Joined February 2009
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Apr 24
🧥 Tinfoil Hat Edition! Trump: mad genius or just mad? Peak oil plots, Kushner-Netanyahu ties, Bitcoin debt bomb & mystery refinery fires. Bulls vs Bears Ep 116 out now! 🎙️
ap1.hubs.ly/y0NVVX0
#Trump #Conspiracy
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When High P/S Ratios Meet Rising Inflation
Why It's a Dangerous Combination
High price-to-sales ratios imply the market is paying a large premium for future revenue growth. When inflation jumps, two things happen that attack that premium simultaneously
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Historical Reference Points
The 2022 cycle is the clearest modern example. After the pandemic-era surge in tech P/S multiples, inflation jumped to 40-year highs and the Fed hiked aggressively. Nasdaq fell ~33% in 2022, with many high-P/S names (cloud software, unprofitable tech) down 60–80%. Meanwhile energy stocks surged.
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What Typically Happens to Stock Prices
Multiple compression
Growth stocks underperform value
Speculative names get hit hardest
Rotation into real assets
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Margin compression
Revenue is a top-line figure. High P/S stocks are often priced on the assumption that margins will expand as the business scales. Inflation disrupts that story: input costs, wages, and supply chain expenses rise faster than companies can reprice. The sales number stays, but the profitability story deteriorates.
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Discount rates rise
Central banks respond to inflation by hiking rates. Higher rates mean future cash flows are discounted more heavily — the present value of revenue expected in years 3, 5, or 10 shrinks materially. High P/S stocks are essentially "long duration" assets, just like long-dated bonds, and they get hit hardest when rates move up.
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Iran Peace Deal Sends Oil Plunging, Equities Soaring x.com/i/broadcasts/1nKOLLWQY…
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Definitely worth keeping track of. Only 180 until potential full unlock $SPCX
#IPO #Spacex #investing #Stocks
ALT share lock up release schedule for SpaceX. shows the percentage unlocked and eligible for sale at eaach milestone, from post Q@ 2026 Earnings through 180 days Post IPO
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For all the hype.... both China and the EU are both ahead of US and Anthropic Mythos
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Mark Gardner retweeted
Jun 15
Only one man could pull this off!
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How's that deficit reduction going?
Jun 15
Trump, Iran Just Announced A Massive Middle East Peace Deal (Hopefully For The Last Time)
Read Blog: wallstmemes.com/news/politic…
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Jun 15
Ahhh, the good old days!
They were fun, but also plenty of pearls of wisdom from the trading floor
mpcmarkets.com.au/trading-fl…
#investing #wisdom #tradingfloor
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Jun 14
Wow
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Jun 11
it's Fine.... Totally fine
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Jun 11
The Melbourne cup is also waste of time and money.... but it "stops the nation"
Dont get me started on sports gambling & pokies
Its buying a part of history, as long as investors size appropriately, who cares!?!!
Jun 11
Elon Musk’s $2.5 trillion SpaceX float is ridiculously over-hyped and its Australian spruikers can’t get enough via @startupdailyanz startupdaily.net/advice/opin…
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