professor of philosophy of science, logic, experiment, statistical inference; now an independent philosopher & stock trader; split time in NYC & Va (and London)

Joined November 2013
1,251 Photos and videos
♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
With Deborah Mayo, Kent Staley, and Wendy Parker we are editing a special issue of Synthese on "Severity and Learning from Error": link.springer.com/collection… Deadline for submissions is the 15th of December, 2026. If this is a topic that you are interested in, consider contributing!
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♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
LOL you were probably in school then doc... But I did get the new one today!
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♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
New CFP at Synthese! I invite you to contribute: Topical Collection: severity and learning from error
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toss, get rid of; or shorthand for British king Wordle 1,799 3/6 ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ ⬜⬜🟩⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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I hesitate, as I am reluctant to give hints on today's word. Wordle 1,794 3/6 ⬜⬜🟩🟩⬜ ⬜⬜🟩🟩🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
Justice demands that every individual or institution, that funded, conducted, or enabled high-risk virus research in Wuhan, along with the scientists who published those misleading papers while concealing their conflicts of interest, plus the journals that refuse to retract them, be held fully accountable. Anthony Fauci and his advisor may have been at the center of that ecosystem, but they were not alone. Many others have their fingerprints on it: researchers, intermediaries, journals, and gatekeepers who enabled the work and enforced their preferred narrative. Accountability should extend across the board. It shouldn’t stop at the surface. That means confronting and dismantling the network behind it. The public has every right to expect that.
The COVID cover-up goes all the way to the top. Fauci funded the Wuhan lab. Senior intelligence officials hid classified evidence from the president himself. Scientists were silenced. Millions paid the price. The DOJ has until May 11th to prosecute Fauci before the statute of limitations runs out. I am not letting this go. The American people deserve justice.
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I can only compare my getting today's word on the second round to the last time a most unlikely guess turned out to be right. 🟨⬜⬜⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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Was quite sure they'd never use such a simple word...but they did. Wordle 1,771 2/6 ⬜⬜⬜⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
Reading @learnfromerror! 📖
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I wouldn't call you this if you excessively flatter me for getting this silly word in just 2 rounds, since it was kind of surprising, little froggy. Wordle 1,764 2/6 ⬜⬜🟩🟨⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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If an academic association A stifles the report of a Task Force appointed by A, then can A be said to have "issued" that report, when it later appears in a completely different publication? Check for a new blogpost tomorrow on errorstatistics.com
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♕Deborah Mayo♕ retweeted
Here's the evidence that Covid most likely leaked from a lab in Wuhan: x.com/Ayjchan/status/1797567…

3 Jun 2024
Ahead of today's hearing in Congress: my opinion piece with the @nytimes on why Covid-19 was likely caused by a lab accident. My hope since 2020 has been for leaders, especially scientists, to lead the charge in investigating a plausible lab #OriginOfCovid - as opposed to shutting it down as a conspiracy theory or standing by while conflicted parties do so. That hope has been revived repeatedly in the past 4 years by courageous scientists, journalists and individuals who took on considerable risks to do the right thing and push for a fair investigation. In sharing this analysis of the available evidence with potentially millions of NYT readers, my aim is to undo some of the politicization of this issue - which has stood in the way of a thorough and bipartisan investigation of this global catastrophe, resulted in mis-reporting on origins for 4 years, as well as hindered the implementation of effective measures to prevent lab-based outbreaks. A wholehearted investigation by US gov has the power to unearth more compelling evidence while spurring whistleblowers to find their courage and opportunity. And, regardless of whether the pandemic came from nature or a lab, the world must not continue to bear the intolerable risks of research with the potential to cause pandemics. nytimes.com/interactive/2024…
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New blogpost: Continuing the blizzard of 26 power howlers. Check to see that you can shovel through this easy peasy power quiz. Then see the bottom notes to ponder why many critics of tests get this backwards. errorstatistics.com/2026/03/…
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