stand a little out of my sun

Joined July 2021
47 Photos and videos
I think AI will actually make college matter more to a degree AI will flatten the academic merit aspect of college. The main purpose of college is to act as a status sorting mechanism The club of Harvard will only be more attractive when it’s hard to parse ability on its own
We haven’t priced in what happens when technology advances so much that there’s huge crop of ungainly tropical birds made from about 2015 to 2025, almost doomed to starve in a different kind of AI winter
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The interesting thing about it is how ironic the narrative is “Crypto is totally different now, it’s all about fundamentals, everything else should die” Eh kind of. The reality is is that price still leads narrative even if that narrative is that this is no longer the case
Feels like a lot of crypto natives collectively came to the conclusion that holding BTC/ETH/SOL was no longer worth the opportunity cost, re-deployed that money into select lower cap names and now we're seeing a genuine alt szn for coins with good economics, narratives or both
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And it’s not like people genuinely only care about revenues right now. Pump is completely written off with speculation about wash trading or some other reason why it can’t possibly be real. Yet they print money and it’s not going away
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Everyone repeating the same talking points about how we are now a mature industry with Real Fundamentals™️ ignore the fact that they are just creating a narrative that backfills price action The more things change the more they stay the same
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Dan is getting at something very true in this post Many got into bitcoin and crypto because it made them truly believe in something that mattered to them at a level that was greater than money Moneys great, great products are great, but they don’t inspire in and of themselves
May 31
Replying to @chadasauruz
What about hype is "worth believing in"? It's a great product, yes. Token has gone up, yes. But Slack is a great product. Stripe is a great product. Neither is exciting in any greater sense, like Bitcoin is.
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It’s cool that crypto is finding PMF in this area. It’s cool that there products that are working and making money But Dan’s point is salient; who *really* cares about making it more efficient to trade stocks? Does that get you up in the morning? Does that make you dream?
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I think there are a lot of people who want something to believe in. To inspire them. To be part of something. And I think a lot of people are still in crypto because they’re holding out hope something like that can still exist in this industry
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There are a lot of guys like this now, guys who made all of their money and built their entire online presence through crypto who now spend all of their time shitting on the industry and telling anyone who’s still here that they’re retarded Strange tbh
May 26
It's not like other bear markets, I've been through three of them now.. This time all my group chats have just moved on lol.. Everyone just trades stocks now, no one is even waiting around on alts to come back.
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In the opening lines of Meltdown, Land argues that the rise of rationalism and oceanic navigation kickstarted a process of increasing commoditization, which is to say markets infiltrating into more aspects of life, and as a byproduct, “markets learn to manufacture intelligence”
why i am so bullish on crypto, in "defense of the ideological"- i recently watched the video of the first public appearance for jensen and elon together, which was at GTC 2015 more than ten years ago. by this time, jensen had already made his iconoclastic bet on parallel graphics processing for over twenty years, and on CUDA since 2006. musk had his hassabis moment in 2012. yet openAI was not yet founded (would be ~9 months later), and GDX-1 would be announced at GTC the following year too this is that narrow window where a revolution is visible to some but not others, in which both of these geniuses had early inklings of recognizing AIs pervasive potential, but the broad public was not yet made aware. it would take another 10 years for it reach mainstream applications of course i broadly think of the crypto industry being the same place today. just as there were brilliant minds who understood the revolution that would come from the GPU paradigm, there was simply no large scale consumer demand that required its objective superiority for decades to come. instead, it was picked up by hobbyists (ie gamers) who enjoyed a sense of self-determination by pushing the boundaries of their passion, tinkering, sharing, and researching. in a rather strange way, gamers subsidized AI's development, just like early defi subsidized the institutional tokenization development. during the GTC 2015 interview, elon tells jensen something interesting: the 0-10 mph autonomous driving is very easy to solve because the car can be stopped. the 50 mph zone is also easy to solve because there are rules of engagements at that speed that dont have as many randomness. the hardest part to solve is actually the 10-50mph, what i call the "the middle game" where a car in an urban setting with bikes, children, cones, manholes, create all kinds of need for precision and speed that sensors today need to develop further. it's fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of autonomous driving this is where crypto is today. the 0-10mph was easy because people can understand why permissionless money is useful from a practical sense to start developing. the 50mph will also be really easy because by that point, onchain capital markets is going to be so obvious that you could never go back with all the benefits of self custody, capital efficiency, money velocity/rest optimizations. but its the 10-50 thats hard, where money in a pre-internet financial infrastructure is hitting AML/KYC, offshore capital conduits, discretionary bank risk models, lagging reporting regimes create all kinds of need of need for precision and speed that institutional infrastructure today needs to develop further. its fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of onchain capital markets i love bitcoin. but contrary to some opinion, i believe its possible to love crypto too, because bitcoin is a monetary experiment enabled by the evolution of technology, while most of crypto is the inverse: a technology experiment enabled by the evolution of money. they are fundamentally solving different problems, though rooted in one ideal: to make its access as much of a public good as possible this is why crypto is going to be such an important force for the future during this "narrow window" for those can can see it. and while most early pioneers got into the game because of the ideology behind decentralization, it's time to admit that the winning ideology is technological financialization: it is hyperfinancialization with elements of decentralization that exports sovereign finance as a public good, decentralizes agentic rails for humanity as a public good, promote self-determination as a public good. this is worth fighting for, and im excited to recommit my focus to these ideals that began my crypto journey. this "middle game" period will be remembered as the most critical juncture for the industry and for anyone who is doubting the industry at this time, i hope reading this helps you reanchor your beliefs for what you are actually fighting for, and more importantly, know that you can play a meaningful part in the revolution too the future belongs to those who recognized it was always ideological
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This is hyperstition at a scale never seen before. Crypto has been at the forefront of this trend, this is why people say community matters so much to asset price. For the first time, Internet collectives can will an idea into existence via the market as the medium
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“The future belongs to those who recognize it was always ideological” Indeed. The future is here but not evenly distributed. And it’s stranger than you can imagine.
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