Building on the frontier of money, health, and work | Macro MAHA AI Bitcoin | Writing weekly soundmoneysoundlife.com | @onrampbitcoin | Last Trade Pod

Joined February 2017
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Replying to @macrojack21
if you're all in on Bitcoin, you're seeing the major disruption in the workforce due to AI, but you're staying the course, building a sound life on sound money then id love to have you join me here! soundmoneysoundlife.com/subs…
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there sure is a lot of grift for an industry that talks about sound money, low time preference, etc
$NAKA went down 90% and then went down another 90% and then went down another 75%. No one is as talented as @DavidFBailey at incinerating money.
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Jackson retweeted
"I guarantee you the same thing is going to happen with AI as happened with dot-com. SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI insiders are about to dump trillions of dollars of equity onto the market." @real_vijay on The Last Trade SpaceX IPOs Friday. Trillions in new supply has to come from somewhere. Either the sidelined cash finally steps in, or something gets sold to make room. Watch what gets sold.
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When I see all these Knicks posts, I think of this chart.
Jun 11
The stars are out for Game 4 at Madison Square Garden 🤩
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most interesting take from this convo: investors think nothing is going to plan. Iran. no rate cuts. tight liquidity. @LeveredUSTs argues the opposite. it's all going exactly to plan. the 2008-2020 playbook is dead. we're in what he calls the Bismarckian playbook.
The dollar you know is dying. Most are positioned for a system that no longer exists. New TLT with @LeveredUSTs The Dollar Reset Runs Through Bitcoin -2024 as a monetary fork -Why this isn't 2008-2020 redux -Saylor's BTC sale: troll, not signal -Where BTC fits in the endgame
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the permanent underclass is feeling more real by the day 😅
American consumers are now facing 7% mortgage rates, 4.2% inflation, and a 30% loss in the purchasing power of the US Dollar since 2020. Meanwhile, US CPI inflation continues to follow a similar trajectory as the late 1970s. Will history repeat itself?
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tough look for bitcoin need to remember that bitcoin is deep in a bear market while SPY is near all time highs not the best comparison, but this does partially explain why sentiment is so terrible currently
CNBC and @jimcramer talking about how bitcoin has underperformed s&p500 for five years
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Jackson retweeted
Everyone is debating whether the AI buildout can ever be profitable. Early Riders ran the numbers this week, and the cost to do a given job has fallen ~305x over three years. That cuts both ways. Margins can expand as token costs collapse short term (Anthropic was rumored to be profitable last month), but get competed away with more competitive pricing by fast followers. OpenAI and Anthropic aren't only fighting each other and the cursors of the world. They're up against Chinese open-source models that get cheaper and easier to run every month. That's deflation in real time, allowing founders to do more with less.
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>correctly diagnoses money supply as root problem >shills hyperliquid
I paid $27,500 per ticket for center courtside seats to Spurs-Heat Game 7 in 2013. This year similar tickets were going $275k–$300k Combine that with the wealth display in Monaco during F1 this weekend which was excessive even by Monaco standards and it feels like we are nearing a tipping point. The money supply is only part of what is broken, imo. Anyways Hyperliquid.
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Bitcoin is a multi-generational asset, yet most do not have a reliable way to pass the wealth to their family.
Inheritance planning for bitcoin is one of those things nobody wants to talk about. Historically, one of the most challenges aspects of long-term planning for your Bitcoin wealth. But those who have a reliable solution? It's one of the first things brought up in the context of Bitcoin ownership. There's something that shifts when you know your bitcoin has a clear path forward if something happens to you. It stops feeling like magic internet money and starts feeling like real wealth your family can count on. That's what we've built toward with the inheritance solution at Onramp. Multi-institution custody already gives you three keys across three separate institutions, while you retain control. The inheritance layer sits on top of that. So the people you're protecting don't have to become bitcoin experts to access what you've left them. We kept hearing the same thing from clients: "I've thought about this but had no idea where to start." That's the gap we built for.
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"I always feel some amount of concern when I see financial engineering because throughout history financial engineering way more often than not fails spectacularly, right?" - @real_vijay Saylor is on third iteration of financial engineering. No guarantee this ends well.
The 11.5% STRC dividend depends on two things continuing forever: Bitcoin appreciating fast enough to keep new buyers showing up. Those new buyers funding the dividend on existing shares. When either falters, the structure must sell Bitcoin or issue dilutive equity. Report 👇
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Jackson retweeted
Bitcoin fixes this. The immorality of unfettered debt expansion enabled by money printing and increased taxation via a wholly captured and corrupt political class is the most important fundamental driver of economic inequality and stress in the world and it is understood by very few. The people who are most negatively affected by these forces have been psyop’d into believing that the solution to these problems is MORE government spending and taxation. The government is not your friend. It is a material impediment to human flourishing and it derives most of its power from money printing and debt expansion enabled by that money printing. Bitcoin has effectively separated money from the state and central banking, making it one of the most important technologies ever invented and a tool that enables human flourishing the likes of which people living today cannot even fathom. Fix the money, fix the world.
