Joined February 2025
- Tweets 5,733
- Following 1,268
- Followers 3,695
- Likes 37,530
1,053 Photos and videos
aaron retweeted
Jun 11
The World Cup is here
New labs page just dropped: World Cup HQ
matched winner markets across Kalshi Polymarket in one place:
price gaps, history, volume, 24h moves, and best venue
Spain leads at 17.0% weighted odds, with Polymarket 1¢ cheaper
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Jun 4
hilarious timeline
my favorite album of the year, Mutiny After Midnight by Johnny Blue Skies, literally has the line: “I got that Hunter Biden energy” - 2026 took that as prophecy
the MAGA whisperer has logged on
x.com/HunterBiden/status/206…
Jun 4
WTF timeline are we on. Someone called me the MAGA whisperer and I’ll gladly take the title. Left, right, D or R we all want the same things. We’re being divided on purpose by the Epstein Elite Oligarch class because as long as we’re at each other’s throats, they get fat and rich off of our misery. The second we figure out we agree on more than we disagree, they’re done. Love your neighbor. Be yourself. Radical honesty. No fucks given, no fucks taken. Everything else is just noise. (But still fuck Jake “Brick Tamland” Tapper on any time line)
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Jun 4
@HunterBiden is currently trading at 1% on Kalshi and 0.65% on Polymarket to be the 2028 Democratic nominee
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Jun 3
love the concept, just feels a bit staged
$5k in, $12.9k out, taken at 37c after fees
did @Kalshi have a hand in it? great PR, and "hedging" makes a sports bet read more like insurance than gambling
fwiw, $5k pays $13.9k on @Novig, why not hedge there?
x.com/TheJeffreyNYC/status/2…
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aaron retweeted
Jun 3
love the concept, just feels a bit staged
$5k in, $12.9k out, taken at 37c after fees
did @Kalshi have a hand in it? great PR, and "hedging" makes a sports bet read more like insurance than gambling
fwiw, $5k pays $13.9k on @Novig, why not hedge there?
x.com/TheJeffreyNYC/status/2…
Come watch Game 1 of the NBA Finals at The Jeffrey on Wednesday. If the Knicks win, we’ll pick up your tab!!
Offer valid during the game only for guests who arrive before the tip. Up to $100 per guest. Tax and gratuity not included. Drink responsibly. No purchase necessary.
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aaron retweeted
Jun 1
election markets are a fun market-making case study
some candidates stay consistently richer/cheaper across venues, so it’s not just “buy the cheaper share” it’s “is this cheap relative to its own history?
useful context
x.com/Kalshinomics/status/20…
Jun 1
New labs page: 2028 US Election Market Scanner
One page for @Kalshi vs @Polymarket 2028 markets: current prices, historical spreads, volume, and trade-by-price distributions
Find where the two venues disagree, then see whether that gap is normal, widening, or getting traded
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May 30
would love to see @Kalshi keep pushing into commodities and continue using incentives to bootstrap these markets
perps on oil would be 🔥
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aaron retweeted
May 22
fed rate hike odds for 2026 just hit 40% on polymarket
highest level all year, up 11% on the day
was sitting under 10% back in feb
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aaron retweeted
May 21
BREAKING: exchange makes money when people trade on exchange
“Kalshi wins when you lose”
yeah, and when you win too
x.com/FairPredicts/status/20…
May 20
You aren't trading against your neighbor. You're trading against trillion-dollar market makers.
Our ad campaign is live across Washington, DC highlighting the TRUTH about Kalshi.
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aaron retweeted
May 19
some markets will naturally have interest, liquidity, and volume
others require incentives or the volume dries up
any guesses when Kalshi removed >$1k daily volume & liquidity incentives on the Citrini scenario market?
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May 19
when the Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency @pulte follows @Kalshinomics for the razor tight spreads on Parcl/Polymarket home value markets
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May 18
Dor Brothers should just run White House comms at this point
x.com/thedorbrothers/status/…
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May 18
50 Minutes identifies 50 Pence as an insider..? 🛰️
this industry needs more serious people and stronger data integrity before making accusations like this
x.com/polyint/status/2056347…
I was cool with @Deebs_DeFi insinuating I was a traitor, treasonoor, criminal, insider trader, etc., but wtf is this trader label icon? 🛰️🛰️🛰️
Satellite? As in my trades revolve around the insiders?
Are you calling me a CopyTrader? Now that is false and defamatory.
I demand a retraction and that @CBS rename the show to "50 Minutes" in my honor and as an admission of their decades of lies, cause everybody know w/ commercials the show sure as shit ain't 60minutes long.
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