Put together a quick analysis of the Brex exit based on an analysis of their cap table.
Done relatively quickly, so pardon any errors! Funding history sourced from
@CaplightData.
Overall, it's a pretty big win.
— The company probably minted well in excess of 100 millionaires.
— Everyone who joined or invested in 2018 or earlier is probably pretty happy, some even ecstatic.
— Those who invested / joined in 2020-21 probably aren't but that is a story that is true of almost every employee or investor in that period (private / public market).
— Those who joined in late 2022 through today is probably doing reasonably fine.
Common Stock TL;DR — liquidation Preference took a bit of a bite, but only for those who joined in 2021-22. Everyone else either did fine or really well.
- Founders did very well (~$1B in total). There was a decent bit of dilution, particularly from healthy option pools over the course of 8-9 years.
- Employees joining 2023-2025 would probably be roughly breakeven — they probably received RSUs priced in the $4-6B.
- Employees joining 2021-2022 got stock at the peak. These would have been underwater RSUs or options. Most companies issued additional make-whole shares to those who stuck around. I'm sure Brex did this. However, those who joined then and left after a couple of years probably lost most of the value to their equity.
- Employees joining 2020 did okay -- slightly above where they joined. Not commensurate with the risk, but honestly way better than most companies who raised at peak valuations in the COVID era.
- Employees joining earlier did VERY well. I'd estimate 3-10x if they joined in 2018-19; and 10-100x if they joined in 2017-18.
Investor TL;DR
- Series D/D investors in 2021-21 (Tiger, Greenoaks) get money back but 0% IRR. TBH this is a win since most late stage investments in that vintage are tough.
- Series C investors in 2020 (Kleiner, DST) get a modest return (1.3x) but suboptimal IRR (4%). Again, tough vintage.
- Series C investors in 2018 (DST) get a decent return (2.75x) and 15% IRR.
- Series B investors in 2018 (YC Continuity) gets an excellent return (12x) and IRR (39%)
- Series A investors in 2017 (Ribbit) did fantastic (80x and 64% IRR)
- YC worth calling out — the regular YC check probably netted out close to $100M, on an (I think) $120K check at the time. 800x in 9 years = 110% IRR ain't half bad. If you bake in YC continuity, a total of $600M on probably ~$40M invested.