๐จ
$COST (Costco Wholesale) Q3 FY2026 Earnings
Resilient growth machine keeps firingโฆ
Membership digital momentum remain the moat ๐
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๐ KEY METRICS (Q3 FY2026)
๐น Net Sales: $69.15B ( 11.6% YoY) ๐ข
๐น Net Income: $2.19B ($4.93 diluted EPS) ๐ข
๐น Adjusted Comp Sales: 9.8% companywide ๐ข
๐น DigitallyEnabled Sales: 21.5% ๐ข
๐น Membership Fees: $1.37B ๐ข
๐น Cash & Equivalents: $18.95B (up from $14.16B) ๐ข
๐น Operating Cash Flow (YTD 36 weeks): $11.13B ๐ข
๐ Core takeaway:
Scale membership annuity ecomm acceleration delivering consistent results
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๐ GROWTH ENGINE (CORE STORY)
๐ข Strong traffic ticket growth
๐ข Executive membership upgrades & fee revenue
๐ข Omnichannel (warehouse pickup, delivery, app)
๐ข International expansion new warehouses
๐ This is:
The quintessential defensive consumer staple growth compounder
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๐ STRATEGIC MOVES
๐ข Continued warehouse expansion (target ~30 new openings per year longterm)
๐ข Digital platform investments for seamless member experience
๐ข Supply chain & productivity gains to offset wage/inflation pressures
๐ Impact:
Sustained market share gains in a valuefocused consumer environment
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โก WHATโS HAPPENING?
โข Costcoโs model (lowmerch margins highmargin membership volume scale) proving durable
โข Consumer tradedown behavior boosting traffic
โข Digital channel compounding rapidly
๐ This is:
Steadystate execution excellence in a challenging macro
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๐ PROFITABILITY (SOLID BUT AS EXPECTED)
๐ป Merchandise costs & SG&A rising with sales (typical scaling)
๐ป Higher investing cash use for growth/capex
๐ Translation:
High cash conversion and fortress balance sheet โ profitability remains healthy
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๐
OUTLOOK
No formal numeric guidance (Costco tradition), but:
๐น Ongoing comp sales strength expected
๐น Membership growth renewals remain high
๐น Warehouse pipeline supports multiyear expansion
๐ Important:
Reliable compounding story intact
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๐ง WHATโS ACTUALLY WORKING
๐ข 9.8% adjusted comps 21% digital growth
๐ข Membership fees as highquality, recurring revenue
๐ข Massive cash generation & strong balance sheet
๐ข Market share gains in groceries, nonfoods & ancillary services
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โ ๏ธ WEAK SPOTS
๐ป Rising operating expenses (labor, expansion)
๐ป Merchandise margin pressure from mix/inflation
๐ป Execution risk on new warehouses & digital scaling
๐ป Valuation already premium (priced for perfection)
๐ Still:
Extremely consistent, lowvolatility business
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๐ง MARKET SIGNAL
๐ Defensive growth titan in retail
โข Recessionresistant
โข Membership moat
โข Longterm compounding machine
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๐ฅ BULL vs BEAR
๐ข Bull Case
โข Sustained comps 69% with digital tailwinds
โข Membership fee increases executive mix drive profits
โข Warehouse expansion international upside
โข Cash machine supports buybacks/dividends
๐ด Bear Case
โข Consumer slowdown hits ticket/traffic
โข Margin compression from costs/tariffs
โข Premium valuation leaves little room for disappointment
โข Slower growth normalization postpandemic boom
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๐ญ CONCLUSION
$COST remains a highquality compounder executing at a high levelโฆ
๐ Reliable growth membership flywheel in an uncertain consumer world