact mid-level shortwave trough will swing east through the Great Lakes on Tuesday, June 16, 2026, bringing scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Midwest. The early 0600Z outlook issued a marginal risk for the Midwest/Lower Michigan, but confidence in SEVERE POTENTIAL remained limited by lackluster boundary layer moisture—surface dewpoints only MID/UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60°F. The 1730Z update maintained the marginal risk across a broader swath from the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes to the Central Plains, with the key message unchanged: STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG SHEAR, but MOISTURE REMAINS THE LIMITING FACTOR. A weak cold front will push through the region during the afternoon/evening, serving as the primary focus for convective development. ━━━━━━━━━━ 🗣️ KEY POINTS ⚡ MARGINAL (LEVEL 1/5) SEVERE RISK across portions of the Midwest into Lower Michigan Tuesday afternoon/evening—SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS possible 💨 MAIN THREAT: STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL; a few TORNADO SPIN-UPS cannot be ruled out given 100-200 m²/s² helicity values 🌡️ CRITICAL LIMITATION: MEAGER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE—dewpoints only MID/UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S°F, capping overall severe potential 📍 CORE TARGET ZONE (TIER 1): NORTHERN INDIANA, SOUTHERN/LOWER MICHIGAN, NORTHWEST OHIO—best overlap of moisture, shear, and forcing along the afternoon cold front 🕐 PRIME TIMING: AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING (ROUGHLY 18-00Z / 1-7 PM LOCAL) as the front moves through and diurnal heating peaks 🎯 CHASE POTENTIAL: LOW TO MODERATE—brief/transient supercells and clusters possible, but LIMITED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY mean storms will struggle; NOT A HIGH-CONFIDENCE SETUP ⚠️ WEDNESDAY LOOMS MUCH LARGER—Enhanced (Level 3/5) risk developing for the same region with far better moisture, shear, and instability; SAVE YOUR ENERGY ━━━━━━━━━━ 🌪️ CHASE POTENTIAL 🎯 CORE TARGET (TIER 1): NORTHERN INDIANA, SOUTHERN/LOWER MICHIGAN, NORTHWEST OHIO - STORM MODE: Transient supercells and multicell clusters along and ahead of the weak cold front - TIMING: 18-00Z (1-7 PM LOCAL), peaking mid-to-late afternoon as heating maximizes and front approaches - ENVIRONMENT: Bulk shear ~35 KTS, lapse rates 7-8°C/KM, MLCAPE UP TO 1500 J/KG, SRH 100-200 M²/S²—sufficient for ROTATING UPDRAFTS and BRIEF ORGANIZED STRUCTURES - THREATS: ISOLATED LARGE HAIL and STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS primary; BRIEF TORNADOES possible but not favored - KEY UNCERTAINTY: MOISTURE RETURN—dewpoints starting UPPER 40S, rising only to MID/UPPER 50S by afternoon; CLOUD COVER from early convection may further limit instability - CHASE VERDICT: LOW-TO-MODERATE CONFIDENCE—storms will be SCATTERED AND BRIEF, with the BEST ACTIVITY EAST OF I-39/I-65 where moisture slightly better; NOT A CHASE-FROM-HOME DAY unless already positioned 🌀 SECONDARY ZONE (TIER 2): NORTHERN IOWA/SOUTHERN WISCONSIN—OVERNIGHT - STORM MODE: Elevated/isentropic convection along frontal zone late Tuesday night (near 12Z/7 AM Wednesday) - ENVIRONMENT: Richer 850MB MOISTURE, 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE, strong shear beneath 100 KT 300MB JET, but ELEVATED INSTABILITY only - THREATS: ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL possible; primarily a NOCTURNAL EVENT with low chase appeal ⚠️ BOTTOM LINE: Tuesday is a MARGINAL, MOISTURE-STARVED SETUP with BRIEF/TRANSIENT SEVERE POTENTIAL. The REAL SHOW IS WEDNESDAY—an Enhanced (Level 3/5) risk with far superior moisture, instability, and shear across much of the same region. CONSIDER TUESDAY A POSITIONING DAY and conserve resources for the more robust mid-week system. ━━━━━━━━━━ 🧭 WHAT THE LOCAL OFFICES ARE SAYING TIER 1 CORE (IWX/GRR/CLE/ILN): All four offices emphasize MARGINAL SEVERE RISK TUESDAY WITH DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL PRIMARY, but stress MOISTURE AS THE LIMITING FACTOR (dewpoints mid/upper 50s). IWX notes SHEAR/HELICITY SUFFICIENT FOR TORNADO SPIN-UPS; GRR highlights FIRST LINE LIKELY SUB-SEVERE, with BETTER SEVERE CHANCES EARLY EVENING as mid-level trough arrives; CLE/ILN both flag WEDNESDAY AS