Friends, "The End Of Epidemics" is out TODAY! There will always be new outbreaks. But it is within the power of modern #PublicHealth leaders to keep such outbreaks from exploding into catastrophic epidemics that kill thousands or millions. endofepidemics.com#EndEpidemics
THINK LIKE AN EPIDEMIOLOGIST: Lately I have been asked why we are seeing a dramatic turnaround in cases in the US. Is it vaccines? Herd immunity? An artifact due to a drop in testing? Behavior change? Weather?? A few tweets about how I step through this question. 1/6
In 'The End of Epidemics', leading public health authority Dr Jonathan D. Quick tells the stories of the heroes, past and present, who have succeeded in their fights to stop the spread of illness and death.
Available for pre-order on @amazonIN.
amazon.in/End-Epidemics-Stop…#COVID19
Not too late to prevent fall #COVID19 flu disaster with large scale screening testing protocols @ schools, workplaces, nursinghomes all in on distancing,masks,handwashing,avoid big groups. stopped #COVID19 in NY,NJ,MA,elsewhere. @RockefellerFdn@DukeGHI@JHSPH_CHS@HarvardGH
"We really need to set up large scale screening tests around protocols for workplaces, communities, schools, nursing homes and we haven't had that," says @jonoquick. "We aren't doing anywhere near the amount of testing we need to do."
Some folks arguing that rising cases of COVID no big deal because people aren’t getting sick
And death rates still falling so its all harmless, right?
Actually, no.
Closer look at data tells a concerning story
Deaths starting to rise. Exactly as we worried about
Thread
5 truisms of public health, racism, COVID-19.
1. Mass gatherings spread virus
2. Being outside helps – we don’t know how much.
3. Wearing mask helps – may be a lot.
4. Racism kills
5. A destroyed economy kills
Thread
No question what prevents #covid19: HERD BEHAVIOR (herd awareness) when we all physical distance & use face masks—LANCET review 172 studies, 16 countries, 6 continents. @RockefellerFdn @DukeGHI @T_Inglesby
Absent herd immunity from vaccine or infection, best weapon against COVID-19 “herd awareness” preventive behavior: personal space, masks, hand-washing, self-isolation when needed. @RockefellerFdndevex.com/news/watch-rockefe…
2001: anthrax
2003: SARS
2009: H1N1
2014: Ebola
2015: Zika
2020: Covid
This pandemic is historic, but health security threats are alarmingly common. We must break the reactive cycle of panic and neglect and prepare our public health and medical systems for the next threat.
.@jonoquick spoke with @drrami_do on the Beyond Medicine podcast last week, explaining how we can get from 1 million #COVID19 tests/week to 3M by unlocking lab potential, and from 3M to 30 million tests/week using tech innovations. #MeetingThisMomentbeyondmedicinepod.com/podcas…
@jonoquick Ring the Alarm - Rouse the Leaders - citizen activists and social movements must mobilise the public and hold leaders feet to the fire - Aids activist Zackie Achmat showed that combatting the epidemic is ultimately about social justice ,human rights and accountability
Coronavirus has:
-claimed more than 200,000 lives
-caused nearly 3 million infections
-prompted $8 trillion in fiscal stimulus to fight it
Join us for a LIVE Q&A about the pandemic on April 27 (Mon) at 9p.m. ET / April 28 (Tue) at 9a.m. HK. Hosted by @rumireports and @jwgale.
.@RockefellerFDN & @HarvardEthics both released compelling valuable reports which project national diagnostic testing needs betwn 3M a week (initially) and 30M tests a week, and 5M tests daily @jonoquick@dsallentess. 14/x