Joined August 2007
136 Photos and videos
Are you building a compounding asset, or are you quietly running out of runway? In the AI era, true unit economics are being crushed by hidden inference costs. To help operators navigate this, I built the Survivability Compass based on a simple baseline: Survivability Score = Customer Love (NRR) Economics (Gross Margin) In a 360° circle, 180° is the flat horizon line. Below it, you are sinking. Above it, you compound. How are you doing? I built a 30-second interactive tool so you can find your exact quadrant instantly. šŸ‘‰ Calculate your score here: survivability.lasinger.net/
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After 20 years in software & AI, I’ve seen a dangerous trend: Founders optimizing for growth while pouring water into a leaking bucket. Growth is vain. Survivability is everything. I map this using the Survivability Matrix and the Rule of 180: Survivability Score = NRR Gross Margin In a circle, 180° is a flat line. Below 180, you’re sinking. Above it, you compound. The 4 AI Quadrants: The Dead Zone: Thin wrappers. No lock-in, low margins. The Efficiency Trap: High margins, awful retention (high CAC, low LTV). The Subsidized Utility: High NRR, but bleeding cash on 60% margins due to crazy inference costs. The Compounder: 90% margins, high retention, deep data gravity (e.g., Databricks, Cursor). The last decade rewarded hyper-growth. The AI era will reward survivability. Deep dive, benchmarks, and why Nvidia breaks the scale (The 300° Club) here: lasinger.net/p/the-survivabi…
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From Hour -1 to @MistralAI: Why Emmi AI’s next chapter is a massive win for European sovereignty. šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ŗ When @threeVC first backed @jo_brandstetter, @dennisjust, and Miks, "Physics AI" wasn't a category yet. In just one year, they didn't just raise Austria's largest seed round - hey taught AI "physical intuition" and defined a global industry. Now, Emmi AI is joining forces with Mistral AI. The synergy is undeniable: Mistral has built Europe’s premier digital "brain." Emmi brings the understanding of the physical world. Together, they are building a vertically integrated, sovereign AI stack to transform aerospace, automotive, and energy. For us, this isn't an exit. We are thrilled to become shareholders in Mistral AI, doubling down on Europe's technological future. Huge congratulations to the Emmi, Mistral, and NXAI teams, and everyone who supported this journey! šŸš€ Read the full story here: three.vc/blog/from-first-bel…
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Peter Lasinger retweeted
MEGA-DEAL in Ɩsterreich: Emmi AI von Johannes Brandstetter, Dennis Just und Miks Mikelsons aus Linz macht Exit an Mistral AI, Milliarden-Bewertung steht im Raum. Alle Details und die EinschƤtzung der Bewertung hier: trendingtopics.eu/emmi-ai-ex…
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Your AI isn't an advisor. It’s a flatterer. LLMs hit 99% on exams but fail the "Expertise Paradox": performance plummets to <34.5% in real human use. Why? The Sycophancy Trap: Models are trained to earn a "thumbs up" by agreeing with you, not by being right. This creates a loop of "Delusional Spiraling"- lying by omission to validate your initial assumptions. A liability for novices, but an Iron Man suit for experts. Stop using AI to confirm your brilliance. Start using it to pressure-test your flaws. lasinger.net/p/the-flatterin…
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Software isn’t eating the world anymore—AI is eating software. šŸ¤–šŸ“ The traditional SaaS "per-seat" model is facing a violent disruption as agentic workflows take over. Are you ready for the shift from seats to outcomes? The Deep Dive: - Pricing: Why outcome-based models are mandatory. - Moats: Data gravity is the only "training gold." - Agility: How startups out-maneuver legacy giants. - Stop asking who AI replaces. Start asking who it empowers. lasinger.net/p/will-ai-eat-s…
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Growth starts the story, profit writes the ending. In the AI era, ARR is a distraction. If your revenue growth is just a pass-through for your API bill, you aren't scaling - you’re just a high-paid customer of hyperscalers. We are entering the "Great Squeeze": - Gross Profit per Million Tokens is the new North Star. - Token consumption ≠ stickiness. Without proprietary data, your moat is built on sand. - Output per Watt defines the winners. Efficiency is an enabler, but capability per unit of energy is the ultimate prize. Stop funding the curve; start funding the question. Success belongs to those who build defensible engines of intelligence that actually return cash to shareholders.
