ダリオアモデイは別のインタビューでもAIが95%のタスクをこなせるなら人間は5%のタスクを行うだけで生産性が20倍になるとも言っていて、共通してるのはこの5%のタスクをこなせなければ生産性が下がるどころか不要になってしまうということ。
つまり格差は広がり、職業は高度化し、上澄みは競争が激化し、下層は崩壊してしまう。
ただしダリオは人間に関わる仕事や物理世界にある仕事は残ると言ってたけど、正直それもAIが物理世界に参入するまで(ロボティクスAIが普及するまで)の間のことだと思ってる。
今はこれからどこで働くのか、何を仕事とするのかで人生がかなり変わってくるフェーズにある。
The CEO of Anthropic just predicted something that should make everyone uncomfortable.
He is building the technology causing it. And he said it anyway.
"I think we could have this very unusual combination of very fast GDP growth and high unemployment, or at least underemployment, a lot of low wage jobs, high inequality."
Read that again slowly.
The person building the most powerful AI in the world is not telling you everything will be fine. He is telling you the economy could boom at the top while collapsing underneath.
He went further.
"You automate 90% of the job, great, people are 10 times more productive in the other 10%. But eventually it gets close to a hundred percent. Now the sequel to that is, well then you have to find something else for them to do."
That last sentence is doing a lot of work.
He is not saying jobs change. He is saying at some point there is nothing left to hand off. And then what.
Most CEOs in his position talk about new jobs being created. Dario is talking about what happens when that argument runs out.
He is building it. He is worried about it. He said so publicly.
That combination is rare.