It's trade deadline season and we're probably selling. It's a tough pill to swallow, and I've heard people call for re-signing Peralta, Holmes, and Raley, because apparently we need them for next year. Is it worth retaining them, and what's the real cost of keeping these players?
Peralta's agent has made it clear that he expects a 7-8 year contract in free agency. Is it wise to saddle this team to that kind of commitment for an average, mid-rotation pitcher in the midst of his worst season? No. It isn't. He's definitely worth trading.
Holmes is still under contract for $12 million next year, and they are going to need him--desperately. Would he sign an extension at this point? I doubt it. It's his last chance to make real money in his career after spending a decade as a releiver. It's tough call on the trade, you'd need to get quality pitching in return. I'd probably bite the bullet and trade him, but doing so will make next year very tough.
Raley is a week away from being 38, and he's missed several seasons with injuries, the most recent being 2024. He has no future with this team or really any team beyond the next 12-18 months. Trade him.
These players are not the answer for the Mets. The team is so screwed up, and has so many holes and hideous contracts that it's going to take many years to dig out of this predicament. What predicament? I'm glad you asked...
@StevenACohen2 is hated by the other owners, and the knives are out for him in the CBA negotiations. The owners are going to make these high value contracts very painful for the organization. You won't have the ability to carry many of them, and the Mets are probably maxed out. We're already getting VERY heavily penalized by the Luxury Tax.
It gets worse. Virtually ALL of our minor league prospects are underperforming (some very badly), and after graduating and trading the top of the system, it will now be in the bottom half of the league again. The farm system needs some major help. That's why painful trades may be necessary.
It gets even worse still. Because the team has blown past the Luxury Tax threshold for the past several years, their International Bonus Pool has been restricted. The result: far fewer latin signings, because they concentrate the limited pool money on signing high-end prospects. It's a risky strategy, because if one of those guys fails to pan out, you've sacrificed a lot of organizational depth for nothing.
Can you handle some more? Also due to the Luxury Tax, our draft position is penalized by ten slots each year that we are over the threshold, and we are not one of the bottom six teams in MLB. Where are we in the current standings? SEVENTH from the bottom! So our draft position is currently 27th. Per MLB. com: "The Mets received a 10-pick penalty on their first pick (No. 17) for exceeding the second surcharge threshold of the Competitive Balance Tax." There's no reason to expect that we won't be in the same position in future years. Especially if we make dumb decisions like resigning Peralta, Homes, and Raley. It's a VERY grim picture.
The Mets are in the most precarious position in baseball, and if it isn't handled skillfully, we are looking a a lost decade. Not simply a lost season.
Oh yeah, and David Stearns is an idiot, so I believe that the worst case scenario is likely.