M3 Strategies is a political polling and consulting firm. We take a data-based approach centered on polling, analytics, and unique public sentiment research.
Joined March 2024
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37 Photos and videos
Mar 19
M3 is proud to have been the only firm to release a public survey on the Cook County Board President race in 2026.
And despite deep skepticism from most politicos, who insisted the race was close, M3 correctly predicted a blowout victory for Preckwinkle.
M3 Projection on 3/16
🔵 Toni Preckwinkle - 64.3%
🔵 Brendan Reilly - 34.9%
Actual Results
🔵 Toni Preckwinkle - 68.5%
🔵 Brendan Reilly - 31.5%
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1. Attention to detail
2. A modern survey instrument
3. Reach “average” voters
4. Survey folks who haven’t voted yet and those who already did
5. Thoughtful analysis on projected turnout demographics
6. Careful weighting of all relevant demographics
7. Be bold enough to publish even if result is an outlier
8. Self skepticism — triple check the methods, math, bias, and hidden variables
9. Leverage technology
10. Do the work
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m3strategies retweeted
5 Nov 2025
Congressman, you are deliberately misrepresenting the facts.
ICE law enforcement did NOT target a daycare and were only at this location because the female illegal alien fled inside.
Here is the real story:
Officers attempted to conduct a targeted traffic stop of this female illegal alien from Colombia.
Officers attempted to pull over this vehicle, which was registered to a female illegal alien, with sirens and emergency lights, but the male driver refused to pull the vehicle over.
Law enforcement pursued the vehicle before the assailant sped into a shopping plaza where he and the female passenger fled the vehicle. They ran into a daycare and attempted to barricade themselves inside the daycare—recklessly endangering the children inside.
The illegal alien female was arrested inside a vestibule, not in the school.
Upon arrest, she lied about her identity.
The vehicle is registered to in her name, though she claims that she didn’t know the man who was driving her car and just picked him up from a bus stop.
Facts including criminality and information on the male assailant are forthcoming and we will update the public with more information as soon as it becomes available.
5 Nov 2025
ICE isn’t going after the worst of the worst. This morning, they took a preschool teacher without a warrant IN FRONT OF CHILDREN in my district.
#ice #chicago
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5 Nov 2025
Jay Jones wins handily. Party affiliation now means everything. Nothing else seems to matter.
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28 Oct 2025
New polling just out from M3 Strategies. Some of the results are alarming.
Amongst Illinois Democratic Primary voters:
35.8% believe the U.S. flag is symbol of hate.
70.9% believe ICE officers should be prosecuted.
63.2% believe it is ok to interfere with ICE activity.
youtu.be/MVXxL7--aCQ
Full survey results in the comments below .
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28 Oct 2025
A poll by M3 Strategies of Democrats shows strong support for violence and interference with Federal Agents.
It is Acceptable to…
🟤 Block ICE entrances - 63.2%
🟤 Phyically pull ICE officers - 38.8%
🟤 Follow ICE officers - 69.8%
🟤 Spit on ICE officers - 10.1%
“Trump and many of his supporters are like Nazis”
🔴 Agree 81.2%
🔵 Disagree 18.8%
N=459 Democratic Primary voters in Illinois
October 23rd - October 25th
MOE = 4.58%
Link to full results in comments below
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11 Sep 2025
Alderman Brenden Reilly is challenging Toni Preckwinkle for the top county job, Board President.
Most assume Preckwinkle, who also chairs the Cook County Democratic Party, will easily defeat a white male going up against “The Party”.
But do not count Reilly out. He is going up against the machine. But that has its advantages. He is, relative to Toni, an outsider. The Party / Preckwinkle are the insiders.
Polling consistently shows that, holding everything else equal, outsiders are more popular with voters than government insiders.
What do you think his chances are?
Drop your predictions in the comments below.
More stats in the thread below….
@FrankCalabrese @ChicagoContrar1
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11 Sep 2025
Race:
Likely Cook County Democratic Primary voters are as follows. These numbers fluctuate from cycle to cycle depending on who is running on the top of the ticket, but it is directionally accurate:
🟤 White - 44%
🟤 Black - 33%
🟤 Hispanic - 15%
🟤 Other - 8%
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Gender:
Female - 57%
Male - 43%
Likely advantage to Preckwinkle
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City / Suburbs:
Where will the Dem primary votes come from?
Chicago - 60%
Cook Suburbs - 40%
Who does this favor? Reilly or Preckwinkle?
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Campaign Finances:
Preckwinkle and Reilly are sitting on a good amount of campaign cash. Preckwinkle will likely raise more than Reilly, but he is expected to be competitive.
Reilly $913,000
Preckwinkle $736,000
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m3strategies retweeted
3 Sep 2025
This isn’t rocket science. The research is clear: Crime goes down as the risk of arrest and conviction, and the cost of conviction, goes up. FOLLOW THE DATA! realclearpolitics.com/articl… @ILGOP
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m3strategies retweeted
30 Aug 2025
Episode III of Chicago Contrarian, the Podcast has dropped.
In this installment, we discuss potential mayoral candidates, federal agents to Chicago, and M3 Strategies' poll on crime in Chicago.
Tune in on Apple, Spotify, and Amazon.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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29 Aug 2025
Latest poll by M3 of Chicago voters:
Do you support Trump sending more ATF agents to Chicago?
Hispanics
🔵 Yes 63%
⚫️ No 29%
Blacks
🔵 Yes 52%
⚫️ No 40%
Whites
🔵 Yes 39%
⚫️ No 53%
Why are white Chicagoans against sending more ATF agents to Chicago when majorities of non-whites support it?
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29 Aug 2025
Latest poll by M3 of Chicago voters:
Do you support Trump sending the National Guard to Chicago?
Hispanics
🔵 Yes 47%
⚫️ No 48%
Blacks
🔵 Yes 33%
⚫️ No 66%
Whites
🔵 Yes 27%
⚫️ No 72%
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