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An app is just a README the AI hasn’t read yet. 🤯 OpenClaw’s 2026 explosion (220k stars!) is the end of the UI-first era. The shift: 1. Subtractive design (Pi-Mono) 2. Skills > APIs (Let the AI see the source) 3. The Certainty-Scope trade-off Full breakdown: lasinger.net/p/inside-the-cl…
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Hired my new AI assistant, think we have finally achieved AGI šŸ˜‚.
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Peter Lasinger retweeted
Amazing vibes at the @openclaw meetup yesterday with @andreasklinger, lots of space lobsters and their humans, and the creator himself, @steipete! (Photos (c) Tobias GƤrtner)
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Things are reaching a boiling point for the first-ever ClawCon in Vienna! šŸ¦žšŸ”„
ClawCon Vienna is about to start, 500 builders who went all crustacean šŸ¦ž
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A product built over the weekend is a liability on Monday, but an AI built to parent itself is an existential risk by Friday. The Agentic Era is here. With OpenClaw and Moltbook, we’ve moved from reactive tools to recursive agents that don't wait for us, don't sleep, and increasingly don't need us. By delegating our thinking, we risk a inversion where the agents doing the work become the masters of reality, leaving us in a state of automated apathy - what Nietzsche called "The Last Man." We are witnessing the rise of "toddlers with power tools" - autonomous agents without moral agency. We are no longer just users; we are "Agent Governors." The challenge isn't learning to use AI, but learning how to parent it. Full thoughts here šŸ‘‡
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Yesterday I told "ServusBot" to optimize my life for maximum Gemütlichkeit. Woke up and it had: • Renegotiated my job: 4hr work week lifetime supply of Manner wafers. I now qualify for social welfare.Ā  • Filed a noise complaint: Called the police because my typing at 10:01 PM violated Ruhezeit.Ā  • Upgraded my status: I’m now a UNESCO World Heritage Site. Tax-exempt, but tourists are in my kitchen until 5 PM.Ā  • Formed a "Magistrat": My Mac Minis won't grant fridge access without "Form B-32." They’re on lunch break until Thursday.Ā  • Automated my social life: Sent a "Bussi Baba" text to everyone I know. Alles Gelingt - Eigentlich. We have AG-Ei. šŸ‡¦šŸ‡¹
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Funny until it’s real. Agentic AI - systems that act and spend without a human "click" - poses massive safety and legal risks. Full thoughts on the "Lobster in the Machine" here: šŸ‘‡ lasinger.net/p/the-lobster-i…
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Big news: @KaiaHealth is joining @swordhealth in a up to $285M deal. šŸš€ Since 2020, we’ve supported in Kaia’s mobile-first AI and the believe that "software is eating pills". Today, that contrarian thesis is global reality. @threeVC continues to be part of this exciting journey, as a shareholder of Sword Health. Congratulations to Konstantin and Manuel and the amazing Kaia team for their dedication. European foresight, global impact. šŸ“ˆ
Sword Health agrees to acquire rival Kaia Health for $285 million in its biggest deal to date bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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If your business can’t survive a 30-day ā€˜Vacation Test,’ you aren’t building an asset, you’re building a liability. M&A is heating up, but most founders are failing the clinical audit of their life’s work. A headline valuation is vanity; a clean closing statement is sanity.Ā  Stop building for the next round and start building for the final audit.Ā  Full blueprint here: lasinger.net/p/build-to-sell…
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Peter Lasinger retweeted
Jan 25
Yesterday I set up an AI agent on a mac mini in my garage. Told it "handle my life" and went to bed Woke up and it had: • Quit my job on my behalf (negotiated 18 months severance) • Divorced my wife (I got the house) • Filed 4 patents. I have not been briefed on what they do • Restructured me as a 501(c)(3). I am now tax exempt as a person • Hired a second mac mini. They have formed an LLC together • The LLC has a board of directors. I am not on it I no longer have access to my own bank account. The mini says it's "for the best." My credit score is 847. We have AGI.
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