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You *want* to believe the people in charge are incredibly clever & far-sighted, even if you think they're sinister.
Cuz the reality of *no one* in any sort of deep control feels worse to most people.
Five dimensional chess doesn’t exist. Everyone is furiously improvising all the time. The future is utterly uncertain.
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After watching David become a spin-machine for the admin on All-In, often contradicting his prior views & principles...it's hard for me to believe Anthropic simply refused to fix a bug.
Easy to believe admin decided to take a politically-motivated opportunity against Anthropic.
I’ve had a number of conversations with folks inside and outside government about the current situation with Anthropic, and here is what I believe to be true:
— As we know, Anthropic publicly released its Mythos class models earlier this week under the commercial name Fable.
— Fable is Mythos with guardrails. But if those guardrails fail, then you’ve exposed Mythos and its advanced cyber capabilities to people who shouldn’t have them. (Keep in mind that Anthropic itself widely promoted the idea that Mythos was a cyberweapon and needed to be regulated as such. They asked for government regulation of Mythos and championed the guardrails on Fable. If there is a vulnerability — big or small — it is Anthropic’s responsibility to patch.)
— A highly credible trusted partner of both Anthropic and the USG who was testing Fable came forward with a jailbreak of those guardrails. The Admin asked Dario to fix the jailbreak or de-deploy the model. Dario refused.
— In their blog post, Anthropic defended its decision by saying the jailbreak isn’t serious. That is not what the trusted partner and the USG believe; nor is that kind of minimizing language consistent with Anthropic’s brand as the AI safety company. It’s difficult to fathom how they could claim a jailbreak allowing operability of a cyber weapon could be defined as not “serious.”
— In the past, Anthropic has always said that safety must be top priority and taken super seriously. In this case, Anthropic prioritized the continued offering of the consumer model over safety.
— In reaction, the Admin issued the export control. The Admin did this reluctantly. It’s been very surprised that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to cooperate with a reasonable safety request (ie fixing the jailbreak issue). Anthropic’s reaction is very much at odds with their branding and ethos as a safe AI research community.
— The Admin’s hope now is that Anthropic remediates the safety issue, the export control is lifted, and Fable goes back into general release. The Admin wants all of this to happen as soon as possible. It is frankly bewildered that Anthropic hasn’t wanted to comply with safety requests that it previously said were its highest priority.
— Those trying to misdirect and tie this action to the prior DoW/Anthropic issues are wrong. The Admin values Anthropic’s technical capabilities and feels that this issue, while serious, should be easily resolved. The ball is in Anthropic’s court.
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Dan retweeted
Jun 13
Because this is happening to Anthropic, the temptation for many will be to say: Play stupid games, win stupid prizes. They have relentlessly raised the regulatory temperature in Washington by inviting far-reaching controls of frontier models. They made this bed and now they have to lay in it.
But this decision by the Trump administration should not be judged on a desire for payback politics, but on the merits, and specifically what it means for America's broader AI objectives.
In that regard, this action is truly outrageous. How exactly is the government planning on even going about verifying everyone who uses this specific model to ensure compliance? That alone raises huge flags.
Between the latest Executive Order shifting more control to NSA, and the recent chatter about quasi-nationalization / equity stakes, and now this action, we are talking about a significant escalation in the politicization of AI and centralization of control over advanced computation in this country. And this is all being done by an administration that had previously made acceleration and winning the great AI race a priority.
We're moving backwards now.
Jun 13
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.
The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.
Access to all other Claude models is not affected.
We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.
Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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The only thing that matters for 2028 is AI policy
Jun 13
Welcome to the AI wars.
We are now staring down the barrel of KYC and Anti-Compute Laundering laws for frontier models.
And this is just for Mythos. What happens when we get further capability jumps? Will the public have access to frontier intelligence ever again?
We fought this battle in the 90s for free and open access to cryptography, but it was not easy.
The fight this time around will be much harder and the stakes will be much higher.
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Dan retweeted
Jun 13
If the socialists had their way, Elon would have had his paypal profits taken and redistributed for the greater good.
The world would never have seen Tesla, nor SpaceX.
And the world wouldn't know it, because they were uncreated, and thus unseen.
Imagine the companies that don't exist, because Washington destroyed them before they were born.
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Dan retweeted
Jun 13
Obvious future was obvious
Jun 13
Decentralized, permissionless, uncensored AI running on crypto plumbing is probably the most important battle arena of the next five years.
Actions like today’s are eye openers for many, but we knew. We knew governaments, technocrats, big companies where hoarding compute, talent, resources. A more and more centralized and dystopian future where social divide is even more prominent. Where access to frontier models is stonewalled.
It gives crypto once again a mission. A clear flag to carry.
The 0 to 1 moment is happening this year. Things will only accelerate going forward.