THE FAR LARGER CONCERN with Enhanced/Slight risks and all modes of severe weather possible. TIER 2/3 OFFICES (LOT, IND, ILX, LSX, SGF, TOP, ICT, RNK, LWX, PBZ, AKQ, OAX, FSD, ABR, MPX, ARX) broadly echo the marginal threat at lower confidence, with most attention already shifted to Wednesday's more robust system; northern Plains offices (FSD/ABR/MPX) note Tuesday night elevated/isentropic activity along frontal zone, but severe potential remains conditional. ━━━━━━━━━━ 👀 AREAS TO WATCH 🔍 NORTHERN OKLAHOMA: Conditional—some guidance hints at LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING STORMS in warm advection regime, but NO CLEAR INITIATION FOCUS beyond daytime heating; CONFIDENCE LOW. If storms develop, STRONG GUSTS AND ISOLATED HAIL possible; SPC may add low probabilities in later updates. 🔍 NORTHERN IOWA VICINITY—LATE NIGHT: ELEVATED CONVECTION with richer 850mb moisture and 1500-2000 J/KG MUCAPE possible near 12Z Wednesday; NOCTURNAL TIMING and elevated nature limit chase appeal, but bears monitoring if you're positioning overnight. ━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ End of brief.
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** NEXT TWO CHANCES FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ** We've been in quite a busy pattern here in Pennsylvania, and that is not stopping anytime soon. We have two potential threats on Wednesday and Thursday, and as of right now, both of these risks favor the eastern portions of the state. WEDNESDAY: Watching for a warm front to stall across eastern Pennsylvania, which will allow for some multicell and perhaps a supercell or two to develop with favorable wind shear dynamics. There is some uncertainty on how much instability can build, but right now the risk is there for possible gusty winds and a spin-up tornado or two. Timing is favored for the mid-late afternoon.🌪️ THURSDAY: Watching for multiple disturbances to move in from the Midwest from Wednesday night, will be moving in prime time for enough instability to build into eastern Pennsylvania for the early - mid afternoon hours. The wind shear for this time of the year will be quite above average, so we will need to watch for the risk of damaging wind gusts and hail within any storms that develop. This risk remains uncertain, as a slow progression will shift this west, and a faster progression will push the risk outside of PA. ⛈️ Stay tuned for updates and keep these days in mind, especially if you live in the potential threat zones. Right now, these do not appear to be widespread threats. #PAwx #Pennsylvania #SevereWeather #Severe #Meteorology
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Replying to @SpriteFox
I see a multicell thunderstorm with a high standing cumulonimbus with a small anvil
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accscience Programmable organoids and the emergence of circuit-inspired genetic and epigenetic control in human development - AccScience Publishing Opens in a new window researchgate Programmable organoids and the emergence of circuit-inspired genetic and epigenetic control in human development | Request PDF - ResearchGate Opens in a new window weiss-lab.mit Programmable organoids and synthetic morphogenesis - Weiss Lab - MIT Opens in a new window wyss.harvard Scientists build tiny biological robots from human cells - Wyss Institute Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - PMC Opens in a new window orbit.dtu Towards advanced in vitro models of testicular steroidogenesis for endocrine disruption testing - DTU Research Database Opens in a new window doi Revolutionising oral organoids with artificial intelligence - DOI Opens in a new window prelights.biologists Heart Scar-In-A-Dish: Tissue Culture Platform to Study Myocardial Infarct Healing In Vitro Opens in a new window mdpi Modelling Endometriosis Using In Vitro and In Vivo Systems - MDPI Opens in a new window preprints Programmable Organoids and the Emergence of Engineered Genetic and Epigenetic Circuitry in Human Development - Preprints Opens in a new window ORGANOID.html Re: Folding data Opens in a new window Grok Imagine Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Organoid Cultures In Silico: Tools or Toys? - PMC Opens in a new window frontiersin Mathematical Models of Organoid Cultures - Frontiers Opens in a new window