To my fellow
$tsla bulls who keep criticizing those who sell their shares before the robotaxi launch need to be more open minded and get their heads out of the bubble.
I'm a long-term
$tsla bull with significant shares and I'm not selling but people sell for many different reasons. Not necessarily a fan of Gary Black but nobody talking about gary making the "correct" move by selling last week. Obviously nobody could have predicted the fallout between Musk & Trump happening this week but signs were there and it shouldn't be a suprise this happened. What is clear and undisputable fact for
$tsla investors is that this stock is absolutely brutal and volatile like no other and all it takes is a couple tweets and the stock falls 17% in a few hours.
There is now more questions and FUD on how this plays out moving forward. We are also one tweet away from Trump saying he thinks that vision only approach for Tesla FSD may NOT be good and more dangerous for federal automonous framework approval for the stock to crash another 15-20%. Yes
$tsla will eventually recover long-term but Tesla's manufacturing & scaling advantage gets significantly reduced when you have to accomodate every state regulatory requirements separately vs. having one nationwide regulatory framework. In that scenario, Waymo has a much bigger lead as they already have the approvals and tesla doesn't.
Right now Elon and the
$tsla community assumes profits from robotaxi & unsupervised FSD to materialize in the 2nd half of 2026, but that was based on assumption of federal automonous framework that would allow tesla to scale rapidly across many different states nationwide. If we had to do this state by state, how long would that take while the EV car business continues to decline where profits fell 40% in Q1? And if the BBB passes then the energy profits will take a hugh hit as well.
In that scenario, there is no way
$tsla stocks would maintain the current price and we could be looking at another $100-$150 price range in the next 3-12 months. And if you're being honest with yourself, no
$tsla shareholder truly wants this to happen again.
Elon has potentially caused some significant short-term damage to tesla and its shareholders. In the long-term we will recovery but that is always going to be a risk no matter what with Elon in charge so those who criticize other who sells; you are being short-sided and blind to the reality of the current state.
@wholemars @CuriousPejjy @garyblack00 @WR4NYGov