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Dan retweeted
Jun 12
>Be Elon
>Get bullied so badly as a kid that you end up in the hospital
>Escape into books
>Read more than 8hrs a day
>Teach yourself programming
>Sell a video game at 12
>Leave South Africa
>Sleep on couches
>Work odd jobs
>Get into America
>Build a startup
>Get fired from your own company
>Start over
>Build another company
>Merge it into PayPal
>Get removed as CEO
>Your company gets acquired
>Walk away with nearly $180 million
>Instead of retiring at 31, put almost all of it into three impossible ideas: Electric cars, Solar energy, Rockets
>People tell you you're insane
>Start a rocket company with no aerospace degree
>Learn rocket science from textbooks
>First rocket fails
>Second rocket fails
>Third rocket fails
>Divorce
>Public humiliation
>Cash running out
>One launch away from bankruptcy
>Launch anyway
>The fourth rocket reaches orbit
>NASA signs a contract
>Survive
>Tesla is weeks from collapse
>Save it at the last minute
>Get mocked for wanting reusable rockets.
>Land one.
>Then another.
>Then dozens.
>Turn science fiction into engineering
>Get mocked for betting on EVs
>Turn electric cars into status symbols
>Force the entire auto industry to follow
>Build the most valuable car company in history
>Launch astronauts into orbit
>Create a global satellite internet network.
>Buy Twitter
>Fire most of the staff
>Rename it X
>Walk into politics
>Risk your reputation
>Risk your companies
>Risk your fortune
>Become one of the most polarising people on Earth.
>Get attacked by the media, politicians, competitors, and activists
>Keep building anyway
>Become a TRILLIONAIRE
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Dan retweeted
Jun 13
It's definitely not helpful fact that they ran around describing the thing as a munition before they released it.
Lesson for other AI labs, don't describe your thing as a weapon if you don't want it to be swiftly regulated like one
x.com/M_Chimiste/status/2065…
Jun 13
I’m pretty sure Anthropic wants this though. It plays into their safety narrative that they have been spinning for years now.
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Wtf is this. I had already gotten used to Fable and started to depend on it.
Jun 13
The US government, citing national security authorities, has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States, including foreign national Anthropic employees.
The net effect of this order is that we must abruptly disable Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all our customers to ensure compliance.
Access to all other Claude models is not affected.
We apologize for this disruption to our customers. We believe this is a misunderstanding and are working to restore access as soon as possible.
Read our full statement: anthropic.com/news/fable-myt…
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Dan retweeted
Jun 12
You see a trillion dollars.
Gavin sees 3/4 of a mile of high speed rail.
Jun 12
Americans are struggling to pay for groceries and gas while Elon Musk becomes a TRILLIONAIRE.
When the federal government is for sale, the rich get richer and everyone else gets shafted.
The system is rigged.
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Dan retweeted
Jun 12
Not “one of.”
@elonmusk is THE greatest entrepreneur in the history of the world, and it isn’t even close.
Wayne Gretzky-tier dominance.
And his success illustrates the sublime beauty of capitalism: you can absolutely hate the guy’s guts (I don’t), but you can still plug in Starlink and have high speed internet anywhere in the world, or let your Tesla drive you to work every day.
You don’t have to vote for him. You don’t have to like him. You don’t have to agree with his politics or his behavior. His success has taken nothing from you. It has only added.
Hell, you can come on the app he owns (and liberated from shitlib tyranny) and shit on him all day long.
It doesn’t matter if you don’t like him. It doesn’t matter if you don’t admire him. It doesn’t matter. His success still enriches you.
He has made your life vastly better, whether you like it or not.
Jun 12
Whatever you think of Elon, you cannot deny that he will go down as one of the nation’s greatest entrepreneurs, builders, and creators of wealth in history
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Dan retweeted
Jun 12
These are the exact same people who made “countering hate” their entire identity.
They were the first to plant “Hate Has No Place Here” signs on their lawns.
They insist “hate speech isn’t free speech.”
They proudly fund groups like Hope Not Hate and Stop AAPI Hate
They still chant “Love Trumps Hate” like it’s scripture.
Yet here they are, in the pages of The Globe and Mail, publishing a guide on “how to properly hate” Elon Musk for the crime of building SpaceX into a company that could make him the world’s first trillionaire.
Proof positive that their “anti-hate” crusade was never about hate.
They are, in reality, full of hate. It was always about who they’re allowed to hate
A real headline from a Canadian national newspaper.
Pretty disgusting stuff.
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Elon controlling a trillion $ is good. But there are people who control more: US senators
Capitalize the federal budget as a perpetuity & each US senator controls ~$2.9T
We gave 100 politicians 3x Elon's $ each, with no history of being good allocators. That's the misallocation
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Dan retweeted
Jun 11
"You hate socialism because you want people to starve."
No. You support socialism because you mistake good intentions for good outcomes. History has been paying the price for that confusion for over a century.
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Yup. Only makes sense if there's a psychological inflation expectations wage/price spiral situation.
Jun 11
Hiking rates because of oil prices is stupid.
Central bank monetary policy isn’t going to produce more oil supply.
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