mdpi Trainable Multicellular Phase-Field Model for Targeted Pattern Formation via Local Interactions - MDPI Opens in a new window biorxiv Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: insights into cell division and lumenal pressure | bioRxiv Opens in a new window biorxiv Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - bioRxiv Opens in a new window journals.plos Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - Research journals - PLOS Opens in a new window journals.plos Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure | PLOS Computational Biology - Research journals Opens in a new window gitlab Sakurako Tanida / Multicellular Phase Field Model for Organoid Simulation - GitLab Opens in a new window pubs.acs Parameterized Computational Framework for the Description and Design of Genetic Circuits of Morphogenesis Based on Contact-Dependent Signaling and Changes in Cell–Cell Adhesion | ACS Synthetic Biology Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih A computational modeling approach for predicting multicell spheroid patterns based on signaling-induced differential adhesion - PMC Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih A parametrized computational framework for description and design of genetic circuits of morphogenesis based on contact-dependent signaling and changes in cell-cell adhesion - PMC Opens in a new window pubs.acs Mathematical and In Silico Analysis of Synthetic Inhibitory Circuits That Program Self-Organizing Multicellular Structures - ACS Publications Opens in a new window biorxiv Design and Mathematical Analysis of Synthetic Inhibitory Circuits that Program Self-Organizing Multicellular Structures | bioRxiv Opens in a new window biorxiv A Modular Computational Framework for the Design of Multicellular Genetic Circuits of Morphogenesis | bioRxiv Opens in a new window pnas The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self-organization | PNAS Opens in a new window advancedsciencenews Living biobots come together to repair torn tissue - Advanced Science News Opens in a new window researchgate Anthrobots self‐organize into distinct morphological types. A)... - ResearchGate Opens in a new window biorxiv Behavioral, Physiological, and Transcriptional Mechanisms of Memory in a Synthetic Living Construct | bioRxiv Opens in a new window researchgate The Morphological, Behavioral, and Transcriptomic Life Cycle of Anthrobots - ResearchGate Opens in a new window thoughtforms Dr. Michael Levin | Biophysical Intelligence Between Genotype and Phenotype - Forms of life, forms of mind Opens in a new window researchgate Motile Living Biobots Self-Construct from Adult Human Somatic Progenitor Seed Cells Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih The Morphological, Behavioral, and Transcriptomic Life Cycle of Anthrobots - PMC Opens in a new window tigerseyenews A new and upcoming discovery, “Anthrobots”: tiny robots are now capable of living inside humans - The Tiger's Eye Opens in a new window thoughtforms Meet the Anthrobots: a new living entity with much to teach us Opens in a new window templeton Can We Turn Back Time? Anthrobots Can. - John Templeton Foundation Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Motile Living Biobots Self‐Construct from Adult Human Somatic Progenitor Seed Cells Opens in a new window researchgate Gizem Gumuskaya's research works | Tufts University and other places - ResearchGate Opens in a new window researchgate Motile Living Biobots Self‐Construct from Adult Human Somatic Progenitor Seed Cells Opens in a new window gizemgumuskaya Design and Science Portfolio - Gizem Gumuskaya Opens in a new window now.tufts With Living Robots, Scientists Unlock Cells' Power to Heal | Tufts Now Opens in a new window cdn.the-scientist 06-24-issue-synthetic-biology-is-in-fashion.pdf - The Scientist Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Engineering multicellular living systems—A Keystone Symposia report - PMC - NIH Opens in a new window pubs.acs Bioengineering Self-Organizing Signaling Centers to Control Embryoid Body Pattern Elaboration | ACS Synthetic Biology - ACS Publications Opens in a new window biorxiv Synthetic lumen rounding directs neural progenitor division mode - bioRxiv Opens in a new window accscience Programmable organoids and the emergence of circuit-inspired genetic and