Alhamdulillah | Fundamental Analyst | Long term Investor | Not your advisor | Patience is key 💯

Joined April 2014
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If Bitcoin goes by the 4-year cycle playbook then: 1️⃣ Current cycle bottom most probably around 1st week of October 2026. 2️⃣ Next cycle top around August/September 2029. 3️⃣ Next cycle bottom around August/September 2030.
8 Oct 2024
September or October 2025 could be the next Bitcoin top if everything goes as per historical data.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
$NEAR has quietly become one of my larger crypto holdings, and I just DCA'd this dip. Near Intents is an actual problem solving product - enough for me to rotate half my Monero ($XMR) into it. They've built an all-in-one privacy wallet that lets you hold BTC, ETH, SOL, TRON, XRP, ZEC, DOGE and most major tokens privately in one place. And you can send/receive them to their native chains. What I like most recently (beyond the Twitter hype) is their ability to generate consistent and growing volume during a bear market. Most crypto products see volume and revenue fall off a cliff in bear conditions - NEAR is sustaining and actually climbing. Their buy-back mechanism needs about ~$177M of daily volume in order to become inflationary. They cleared that level in the past few days. Their daily volume is on an ascending slope and doesnt seem to be slowing down. This isn't as much of a gaurnteed play like Hyperliquid (now my second biggest bag), but the foundations and the signs are there. Especially with the recent ZEC exploit, NEAR can take real share and attention in the privacy realm. On top of that, they have serious long-term AI integration plans and partnerships with products like Venice AI. AIs will need a seamless, cross-chain way to transact with each other - and NEAR isn't just planning for this, they're already delivering. Their founder, Illia Polosukhin, came from Google and is one of the co-authors of "Attention Is All You Need," the paper behind the architecture that powers ChatGPT, Claude, and every modern LLM. In conclusion: NEAR is a clear asymmetric bet worth accumulating during these tough times. The ceiling is extremely high if they pull it off.
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So far, my Bitcoin analysis has been accurate since the November 2022 market bottom. However, on most occasions I have lost the psychological battle, leading to poor decisions and mistimed entries. One consistent pattern remains: My analysis eventually proves correct, but often only after I have already lost approximately 30% of my invested capital. The key question is how I will handle this cycle? I have decided to stick to my analysis and remain primarily in stablecoins for the time being. Going all in on Wormhole was likely a desperate move. I should have adhered to my principle of diversification. Accordingly, I currently hold mostly USDT, (almost 75%) with smaller positions maintained in @wormhole , @NEARProtocol , @Livepeer , and @DuskFoundation as a hedge against unexpected market moves. For now it's all about preserving whatever's left :)
If Bitcoin goes by the 4-year cycle playbook then: 1️⃣ Current cycle bottom most probably around 1st week of October 2026. 2️⃣ Next cycle top around August/September 2029. 3️⃣ Next cycle bottom around August/September 2030.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
There is $611.3M worth of @Securitize products on @Solana. That's a 74.77% increase in the last 30 days. Higher. h/t @RWA_xyz.
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As of April 2026, @Securitize handles approximately $4B in tokenized assets under management (AUM). This grew from $3.4 billion at the end of Q1 2026. $400 trillion in assets are waiting to be tokenized and @wormhole is the exclusive interoperability partner of Securitize for "all current and future" tokenized assets. Institutions don’t want siloed assets. They want liquidity across 40 chains. Wormhole delivers it natively. Wormhole is already winning the biggest institutional mandates and solana:85VBFQZC9TZkfaptBWjvUw7YbZjy52A6mjtPGjstQAmQ gives you exposure to the entire multichain Real World Assets (RWA) flywheel. Revenue-sharing mechanisms incoming via the Wormhole Reserve. Usage is accelerating while the token trades near lows. Classic asymmetric setup, massive TAM, sticky infrastructure, undervalued token. The future of finance is tokenized multichain. Wormhole is building the rails. If you believe RWAs are the next big narrative, Wormhole deserves serious attention.
$400 trillion in assets are waiting to be tokenized.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
Remember, Wormhole facilitates direct interoperability for Blackrock and powers Securitize’s cross-chain capabilities which also utilizes RLUSD.✅ Now, RLUSD is live on Wormhole.☝️ Another path of access for BlackRock to XRP.😏💨 Documented.📝👇
Institutional-grade stablecoins just went multichain. 🔵 @Ripple's RLUSD is now live across ecosystems via Wormhole's Native Token Transfers (NTT) — the standard trusted by 100 assets across 40 chains. Compliant. Native. Multichain. ⚡
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Market crashes create the greatest opportunities for those with discipline, cash, and emotional control. The hard part isn’t knowing the quotes, it’s actually doing it when your own portfolio is screaming that the world is ending. That’s when the real money is made.
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Sold Everything. Went all in @wormhole If this goes bust, I'm done with crypto. If it goes on a run, I'm making banks. This is a make or break investment for me.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
Jun 4
$RLUSD is institutional-grade infrastructure for payments and tokenization. Through @wormhole’s Native Token Transfers (NTT), $RLUSD can now move natively across multiple blockchain ecosystems, supporting cross-border payments, institutional on/off-ramps, and tokenization use cases. For developers and institutions building onchain, that expands access to compliant, USD-backed liquidity across supported networks.
Institutional-grade stablecoins just went multichain. 🔵 @Ripple's RLUSD is now live across ecosystems via Wormhole's Native Token Transfers (NTT) — the standard trusted by 100 assets across 40 chains. Compliant. Native. Multichain. ⚡
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.@Ripple 's RLUSD is going multichain. Powered by @wormhole 's NTT standard. ▶️ $70B in cumulative cross-chain volume. ▶️ 1B cross-chain messages processed. ▶️ 100 assets across 40 chains. RLUSD joins infrastructure that institutions can depend on.
RLUSD is going multichain. @Ripple's institutional-grade, US dollar-backed stablecoin is now accessible across multiple blockchain ecosystems — powered by @wormhole's Native Token Transfers (NTT) standard. A new chapter for compliant, multichain digital finance. 🧵
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Seriously thinking about quitting crypto... The constant dumps are draining me.
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Bitcoin ruining the party once again.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted

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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
Privacy gets interesting when it becomes programmable. Private transfers protect transaction data. RWA tokenization needs smart contracts with confidential state, eligibility checks, and selective disclosure. $DUSK brings programmable privacy to financial applications.
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You want to know about the actual Holy Trinity? @NEARProtocol @wormhole & @PhalaNetwork near:native solana:85VBFQZC9TZkfaptBWjvUw7YbZjy52A6mjtPGjstQAmQ $PHA
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When you identify a promising low market capitalization project with strong fundamentals, and your research inspires a high degree of conviction, it is wise to acquire it promptly and hold with patience. This is how generational wealth is created.
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oddgems ⋈ retweeted
Institutional RWAs shouldn't be confined to a single chain. HLSCOPE, Hamilton Lane's tokenized credit fund issued by Securitize, can now move across networks through Wormhole. One asset, connected wherever it's needed.
Replying to @Securitize
5/ Securitize will leverage @wormhole as its official interoperability partner, allowing HLSCOPE tokens to move seamlessly across blockchains. This improves accessibility, interoperability, and potential liquidity for tokenized private markets, subject to eligibility, offering terms, and regulatory restrictions.
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$NEAR 👀
My long-term $NEAR outlook.
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Exploring how @wormhole and @NYSE are connected, with @Securitize as the link.
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