Buy and hold is not a process... Buy and hold is a recipe to give back half or more of what you have earned over the last 5-10 years. Have a process and understand risk. You can make back money but not time.

Markets are a chaotic mess right now Volatility has returned as numerous headwinds & tailwinds compete to pull stocks in opposite directions, says @michaellebowitz Which direction is more likely to win out? WATCH: youtu.be/AorGCJcj9cw

A Supply Tsunami Is Coming open.substack.com/pub/simple…

The Structural Case For Continued Dollar Strength $DXYZ In this Short video, Brent Johnson @SantiagoAuFund and I break down the structural forces supporting continued #USdollar dominance, from global trade and debt markets to reserve holdings and crisis-driven demand. Despite years of predictions about the dollar’s demise, the global financial system remains deeply dependent on it. The key reason is that the #dollar is far more than a currency—it is the backbone of global trade, credit, funding markets, and financial infrastructure. The dollar market outside the United States is actually much larger than the one inside it. Trillions of dollars of debt are owed by foreign governments, corporations, and banks. Much of that borrowing occurs between non-U.S. entities, yet it is still denominated in dollars. That means the rest of the world owes enormous amounts in a currency it cannot create or control. Roughly 58% of allocated global foreign exchange reserves are held in dollars, compared with about 20% in euros. Around half of global trade is invoiced in dollars, including transactions where the United States is not involved. The eurodollar system, the Treasury market, the SWIFT network, and the global banking infrastructure all reinforce the dollar’s dominant position. Many investors point to central banks increasing their #gold $GLD holdings as evidence that the dollar is losing relevance. Gold has indeed become a larger share of reserves, but part of that shift reflects higher gold prices and lower Treasury prices as #interestrates have risen. Foreign ownership of U.S. #Treasuries remains near all-time highs, suggesting the world has not abandoned dollar assets. The most overlooked point is what happens during a crisis. Countries may hold gold as a neutral reserve asset, but when they need liquidity, they often sell gold to obtain dollars. During periods of stress (like the Iran war), demand for dollars frequently rises because global trade, debt servicing, and commodity purchases still rely on them. So, de-dollarization may be happening at the margins, but replacing the dollar is far more difficult than many assume. The structural foundations supporting dollar demand remain firmly in place, and in moments of uncertainty, the world still turns to dollars first. Check out our comprehensive "15 Trading Rules" guide ▶️realinvestmentadvice.com/res… This guide includes practical rules for managing positions, taking profits, controlling risk, and avoiding the emotional mistakes that often hurt returns during major market corrections. If you like this video, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet 📺Full episode: youtube.com/watch?v=ppkqABin… Catch me daily on The Real Investment Show: youtube.com/@TheRealInvestme…

SPCX Is Firing Up: 3 Businesses To Breakdown open.substack.com/pub/simple…

That was amazing!!!

SPCX and my marble jar theory- Think of the stock market as a jar full of marbles. For the new SpaceX and other marbles to fit in the jar, either the jar must be enlarged, or some of the other marbles must shrink. Given the current monetary environment, the jar, or available capital, is unlikely to grow significantly. For starters, the Fed is no longer providing the flood of liquidity that enabled the easy digestion of the SPAC boom in 2020 and 2021. READ MORE... realinvestmentadvice.com/res…

Might real rates matter more for gold than war and inflation? Seems the temporary disconnect between gold and real rates may be ending. Don't shoot the messenger.

SPCX and my marble jar theory- Think of the stock market as a jar full of marbles. For the new SpaceX and other marbles to fit in the jar, either the jar must be enlarged, or some of the other marbles must shrink. Given the current monetary environment, the jar, or available capital, is unlikely to grow significantly. For starters, the Fed is no longer providing the flood of liquidity that enabled the easy digestion of the SPAC boom in 2020 and 2021. READ MORE... realinvestmentadvice.com/res…

Oil Market Opinions Widely Vary open.substack.com/pub/simple…

The CPI Math Driving Inflation Works Two Ways open.substack.com/pub/simple…

Fed Chair Warsh Faces A Tough Test open.substack.com/pub/simple…

Someone just asked me how far Bitcoin could fall. I replied: "What is it worth?" I got a blank stare. And there is the answer. Without being able to put a reasonable fair value on it, as it has no cash flows, it's impossible to know when buyers will step in. Could be 60k or could be 6k

The IPO Boom And Its Impact On Markets open.substack.com/pub/simple…

GOLDMAN SACHS EXPECTS SPACEX’S AI REVENUE TO SURGE 100 TIMES BY 2030 Let me guess, Goldman is a lead underwriter in the IPO

The word “quantum” is defined as “an amount,” with its Latin root meaning “how much.” In physics, a quantum is the smallest discrete unit of any physical property. The adjective form, as in “quantum leap,” describes a sudden, significant, and fundamental change. It is also a perfect adjective for coining the next potential technological innovation—quantum computing. Check out our latest: realinvestmentadvice.com/res…

Saylor Sells Bitcoin: Is His Cult Crumbling? open.substack.com/pub/simple…

History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes. March 2000, June 2008, and February 2021 were wonderful times to begin shorting high beta stocks.

Quantum computing promises to solve problems in minutes that would take today's computers longer than the age of the universe. But the technology is far more fragile and complex than the headlines suggest. Today's article breaks down how quantum bits work, why reliable quantum computers are likely still years away, and which companies are best positioned to survive the long wait. Check out our latest: realinvestmentadvice.com/res…

The word “quantum” is defined as “an amount,” with its Latin root meaning “how much.” In physics, a quantum is the smallest discrete unit of any physical property. The adjective form, as in “quantum leap,” describes a sudden, significant, and fundamental change. It is also a perfect adjective for coining the next potential technological innovation—quantum computing. Check out our latest: realinvestmentadvice.com/res…

The Blackwell Cliff That Wasn’t open.substack.com/pub/simple…