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Technical Trader @mathsofmoney

technicaltraderlevels.blogsp… || Participant Wise #OpenInterest - #FII, DII, Pro and Client Data. Macro Economic Factors and Indicators.

Joined November 2020
  • Tweets 473
  • Following 35
  • Followers 556
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Congratulations #ISRO #Chandrayaan3 #Chandrayaan3Landing Request ISRO to launch #Nifty and #banknifty as well.
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#CPI US Expecting softer numbers for April overall CPI considering: - slow down in housing sector - lower crude - reduced retail sales However, this will show sharp reversal in May given strength in JOB data for April. #DowJones #NASDAQ
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Early signs of #recession US 3 month vs US 10 yr yield spread is at lowest levels since #forever It's never the #inversion which is issue. The recovery of inversion is fatal for risk assets. #yield #bonds #DowJones #DJI #NASDAQ
Yield Curve, Yield Curve Inversion, US 3 month, US 10 years, Bond Yields, Recession, Early Signs of Recession

ALT Yield Curve, Yield Curve Inversion, US 3 month, US 10 years, Bond Yields, Recession, Early Signs of Recession

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#DebtCeiling CDS - Credit Default Swaps (insurance against default) rate for US 10 year rose even higher than 2008 debt crisis. Remember this is a derivative product so the seller of this protection can also default and the dominos would keep falling. #DowJones #NASDAQ
Credit Default Swaps, CDS, US 10 YEAR CDS, #Bonds #CDS #Debtceiling #dowjones

ALT Credit Default Swaps, CDS, US 10 YEAR CDS, #Bonds #CDS #Debtceiling #dowjones
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#DXY 104.10 Below previous swing low. Babaji bola cuation break out hoga and immediately it broke down. Bolo babaji ki....!!!!????😂😂😂
Sharad Jhunjhunwala
@sharadjhun
6 Jan 2023
#DXY Fast and Furious move to 105.50 in last 2 days is just the Beginning before the Final Assault Any Move till 108/110 can give severe Chill to EM's Bulls #Caution
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#Nifty #banknifty - negligible volume by #FII - no new longs created, only closing of positions - all participants closed their positions RISK: - Pro have written 80K new index puts, usually they end up running for cover - Retailers continue 1.14 Mn stock future long STAY ALERT
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🐻🐻🐻 What market has hammered into all retail traders over last two weeks: - BUY every DIP - Disregard #DowJones - Ignore macro economics - Forget about healthy corrections/profit booking Now: #FII - Net Short in #Nifty & #stocks futures Retailers - Net Long 1.16 Mn Lots
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Technical Studies Globally: USA: Fibonacci Japan: ichimoku cloud UK: Bollinger Bands Debt: Yield Curve, Spreads India: Nirmala Conference 😂😂😂 #Nifty #banknifty #fun
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#Bulls!!! Trying to get #nifty50 launched back 😂
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Bond Yields ~ Implied Equity Gains US 2 YR Bond Yield: 0.6852% Coupon: 0.5% Discount to FV ~27% Gain of 37% over 2 years. Does it mean smart money are expecting even higher risk adjusted gains from equity? ASK THE EXPERTS @riteshmjn @NileshShah68
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Open Interest Indicates 🚀🚀🚀 #FII- Huge longs added in Index Calls Retail - Writer of index calls today (Option Suggests huge in the money call writing) Expect market to make new high today. And unless there is short covering rally will continue. #NIFTYFUTURE #market
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Open Interest Analysis #FII - Built up longs in both index and #stock #futures Retail - Turns net long to net short in both index and stocks Market remains buy on dip and weekly expiry could be at or above ATH. Caution - #DXY to stay below 93.00
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Open Interest Analysis - #FII have created shorts in #stocks since the beginning of series - mostly banking, they are now net short and hence selling might be over - Too much #index call OI just before expiry was punished yesterday Looks like bear trap. What do you think?
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Open Interest Analysis #FII holds all cards Very light open interest, usually best case for strong upside Also means shorts for the series are yet to come in - For upside to sustain it has to be broad based - #VIX above 21/22 is an early to start booking profits
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Now that #Reliance is free from the shackles of "PP VULTURES" we should see very good price action. Stay long for exceptional gains.
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Open Interest Analysis INDEX #FII - Added 39K net longs, still continue to hold 134K puts Options remain Client Vs Pro STOCKS FII - added 10K futures long Options remain Client Vs Pro Market bounced once #VIX contracted. Unless VIX falls below 24, selling may be back
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Open Interest Analysis Within constraints of twit size: Index - FII paid put premium to Clients 😀 Stocks - Clients paid call premium to Pro and Pro paid put premium to Clients. What can happen Next? - merits detailed post, what do you think?
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What's carried into March Index: #FII - Added 23k future longs, calls 42K and PUTS 117K (anticipated the tension 😀) Clients - Wrote 109K puts - Trapped!!! Pro - Wrote Calls 56K Expect pull back once puts are encashed by FII - indication would be VIX contracting after rise
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Stocks #FII - unwound 42K future longs, no play in Options Clients - call long 105K, put writing 56K VS Pro - call writing 96K, put long 55K Still FII carries net longs of 99K in futures For longs in stocks - watch out for OI spike along with VIX contraction
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Open Interest #FII ONLY participating in Index upside, others on the sidelines. FII - unwinds puts(23K) - still ONLY option buyers Clients - Flipped almost all longs in index but carries most of longs in stocks Either market moves both sides or FII donates 100K premium
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