epigenetic control in human development - AccScience Publishing Opens in a new window elifesciences Designing biochemical circuits with tree search - eLife Opens in a new window bioeng.ucla Fall 2025 - BE | Bioengineering - UCLA Opens in a new window Pushing Infinite Expanding Snake Theory Opens in a new window Pushing Infinite Expanding Snake Theory Opens in a new window Kaktusbaer loves your comment Opens in a new window Hi Jeff, here's your personalized collection Opens in a new window Here's your receipt of doing Opens in a new window New reply to a comment on "Creating 3D Character from 2D AI image in ZBrush" Opens in a new window Senior Software Infrastructure Engineer (Onsite) at Raytheon Opens in a new window Consulting - Managed Services - Full Stack Java Developer - Senior Consultant at EY Opens in a new window (No Subject) Opens in a new window Style That Transitions Seamlessly Opens in a new window Trending now: Demo Board & Programmable Robot, Monitors & Accessories, Block Chain Miner & Accessories Opens in a new window @catillaice you have 2 new notifications Opens in a new window frontiersin.org Advances in the application of colorectal cancer organoids in precision medicine - Frontiers Opens in a new window reddit.com Scientists have created the world's most sophisticated lab model of the human body, developing a full system of miniaturized organs known as "organoids." It has the potential to reduce or eradicate animal testing altogether. The results were published in the scientific journal "Biofabrication". : r/science - Reddit Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Harnessing synthetic biology to engineer organoids and tissues - PMC - NIH Opens in a new window synbiobeta A Different Biology - SynBioBeta Opens in a new window youtube Biobots: Building New Animals Out Of Living Tissue - YouTube Opens in a new window biorxiv Motile Living Biobots Self-Construct from Adult Human Somatic Progenitor Seed Cells Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih Cellular Self-Assembly and Biomaterials-Based Organoid Models of Development and Diseases - PubMed Opens in a new window frontiersin Advancing the 3Rs in bone tissue engineering: emerging in vitro, in silico, and refined in vivo strategies - Frontiers Opens in a new window mdpi Facilitation of Tumor Stroma-Targeted Therapy: Model Difficulty and Co-Culture Organoid Method - MDPI Opens in a new window pnas Gas-modulating microcapsules for spatiotemporal control of hypoxia - PNAS Opens in a new window prelights.biologists Keystone Symposium on Stem Cell Models in Embryology 2026 - preLights Opens in a new window prelights.biologists Synthetic memory circuits for programmable cell reconfiguration in plants - preLights Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih Biophysics of organoids - PubMed Opens in a new window researchgate Biophysics of organoids | Request PDF - ResearchGate Opens in a new window pcts.princeton Biophysics of Organoids - Princeton Center for Theoretical Science Opens in a new window mdpi The Role of Biophysical Factors in Organ Development: Insights from Current Organoid Models - MDPI Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Cell-Based Computational Models of Organoids: A Systematic Review - PMC Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - PubMed Opens in a new window as.tufts Of Special Note | Department of Biology - School of Arts and Sciences Opens in a new window drmichaellevin Synthetic Morphology - The Levin Lab Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih Cell-Based Computational Models of Organoids: A Systematic Review - PubMed Opens in a new window mdpi Cell-Based Computational Models of Organoids: A Systematic Review - MDPI Opens in a new window as.tufts Publications | Department of Biology - School of Arts and Sciences - Tufts University Opens in a new window drmichaellevin Peer-Reviewed Papers - The Levin Lab Opens in a new window ebrc Synberc 10 Years Book - Engineering Biology Research Consortium Opens in a new window pubs.acs Genetic Toggle Switch in Plants | ACS Synthetic Biology - ACS Publications Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self-organization - PubMed - NIH Opens in a new window announcements.tufts Kudos August 2025 - Tufts Announcements Opens in a new window biorxiv Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model