Data science & product @paces_ai. Energy, epistemology & political economy

Joined May 2011
258 Photos and videos
There is a riddle at the heart of energy markets that has been troubling me lately: the grid is so short on capacity that VPP customers are disenrolling from demand response programs because they're getting dispatched too often... And yet battery developers can't get projects financed How is that possible?
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When market design suppresses volatility, it leaks out in unexpected and inconvenient places Cap energy prices, and scarcity leaks into the capacity market Administer the capacity market, and scarcity leaks into state subsidy programs And when none of it produces prices high enough to justify participation, existing resources start walking away
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The people dying of thirst aren't buying water because we've made it illegal to charge what it's worth Full post: grandprismatic.substack.com/…

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Kyle Baranko retweeted
Replying to @ShanuMathew93
Important to distinguish btwn non-firm interconnection (for bypassing grid constraints) vs. non-firm RA (for bypassing zonal or BA-wide gen constraints). The latter is what most deals have addressed to date and is what's most relevant for VPPs/distributed capacity, lots to come there. The former is what the USDOE/FERC ANOPR seeks to unlock at larger stage and represents significant white space.
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It’s so cheap to generate docs and tickets and meeting agendas these days but completely counterproductive if the person behind it isn’t actually putting thought into the content Don’t make me read your AI slop if you won’t read and edit your own slop first
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The true value of a liberal arts education all comes back to its algorithm for “learning how to learn” not remembering useless facts Most class structures have you read the great texts with a critical lens, write papers to formulate a strong perspective, then participate in seminar style discussions to debate the various perspectives Tried and true recipe for truly unpacking an idea It also helps for building strong perspectives in professional life My advice to new folks breaking into the industry is always to… 1. Do the readings (consume the highest signal blogs and pods) 2. Generate content (force yourself to create and put stuff out there), and 3. Debate ideas and learn from others (discuss the salient trends at happy hours and social media)
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Kyle Baranko retweeted
If you’re not following Utah, you haven’t been paying attention. Every conversation worth having about American innovation is happening here.
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As Ted Lasso says: “Be a goldfish”
it’s funny because this is genuinely the best approach Simply not thinking about stressful situations makes you less stressed
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It’s possible recursive self-improvement is actually already here… It’s just materializing as the customized harness and context management system within vertical AI workflows rather than a technical breakthrough of the foundation models
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Kyle Baranko retweeted
Just saw a Ryan Gosling interview where he says he liked the story of Project Hail Mary because it has the message that the future isn't something to be feared, it's something to be figured out. And that's a message he wants his kids to hear. Awesome.
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Kyle Baranko retweeted
We're hiring! 6 new roles open at Paces across Customer Success, Solutions, and Sales. Know someone who'd be a great fit? Send them our way: hubs.la/Q045mMjR0
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Kyle Baranko retweeted
We scored 4,195 data center sites across Indiana and Texas. Two very different markets. One is shrinking fast. January Data Center Site Analysis (first in a monthly series) → hubs.la/Q042FM5W0
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18 Dec 2025
Last month, I had the opportunity to participate in an awesome panel at the Type I Summit hosted by @MaxAWebster and @PresidioBitcoin The premise for our discussion was simple: if you were to rip up our existing electricity network and rebuild it from first principles, what would its end state look like? I believe any new, Platonic Form must escape two flaws of institutional design currently plaguing our grids: interconnection is procedural, and return on capex is fixed The solution is to let the spirit of Hayek flow through us: unshackle the rate base for private capital and create a market for grid headroom to monetize network expansion Here's how I think this could work and why it is valuable...
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18 Dec 2025
With the introduction of this financial asset and an open, risk-seeking rate base, the incentives of everyone involved in this market for transmission capacity work together to maximize utilization of each node on the grid and direct private capital to the most lucrative places to increase headroom The queue would transform into a market of bids and asks on interconnection costs for both load and gen Whenever an entity considers developing an upgrade, they’d be responsible for auctioning off the transmission capacity (i.e. curtailment stack slots) and originating the right set of initial contracts with an entire market of load serving entities, large loads, and generators This would bypass the onerous need for firm delivery requirements and extensive network reliability modeling by enabling loads and gens to take curtailment risk at specific nodes And it would bypass the rate-setting process by passing through delivery costs as a commodity that all wholesale market participants must purchase if they want their electricity sold or delivered anywhere
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18 Dec 2025
I recognize these ideas are laser-focused on a particular customer class (i.e. datacenters and other large industrial loads) and that I am sweeping over tons of complexity surrounding what is fair and just for residential customers. But I’d rather entertain a system designed to facilitate economic growth to the greatest extent possible, injecting subsidies for sensitive communities where appropriate, than one that fundamentally constrains us from reaching our next level as a civilization In the future, I hope to explore how we can expand this system to ensure it is sustainable and just for those beyond the industrial giants who have the resources to manage their own risk (but who are also currently keeping the US out of a recession)
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