NBA 🏀 Lock #2 (June 3rd)
De'Aaron Fox o 5.5 Assists
(-140 FD)
❤️ IF YOU’RE TAILING
- De'Aaron Fox has quietly been a reliable playmaker throughout the playoffs, averaging 6 assists per game while clearing this line in four of his last six contests. The volume has been there consistently, and he continues to have the ball in his hands enough to create opportunities for teammates.
- The matchup against the New York Knicks is not necessarily one that jumps off the page for point guard assists, but the presence of Victor Wembanyama changes the equation. Wembanyama's ability to draw attention both inside and on the perimeter creates passing lanes that many teams simply do not have to defend against, giving Fox additional opportunities to rack up assists.
- The Knicks have been around league average at defending spot-up scoring situations, which is important because many of Fox's assists come from collapsing the defense and kicking the ball out to shooters. When he gets downhill, he has shown the ability to force rotations and find open teammates on the perimeter.
- Fox has also enjoyed success against New York this season, going over this line in all three meetings while averaging 7 assists on 13 potential assists per game. Even during the playoffs, he's averaging roughly 11 potential assists per game, which is a strong foundation for an assists prop. The conversion rate has not always matched the opportunity, but with this game being at home, the Spurs' role players should be more comfortable and more likely to capitalize on the looks Fox creates. If the opportunities remain consistent, six assists is a very attainable number.
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