Opens in a new window storage.googleapis S1 Text: Supporting Information Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - Googleapis.com Opens in a new window journals.plos PLOS Computational Biology Opens in a new window sciprofiles Dr. Randall Widelitz | Author - SciProfiles Opens in a new window pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih The Morphological, Behavioral, and Transcriptomic Life Cycle of Anthrobots - PubMed - NIH Opens in a new window semanticscholar The Morphological, Behavioral, and Transcriptomic Life Cycle of Opens in a new window researchwith.njit Motile Living Biobots Self-Construct from Adult Human Somatic Progenitor Seed Cells - New Jersey Institute of Technology Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Trends and challenges in organoid modeling and expansion with pluripotent stem cells and somatic tissue - PMC Opens in a new window researchgate (PDF) Behavioral, Physiological, and Transcriptional Mechanisms of Memory in a Synthetic Living Construct - ResearchGate Opens in a new window researchgate Growing Fine-Grained Multicellular Robots - ResearchGate Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Synthetic Morphogenesis - PMC - NIH Opens in a new window thesis.caltech Modeling and design of synthetic biochemical circuits for biological phenotypes Opens in a new window researchgate Interaction dynamics between epithelial cysts captured by tissue rheology - ResearchGate Opens in a new window jci Citations to Vascular stiffness mechanoactivates YAP/TAZ ... - JCI Opens in a new window researchgate Hair peg‐like structures formed in vitro expressed appropriate Opens in a new window researchgate Innovative approaches in skin therapy: The rise of organoid cultivation - ResearchGate Opens in a new window researchgate Andrew Bender's research works | Tufts University and other places Opens in a new window arxiv Multi-phase-field Models of Biological Tissues - arXiv Opens in a new window pnas The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self-organization | PNAS Opens in a new window biorxiv Interaction dynamics between epithelial cysts captured by tissue rheology - bioRxiv Opens in a new window pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih Crosstalk between endothelial cells and dermal papilla entails hair regeneration and angiogenesis during aging - PMC Opens in a new window researchgate Multi-Scale Modeling of Tissues Using CompuCell3D - ResearchGate Opens in a new window biorxiv Behavioral, Physiological, and Transcriptional Mechanisms of Memory in a Synthetic Living Construct - bioRxiv Opens in a new window preprints Multi-Scale Longevity: Defeating Aging from Cells to Embodied Human Minds, and the Future of the Species - Preprints Opens in a new window biorxiv Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: insights into cell division and lumenal pressure | bioRxiv Opens in a new window researchgate Predicting Organoid Morphology Through a Phase Field Model: Insights into Cell Division and Lumenal Pressure - ResearchGate Opens in a new window oamonitor.ireland.openaire. The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self-organization Opens in a new window semanticscholar. [PDF] The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self Opens in a new window bio.cqu. Mingxing Lei-生物工程学院(测试版) Opens in a new window journals.plos Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - PLOS Opens in a new window researchgate Predicting organoid morphology through a phase field model: Insights into cell division and lumenal pressure - ResearchGate Opens in a new window ouci.dntb Soluble VEGFR1 signaling guides vascular patterns into dense branching morphologies Opens in a new window researchgate (PDF) The mechano-chemical circuit drives skin organoid self Opens in a new window biorxiv 1 Novel Tissue Mechanics-Guided Cellular Flows Enable the Evolution of Feather Follicles Hans I-Chen Harn1, Ting-Xin Jiang1, Ch - bioRxiv Opens in a new window thno Endothelium-specific sensing of mechanical signals drives epidermal aging through coordinating retinoid metabolism - Theranostics Opens in a new window academic.oup Organoids/organs-on-chips towards biomimetic human artificial skin | Burns & Trauma Opens in a new window eurekalert A reset on the cellular aging clock - EurekAlert!

