The 2026 U.S. winter wheat crop is facing a near-disaster, with roughly 70% of production areas experiencing severe drought.
Drought Coverage: 68% to 98% of the U.S. wheat crop is in areas affected by drought.
Hard Red Winter Wheat: In Kansas, 41% of winter wheat is poor-to-very-poor, with production expected to drop 20-25% year-on-year.
Severe Failures: Texas faces significant failure, with some reports indicating only 5%-10% of planted wheat may be harvested.
Regional Issues: Nebraska has the worst conditions in the country. West Texas/Oklahoma are facing abandonment, and Montana is experiencing high winterkill risk.