On The Clock
Joined February 2026
- Tweets 310
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If you’ve ever spent endless hours juggling tabs, spreadsheets, and shot charts trying to actually understand NBA Draft prospects, then this is for you.
Welcome to Overthinking the NBA Draft:
overthinkingthenba.com/draft…
We wanted to build a customizable workspace for fans, scouts, and content creators to analyze their favorite prospects, all in one place.
Here’s what we’ve built so far:
The War Room — Fully customizable dashboard with player cards, stats, tables, and custom data visualizations.
Shot VZN — Custom shot charts with 13 zones based on ESPN shot coordinates.
Chart Lab — Create custom data visualizations, charts, and tables using over 250 stats in our database
Draft Sim — Simulation with 15 years of GM tendencies for the most realistic draft sim tool
Draft IQ — AI assistant that can answer any queries on the 2026 NBA Draft using any information in our database.
It's a beta. Things will break. Tell us what's missing and how to improve.
Any and all feedback is greatly appreciated.
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Tyler Nickel is an absolute sharpshooter. But he fails to rise to the occasion against great competition. There’s plenty of shooting in this draft, and Nickel is also subpar on defense. I think I’ll pass on drafting him. Summer league contact is ideal x.com/brhoops/status/2002839…
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 13
While Nate Ament’s all-around shooting inefficiencies are the headline of his NBA projection, I want to highlight his ability to generate rim pressure @ 6’10.
While it's certainly a slippery slope when evaluating prospects to put too much weight into their "tools", Ament is a unique prospect, both physically (height flexibility) and skillsets wise (handle pacing) that if developed properly would certainly return T10 value.
Again, his ceiling is more theoretical than most of his peers, but the ability to self-generate significant rim pressure at a true 19 y/o provides a really intriguing foundation that is worth acknowledging, despite his flaws.
Also shout out @overthinkingNBA for the awesome charting tools!
Y-Axis = Height (Ament is the tallest SF listed)
x-Axis = Rim Freq.
#NBADraft
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Tyler Bilodeau’s efficiency will solely be the reason a team drafts him. Struggles with self creation and is a negative defender, but the size and shooting is enticing
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
I think we are all sleeping on Bruce Thornton. Should 100% be in the top 60 if not early 2nd round
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 10
Still, he's going to win you the possession game overall.
At his position, Saunders has a rare combination of STL% and ORB%
But there's still debate on if he'll be able to contain some of the more athletic guards/wings in the NBA.
How high should he be drafted?
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 10
Saunders is the archetype of a MoreyBall role player.
Just 19 mid-range shots all year.
60/106 (65%) at the rim
64/170 from 3 (38%)
But he did little as a creator for himself or others beyond attack closeouts as a straight-line driver, sometimes with bad turnovers.
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 6
let’s attempt to solve the nate ament problem with @overthinkingNBA
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
I guess we were ahead of the curve with Draft IQ.
overthinkingthenba.com/draft…
Jun 3
New mock draft with all the latest intel just dropped in my 2026 NBA Draft Guide.
Plus @YahooSports and I created a brand new feature called “Ask Kevin O’Connor.”
Check it out!
sports.yahoo.com/nba/draft/
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 2
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 2
Nate Ament is maybe the most polarizing prospect in the 2026 draft.
His box score says bust. There are scouts who think he's a steal.
One of them is very wrong.
He was hot and cold as a freshman. Who is he really?
Would you bet a lottery pick on it?
Jun 2
Some see Kevin Durant.
Some see Zaccharie Risacher 2.0.
Nate Ament started the year as a projected top-five pick.
But he shot 33% from three and 51% at the rim, so the consensus cracked.
Now he's arguably the most polarizing name in the draft. 🧵⬇️
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Keaton Wagler’s FG% per shot distance vs other guards is super interesting to me. What stands out to you most?
Chart can be found on @overthinkingNBA website
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Labaron Philon’s self creation is pretty ridiculous. Shifty and efficient. Data via @overthinkingNBA
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
Jun 1
I don't think that's the best way to view DP. To me, the best version of him looks more like taller Curry. This post does a good job explaining it. My differentiator is that AJ's game is very insular. DP's naturally open it up for everyone else.
x.com/overthinkingNBA/status…
There’s been a lot of talk about Darryn Peterson’s ceiling over the last few weeks but I’m going to explore a developmental path that I haven’t seen mentioned.
While it’s almost impossible to project how he’ll be used, I think the most interesting version of him might be something like a 6’5” Steph Curry, who also happens to be a plus-defender.
Peterson can play on and off the ball but his evolution as a movement shooter could be the most important development for his ceiling.
He has the chance to become a three-level scorer who can use his off-ball gravity to open up driving lanes for himself and his teammates. That’s the kind of rare skill that can offset some of his perceived playmaking deficiencies.
I understand that this is an aspirational comp. Steph is truly 1 of 1 as a shooter, especially with his ability to relocate and stress opposing defenses without the ball in his hands.
But if a team drafts Peterson as a point guard with this vision, he could become a similar threat. And if that happens, he’ll be one of the easiest players to build a contender around from this class.
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Overthinking The NBA retweeted
There’s been a lot of talk about Darryn Peterson’s ceiling over the last few weeks but I’m going to explore a developmental path that I haven’t seen mentioned.
While it’s almost impossible to project how he’ll be used, I think the most interesting version of him might be something like a 6’5” Steph Curry, who also happens to be a plus-defender.
Peterson can play on and off the ball but his evolution as a movement shooter could be the most important development for his ceiling.
He has the chance to become a three-level scorer who can use his off-ball gravity to open up driving lanes for himself and his teammates. That’s the kind of rare skill that can offset some of his perceived playmaking deficiencies.
I understand that this is an aspirational comp. Steph is truly 1 of 1 as a shooter, especially with his ability to relocate and stress opposing defenses without the ball in his hands.
But if a team drafts Peterson as a point guard with this vision, he could become a similar threat. And if that happens, he’ll be one of the easiest players to build a contender around from this class.
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Would love to see how people are using Overthinking the NBA and what everyone is building in the chart lab!
Would anyone enjoy a series of tutorials on each tool?
I do not fear drafting Acuff because of his defensive profile. Offensively he’s one of the most gifted we’ve ever seen. Just need to surround him with off ball demons. @overthinkingNBA
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