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18-19 Haziran'da organize multicell kümeleri görebileceğiz gibi duruyor.Yani saf pulse storm günü değil.
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⚠️ MESOSCALE NOWCAST: Scattered supercell and multicell storms are possible over the next few hours along a convergence line across parts of the Balkans. Large hail and damaging winds are possible, an isolated tornado risk exists. #storms #europe #forecast
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A xxx A retweeted
Multicell-supercell hybrid about to hit Novi Sad and the surrounding area in Serbia. Both large hail and severe wind gust threats will be present, perhaps concurrent in some areas.
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Midweek Severe Weather Outlook: Elevated Risks Wednesday and Thursday The Storm Prediction Center’s latest Day 4–5 outlooks indicate an increased potential for severe thunderstorms midweek. A 30% probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point is highlighted for Wednesday, June 17, across portions of the central United States. A 15% probability is forecast for Thursday, June 18, across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Key Factors Influencing the Risks Several atmospheric elements are contributing to the elevated severe weather potential on both days: • Wednesday (Central U.S.): A combination of strong low-level moisture, high instability (elevated CAPE values), and sufficient wind shear will support organized storms, including supercells and bowing line segments. A surface cold front and approaching shortwave trough are expected to provide the primary lift, while a strengthening low-level jet enhances shear and storm organization later in the day. • Thursday (Northeast and Mid-Atlantic): Similar ingredients are in place, including ample boundary-layer moisture and moderate instability. A frontal boundary and associated upper-level support will aid storm development, with wind shear favoring organized multicell clusters capable of producing damaging winds. Steep lapse rates in some areas may also support hail production. Timing On Wednesday, the primary window for severe thunderstorms is expected during the afternoon and evening hours. On Thursday, activity is anticipated to shift eastward, with the main threat period occurring in the afternoon and evening. Expected Hazards • Damaging winds are anticipated as the primary threat on both days, with the potential for gusts exceeding 60 mph in stronger storms or organized lines. • Large hail is possible, particularly with any discrete or supercellular storms that develop. • Isolated tornadoes cannot be ruled out, especially in areas of greater instability and shear. Tornado Outbreak Probability The probability of a significant tornado outbreak remains low for both days. While isolated tornadoes are possible within the higher-probability zones, the overall pattern favors mixed severe hazards rather than widespread tornadic activity. Preparation Guidance Residents in the highlighted risk areas should prepare for the worst and hope for the best. This includes securing outdoor items, ensuring access to reliable weather alerts, and identifying a safe shelter location in advance. Monitoring updates from the National Weather Service and local forecast offices is recommended, as conditions can evolve. #SevereWeather #MidweekOutlook #WeatherUpdate #StayWeatherAware
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The eastern US is the focus of the severe weather threat today; SPC has outlined a Slight Risk (level 2/5) from New England to the Southeast. With northward extent, stronger deep-layer shear should foster mixed-mode convection, including supercells, before upscale growth into line segments occurs. Large hail and damaging wind will be the main threats, but a tornado or two is also possible. Across southern portions of the risk area, weaker deep-layer shear should yield multicell clusters with mainly a damaging wind risk.