Jun 8
Western governments have engineered the greatest anti-natal program in human history, and most people are completely unaware of the causes or consequences. Birth rates across Europe, East Asia, and North America have collapsed below replacement levels. Governments systematically destroyed the economic foundations that make family formation possible. You cannot afford children when the state inflates away your purchasing power, taxes your income at confiscatory rates, then forces you to fund the retirements of previous generations through Social Security ponzi schemes. A middle-class American couple faces effective marginal tax rates exceeding 50% when you include federal income tax, state tax, payroll taxes, property taxes, and sales taxes. Meanwhile, monetary debasement ensures that housing costs consume 40% of median income versus 15% in 1970. The regulatory state makes every aspect of child-rearing exponentially more expensive. Occupational licensing cartels inflate childcare costs. Zoning laws prevent affordable family housing. Department of Education mandates drive up school costs while destroying quality. FDA approval processes make basic medicines cost 10x their market price. Each regulation serves entrenched interests while pricing out young families. Economic policy shapes demographics. When governments prioritize immediate consumption over capital formation, present voters over future families, and welfare recipients over productive workers, birth rate collapse becomes inevitable. The state subsidizes the childless while penalizing parents through the tax code and monetary policy. Politicians promise family tax credits and paid leave programs to solve the crisis they created. They offer you breadcrumbs from your own stolen wealth while maintaining the very policies that make children unaffordable. The solution requires abolishing the systems that broke family formation, not expanding them.
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everyone is convinced this time is different Bitcoin is 50% off its all time high for the 7th time ever every prior dip this deep has paid off, and the deeper the discount, the better the outcome median returns buying 50% below the ATH: 96% of those buys were green 2 years later great chart from @Early_Riders
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Buy the dip. Free to sign up. Use code "STRC" for 50k sats deposited into your Onramp account as a welcome. app.onrampbitcoin.com/signup

Six weeks ago we published the math. We said par wouldn't hold. We got told we didn't understand the trade. STRC traded as low as $91.86 today. The "yield" you earned evaporates the second you sell to get your own money back. They said this was for boomers' retirements, for people who can't handle the volatility, for capital pools that 'need' fixed income. Now everyone is starting to actually understand the risk. There was always a simpler trade: own your Bitcoin, earn rewards on your cash. That's why we built @OnrampBitcoin, Onramp Finance, and focus on education. Sign up below for the simpler trade and use code STRC for an extra 50,000 SATs when you complete your first bitcoin buy.
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New all time highs on the horizon... should only be a few more minutes from here
Jun 5
Bitcoin just recorded five consecutive green candles on the one minute chart.
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sentiment is the worst i've ever seen it. Bitcoin down 50% from the highs, SPY all time highs. and yet $100/week into Bitcoin over 5 years is still up ~47%, about even with the S&P, while BTC sits deep in a bear. hang in there. keep stacking. tune out the noise.
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Amazing to me that there's still about $1T in shitcoins still holding on... those bags gotta be so damn heavy especially with the opportunity cost of everything else going up since 2021
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the narrative was simple. hold Bitcoin more than 4 years and you're in the money that no longer applies, and it's broken a lot of people's conviction in the asset class sentiment has never been worse as far as i'm concerned
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so “digital credit” is money, not bitcoin, got it!
After watching this, it's never been more obvious to me that we are not on the same team.
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Jackson retweeted
Bitcoin is 50% off ATHs. Dip you were waiting to buy. Onramp Finance: ✅ Lowest-cost BTC brokerage in all 50 states ✅  Earn up to 5% ✅  Card with up to 1.5% back ✅ Bitcoin IRA in Multi-Institution Custody ✅ Bitcoin-backed loans Free to sign up 👇
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Getting back to the fundamentals with @ChrisJKuiper The worst sentiment since Chris starting paying attention to BTC over a decade ago. But as the old adage goes "it's the market's job to inflict the most pain on the greatest number of people" Bitcoin is very good at that.
Bitcoin sentiment is worse than during the FTX collapse. This time, there's no obvious villain. @ChrisJKuiper, VP of Research at Fidelity Digital Assets, on this week's episode of The Last Trade: → Bond holders are underwater in real terms. Stocks could return near zero for the next decade. → Bitcoin is below its all-time high 96% of the time. This drawdown is normal. → Inflation is coming back in waves. Bitcoin has historically done well when real yields turn negative. → The 4-year cycle is dead. Cycles aren't. Nothing actually broke. That's the setup.
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