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** ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER DAY ** Today could be one of the most active severe weather days we've seen lately with the recent model guidance showing the potential for multicell storm segments with squall lines moving through much of western and central Pennsylvania. These storms will have the potential to produce 60 mph winds and the risk for brief, spin-up tornadoes. Severe weather posts will be going out between 8:25 - 8:30 AM with an updated look at the severe weather outlook with the city-by-town Pennsylvania timing outlook. If you are planning to be outdoors later today, it is crucial that you have ways of receiving severe weather alerts and to have a safety plan in place in the event severe weather strikes your location. Keep in mind, not every location will get hit by severe weather or rain in fact. That is the nature of summertime convection. Like we've seen recently, some neighborhoods could see tornadoes/damaging winds while 5 miles up the road there was just rain and a breeze. If your location "doesn't see anything", that doesn't mean it is a "bust". Rant over, please heed all warnings seriously today and remain weather aware! If you are aware and have means of receiving severe weather alerts, there is no need to panic. #PAwx #Pennsylvania #SevereWeather #Meteorology
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14 Haziran Pazar - 2026 Momentum transferi, PV streamer boyunca devam ederek izole benzeri PV anomalimini sürdürüyor. Sistem aynı zamanda diyabatik ısınma ile de besleniyor. Soğuk hava adveksiyonu ve fırtına outflowları baroklinik hattı derinleştirerek jet eğriliğini daha da artırıyor. Alçalan dinamik tropopoz, PVA ve hava kütlesi değişimi girişlerini destekliyor. Orta seviye destek oluşmuş durumda. Yüksek lapse rate, dinamik olarak aktif orta troposferin bir sonucu. Genel olarak: PV anomalisi, momentum transferinin (pozitif AAM arka planı tarafından desteklenen) ve yukarı yönlü hava hareketini derinleştiren diyabatik ısınma süreçlerinin bir sonucudur. SPCI Seviye 1 -> Zayıf instabilite, parçalı yüzey ve üst seviye destek nedeniyle yerel single-cell yapılar. Seviye 2 -> Çoğunlukla multicell küme gök gürültülü fırtınaları, özellikle Batı Akdeniz'de yerel olarak organize yapılar. Orta-yüksek yıldırım aktivitesi, yerel kuvvetli yağış ve çoğunlukla küçük boyutlu dolu. Seviye 3 -> Özellikle Doğu Akdeniz'de supercell gibi organize yapılar mümkün. Yüksek yıldırım aktivitesi, kuvvetli yağış, orta-büyük boyutlu dolu ve kuvvetli rüzgarlar.
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Warm moist SW Airflow will come to dominate the weather in the coming week. Upper level pattern will evolve to have a building ridge over Continental Europe and longwave 500mb trough becoming slow moving to the west of the continent. This type of set up favours slow moving rippling fronts over the N/W of the UK with pulse of rain moving East or NE along the fronts. (NW Scotland looks prone over the next week) Warm moist high 850mb theta-w air will move north. Rain may be active and potentially heavy Tues/ Weds across Wales, maybe SW England and Irish Sea coasts and hills before pressure builds from the South. At the same time a ridge is building at depth through the mid troposphere allowing heat to build through descent and advection to bring the likely highest temperatures of the year so far into Iberia, France then into Central Europe. As pressure builds and the trough approaches late in the week the flow will back more Southerly and bring higher temps into Southern England and spreading NNE. However risk of Destabilisation in the plume axis or multiple axis with some evidence of 2 sets of destabilisation. 1 ) on the outer 16-18C Theta -W and the other on the 20-22C Theta - W over France. This type of set up is prone to changes so i wont go into too much detail now, but the set up is increasingly looking likely to give rise to some potentially very warm humid air coming north with risk of elevated potentially severe convection developing due to the bulk shear aloft with strong 300-500mb flow in the ascending side of the trough. Such sets up can give rise to elevated multicell and the merging into the potential of MCS type structures if enough CAPE is available and enough of a supportive kinematic environment (Speed and Sheer of wind aloft) ECMWF showing more disruption in the approaching trough than EC AIFS, GFS, GFS-AI (very quick) or UKMO Global Selection of Graphics to support the text. Detail will change and is for illustration of the type of set up. Becoming Very warm if not hot and thundery by the end of the week and into the weekend with risk of some very high temps and possible intense elevated plume type thunderstorms. (also note considerable risk of pulses of frontal rain in the NW leading to forecasting Skew's during the week) (many mention of hot and sunny when many in the N/W will not see such conditions) Paul
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